Warwick Farm tips and results

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.40 · Zac Lloyd

On form she is the most reliable runner in the field. Each of her recent runs has been at or close to winning maiden standard, and last start she was a strong 1400m second at Rosehill. From barrier 1 she should settle just behind the lone leader in a moderate tempo, and Zac Lloyd is riding Warwick Farm well.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.35 · James McDonald

Even so, he needs to show he can run 1400m and he often settles back, which leaves him relying on luck in a moderately run race.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Chad Schofield

She looks a solid each-way chance.

Our price $4.80 · SP $10.00 · Dylan Gibbons

Andron won the key lead-up race over this trip at Rosehill, leading and fighting back when headed. He is in an upward cycle with two straight wins, and he can adapt to however the speed unfolds. The worry is that the horses he beat home meet him on better weights, especially Criteria, who comes in 3kg.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Siena Grima

Sonic Bender ran the best losing race in the Rosehill 2400m form race. He was second last turning in and closed to fourth, less than a length off the winner. He meets the placegetters on better terms, and the Waller stable is firing. The concern is that he settles back in a race shaping as slowly run, at a tight track with a short straight.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · Tim Clark

Stallone ran faster than anything else in the field when he won his BM64 under 61kg, and his BM72 runs were close to winning standard. The class rise and a likely tussle with Felix Majestic for the lead are the worries. Even so, his drop to 56kg and his good-track record make him the main danger.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Siena Grima

She was held up in two of them. At 55.5kg she can run home from midfield if the leaders fight it out.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.40 · James McDonald

Ballet D'light is a lightly raced filly who won her maiden well, leading all the way, and the time says she can handle this grade. She looks to be the only natural leader, so she should get the race run her way at an even pace, and she carries the lightest weight. The class jump and her lack of racing on Good ground are the risks.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Chad Schofield

Scenic Point ran well last start, leading and fighting on to finish second in a race of this grade with 60kg on her back. She should be fitter third up and drops back from stronger races. Her best form is on Good ground at 1100–1200m. The worry is that from barrier 7 she may end up in a speed battle with Ballet D'light, and her finish has faded when she has led.

Our price $9.00 · SP $17.00 · Tim Clark

She begins faster than anything in the race and is drawn in barrier 3. If Ballet D'light leads, she can sit just behind or outside her and doesn't need to make all the pace herself, which was why she faded at Canterbury.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Dylan Gibbons

On form she is clearly the main danger. She is second up, and she has won both previous second-up runs. 78 race at Rosehill was a good effort. Running on into the placings looks likely, and she is fair value for a place.

Our price $10.00 · SP $41.00 · Winona Costin

Performance is quick away and will have a good run sitting on or just behind Love Story. The step up to 1400m is a question, but she has the speed to hold her position and the scope to improve second up.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · William A Stanley

Crathie Kirk was much better first up than her fourth placing suggests. She came from 11th at Kembla over this distance on Good ground and ran close to winning standard. She is now second up with an inside barrier and a stable that does well at this track, and she should be fitter. Her poor runs in Group races can be put aside.

Our price $9.00 · SP $6.50 · Jason Collett

She tends to either win or miss the places, and she is a dangerous type second-up after being held up first-up here. Her track-and-distance win and light weight help.

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

With the claim she has an easy weight. If she finds cover outside the leader, she can hang on for a place or better.