Mackay tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Adam Sewell

She will settle in the first few and the predicted slow tempo should help her on-pace style. The negatives are the rise out of restricted grade into Open company, an awkward outside gate and a soft-track record without a win, so she looks a genuine place hope rather than a winning one.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Nikki Olzard

The value runner. Her last-start fourth over a sharp 1050m on soft ground was full of merit, settling near last and making good ground through the line, and the step to 1300m suits a filly who clearly wants further. She has already won on rain-affected ground and is lightly raced with improvement to come.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Aidan Holt

The most accomplished horse in the field on class and track record, and he drops out of stronger company onto a surface he loves. His win here on soft ground in June at 70 grade reads well against this lot. The problems are the resumption from a respiratory-enforced break, a blank first-up record, the top weight and the outside gate.

Our price $8.50 · SP $10.00 · Chris McIver

A mare whose best asset today is her draw. She gets the rail, settles just off the speed and drops into a grade she has not faced for a while after a sound second last start. The stable is firing and has a good record here.

Our price $2.20 · SP $2.35 · Nikki Olzard

Rock Angel brings the strongest exposed piece of form into this. He led throughout on a soft track here over 1200m and only went down late, and he has since won a trial in handy style. With barely any other speed in the race he should control a moderate tempo, and his stable/jockey combination is going well.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.00 · Warwick Satherley

Willow Capri has the deepest Mackay form in the field — two seconds here, one of them a nose defeat over 1300m where she came from well back. She does her best work late, so an honest tempo suits, and her trainer is having a solid run. The knock is that she resumes after a long break and jumps from a wide gate, so she will need luck in running.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.00 · Ryan Wiggins

Cosmic Dynasty is a lightly raced mare who has been around the mark without breaking through. Her closing run on a soft track at Mornington was a good pointer, she placed at Bowen two starts back despite hanging off the track, and she gets the services of the best rider in the race from a sweet draw.

Our price $8.50 · SP $16.00 · Adam Sewell

Majestic Choice is fit and racing consistently, and her run over this track and trip two starts back was much better than the finishing position reads — she got a long way out of her ground and made up good late ground.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Chris McIver

Improving filly who beat older horses last start over this trip on soft ground and did it in a quick time. She has strong wet-track credentials and only 54kg, and her stable is going well. The concern is the likely pace duel: three of these want to go forward, and front-runners have been struggling to hold on at recent Mackay meetings. She looks the safest of the on-speed brigade to still be in the finish, so a place is the play.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Anthony Allen

A horse the map helps more than the formguide does. Three rivals are speed horses and the tempo looks hot, which sets things up for the only genuine swooper in the race. He was ridden wide without cover last start and can be forgiven, and his earlier efforts around Mackay in stronger class were sound, including a placing on soft.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.20 · Nikki Olzard

Anthropology is the form pick. She won last start, has placed in both soft-track runs and maps to settle just behind a moderate tempo, which suits. She gets weight relief after a class drop and has a strong partnership with her jockey.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Natalea Summers

Elegant Venus is rising through the grades after two wins, including a Mackay success. She has the speed to hold a forward spot from gate four and should be suited by a moderate tempo.

Our price $11.00 · SP $15.00 · Ryan Wiggins

Arancia is the value runner. She won at this grade two starts ago, has a soft-track win and maps to sit second behind the likely leader. Ryan Wiggins is a strong booking and has a good record here.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Warwick Satherley

The one proven mudlark in the line-up and he comes here in the best form of his career off a last-start win. He's won at this track and trip previously, and backmarkers have been winning at Mackay of late, which tempers the concern about his get-back style. The knock is the drop in distance off a staying win and the risk a muddling tempo leaves him too much to do, but on a soft track his wet class makes him a leading contender.

Our price $4.80 · SP $10.00 · Mitch Goring

An in-form four-year-old who has won his last two, including over further, and is clearly the best-performed mudlark in the field with two wins from six on soft ground. He gets in light after the claim and his recent efforts stack up best of these. The wide gate is the obvious risk, but he has the speed to slot in and can also be ridden quietly.

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Natalea Summers

The knock is a poor last start and a modest soft-track record, but his class relief makes him the value runner.