Launceston tips and results

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.00 · Akimasa Phanthura

He is the quickest beginner and should sit on the speed from a handy draw, exactly the profile that wins Launceston sprints.

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.80 · Hayley McCarthy

Drawn in barrier 3 and a natural on-pace type, she gets the map that wins these races. The negatives are real: unplaced both times first-up, a quiet stable and a jockey out of form.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Carleen Hefel

She has run competitively at all three starts, including a sound fourth here over 1100m, and now draws the fence third-up when she should be at her fittest. If Hefel uses the gate to sit close she gets the ideal Launceston run.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.00 · Luke P Dempsey

He is not the top pick because he resumes from a long spell, is ridden by a jockey with a poor Launceston record and is expected to settle well back on a track where backmarkers rarely win, especially in a slowly-run race.

Our price $7.50 · SP $14.00 · Anthony Darmanin

With a slow tempo predicted and front-runners strongly favoured at Launceston, she is positioned to be in the finish as long as the leaders do not sprint away.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · David Pires

Toorak Lad broke his maiden with real authority here four weeks ago and that run stands up as the best local form in the race. He is lightly raced and still improving, which matters in a field full of exposed one-win horses. The negatives are the wide draw, the big weight and a jockey in poor form, and he will need to be ridden closer than usual on this track.

Our price $12.00 · SP $18.00 · Kirra-Lee Lane

I'm A Machine is the consistent, proven type at this level and this trip. He sat third and held on for a solid placing here on a Soft 5 last start, and his Hobart second over 1430m was run to a standard that would win tonight. The wide draw is the main worry on a track that punishes runners caught wide or back, and his trainer has a poor record here.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Codi Jordan

Northern Child is the horse best placed to exploit the Launceston bias. He is the only genuine leader drawn inside, with the other speed horses in barriers 7 and 16, and leaders have won over a fifth of soft-track races here. He has already won over 1430m on soft ground doing exactly that.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Luke P Dempsey

Regal Hunter has the right style for a slow-tempo race and has won on a soft track over around 2100m. He has been running well in higher company, and a good position near the speed could see him run into a place or win. The recent dip and an unproven rider are reasons to keep stakes modest.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.05 · Luke P Dempsey

She won last start, handles the soft and finishes her races well. Her back-marker style is a concern when the tempo is only moderate and runners settling 7th or worse struggle here.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Anthony Darmanin

A genuine each-way chance who ran a bold second on a soft track last start and has since trialled well. He should slot in handy in a moderate tempo, which gives him a good chance in a race with few leaders. Against that, he rarely wins and has never won on soft ground.

Our price $7.50 · SP $16.00 · Anthony Darmanin

She should be handy from barrier 3, and the jockey and trainer combination wins nearly half the time.

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.80 · Erica Byrne Burke

The obvious danger and arguably the horse with the best race setup. The knock is her mile record of six placings without a win and a tendency to be caught in the last 100 metres.