Murray Bridge GH tips and results

Our price $11.00 · SP $9.00 · Harry Grace

Out Ontario is a nine-start maiden with a 9:0-0-0 record, so she stays out of the top three. The case is the drop out of a fillies and mares handicap and a recent Balaklava fourth, beaten under two lengths after leading. She has not handled soft in four tries and the booking is ordinary.

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.50 · Noel Callow

Empire Ruler is the most likely winner on form. He has finished second or third at five straight, including seconds on soft at Gawler and Strathalbyn, and he has never missed the placings on rain-affected ground. Callow sticks with him.

Our price $14.00 · SP $19.00 · Ashlee Stone

She has been making ground from the back at her last few without winning, the stable is in form, and she is the lightest horse in the race once the claim is counted. A slow pace and an unproven soft record stop her being a top selection, and she still needs the leaders to come back to her.

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.10 · Rochelle Milnes

In two starts she has run third then second in maiden plates, both times up to a winning standard, settling handy and finishing honestly. She gets 54kg and Rochelle Milnes sticks. She is still the most likely winner of a moderate-tempo maiden.

Our price $11.00 · SP $13.00 · Alysha Warren

Ashen Glow is the overlay. He is mapped to lead, which suits a moderate tempo, and the claim helps. That is longer than his chance of controlling this.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Harry Grace

Rocktagon is the form horse in a moderate-tempo Class 2. His last three runs have been honest on rain-affected and good ground, headed by a close fifth at Strathalbyn, and barrier 3 gives him the chance to sit forward. Grace and the stable are cold, and 1400m is lightly tried.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Jemma Gutte

Togetherforever is the overlay. Both of her wins have come on soft, where she also has a third from eight starts, and she places regularly at Murray Bridge. A three-kilogram claim puts her on 51kg and the map has her on the pace, which fits a moderate 1400m. A fourth at Balaklava a fortnight ago shows she is ready for this grade.

Our price $5.20 · SP $9.00 · Noel Callow

Nicaloha is the form pick because he won over this trip on Soft 5 three weeks ago, leading and putting the field away. Five soft starts have produced a win and two thirds, and he maps for a clean midfield run. The rise out of a maiden with 60kg is the risk.

Our price $6.20 · SP $11.00 · Jason Holder

Aloha Blue is the proven wet horse in the race. She has won on soft and placed on heavy, including a heavy second at Murray Bridge, and Holder has already won twice on her. She has the class to handle a restricted race and recent meetings have favoured horses finishing from off the pace.

Our price $9.00 · SP $19.00 · Kayla Crowther

Brazen Queen is the overlay. She placed in a stronger race on soft last start and earlier broke her maiden on the same going over 1200m, with a soft record of one win and two seconds from five. Barrier four lets her settle midfield away from the weak wide draws.

Our price $4.40 · SP $5.50 · Stephanie Wright

Frontpoint is the form horse. He beat this class on rain-affected ground two back and then ran a close fourth in the same race Flying Ace and Refreshing contested last week. The inside-midfield pattern and a light weight suit a fast 1400m, and he already knows Murray Bridge.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Caitlyn Munro

Immortal Spirit has been the most reliable horse in the race, controlling and either winning or just missing at this level. Four wins from 11 at 1400m and a soft barrier let him roll forward again, with Munro's claim a help.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Andrew Stead

Three soft wins from eight starts stand out on a Soft 5, and barrier 1 lets her use her early speed without covering extra ground. She is second-up, so the first-up fade can be treated as a pipe-opener, though her second-up record is only one placing from five.

Our price $4.40 · SP $7.00 · Caitlyn Munro

Eclair Vitality is the form horse. He won a BM62 at Jamestown three starts into this campaign and, before that, went down by a nose on soft at this level after racing handy. Three of his nine 1000m starts have been wins, and Munro's claim leaves him well in at the weights. Barrier 9 is the main risk.

Our price $5.40 · SP $5.00 · Caitlin Jones

Super Choice gets the race run to suit him. He is the only natural leader in a moderate 1000m, and his Gawler run three weeks ago was good enough to win a race of this class after he was hampered. He has also placed on soft in Class 2 company. The query is whether he can quicken after dictating: he has stopped when the lead became a chase, he is still a non-winner on soft, and 61.5kg is a big ask.