Murray Bridge GH tips and results

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.50 · Connor Murtagh

The most exposed runner in the race but also the only one with proven form at 2000m at this track, where his four attempts have produced a second. His Mildura third four days ago over 2008m on Soft 6 under 59.5kg was strong and he gets 1.5kg relief. Barrier 2 helps and staying races here are the least barrier-sensitive. He is 0 from 37, which caps his win appeal, but he consistently hits the frame at this trip and is a sound place proposition.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.50 · A Stead

Last start he raced outside the leader and lost a plate before dropping out, a legitimate excuse.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.90 · A Stead

The most reliable form line in a weak maiden. Barrier 2 lets him track the moderate tempo close enough to strike, and the mile should suit a horse whose best work is late. Consistent, fit and race-conditioned.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Kayla Crowther

Khorasan has been placed at two of her past three and is racing in her best form. The rise to a mile for the first time reads as a clear positive for a mare who finishes off her races strongly rather than showing speed. Crowther's local record adds confidence.

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Will Price

The class of the race on placings, with three seconds and a third from nine starts and a mile third at Balaklava. Barrier 3 and 56kg give her every chance to be handy on a track that rewards forward positions.

Our price $4.00 · SP $1.95 · Kayla Crowther

The only reservations are total inexperience on a wet surface and a map that has her settling behind the speed on a track where backmarkers struggle.

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.60 · Alysha Warren

Our price $6.50 · SP $12.00 · Rose Hammond

The jockey booking is a genuine negative and she needs the tempo to be honest, so place is the correct exposure.

Our price $6.00 · SP $41.00 · Kayla Crowther

The overlooked debutant. Barrier 5 is materially better than the 9, 10 and 12 drawn by her fellow debutants at a track where gates 9-12 win just 5%. Kayla Crowther's engagement, 16% at Murray Bridge and four winners from her last 20, signals genuine intent.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.80 · Tala Hutchinson

She led throughout that day, maps to control from barrier 4, and blinkers should sharpen a mare whose only failure came racing greenly up in class. Overpriced.

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · A Stead

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.80 · Sophie Potter

Aloha Blue is racing in career-best form with four straight placings including a last-start win, and her proven wet-track credentials plus back-markers-friendly running style are tailor-made for the predicted very fast tempo. Barrier 4 is ideal.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Campbell Rawiller

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Rochelle Milnes

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.50 · Kayla Crowther

Badonkidonk arrives fresh off a strong last-start win in this same grade and trip, unwinding a scintillating sprint from near-last at the 400m. With three genuine leaders projected to duel out a fast tempo today, that sustained closing turn of foot is exactly the tool needed. A sharp jockey booking and consistent soft-track form add further confidence despite the wide gate.

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · A C Goindasamy

Easy Beast is the most credentialed of three speed types drawn to contest the lead, with course-proven front-running form and a strong record on rain-affected tracks. He has run gallant placings leading in his last two starts, and Murray Bridge's positional bias clearly rewards genuine leaders. Competing leaders and a wide-ish gate are the main risks to note.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Margaret Collett

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.70 · D Caboche

Her track and distance record is 2 starts for 1 win and 1 second and she has a win plus two placings from eight soft-track runs. The map has her settling second off the two genuine leaders, which suits a venue where handy runners dominate. The 2kg rise and class lift are the risks, but the trajectory is clearly upward.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.50 · Harry Grace