Ipswich tips and results

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Nozi Tomizawa

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.50 · Corey Sutherland

Makamae looks the most likely winner on form. She is the only genuine leader in a race forecast to be slowly run and should dictate terms on a track that favours horses near the speed. Her recent runs have been of a winning standard, she is a proven wet-track performer and she gets a weight concession. Stable form is a worry but the map and class credentials stand out.

Our price $4.80 · SP $5.50 · Ben E Thompson

Backhander is in top form having won over 2200m at Dubbo and finished second in the lead-up. She should settle on the speed and can sit just behind Makamae with a good ride. Carrying 60kg from a wide gate and on soft ground is the question, but the on-pace profile and the jockey's Ipswich record keep her firmly in the picture.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Brandon Lerena

She has run well at Ipswich, is placed regularly and handles wet ground, but she is climbing sharply in weight, her stable is cold and she has only two wins from seventeen starts.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Jace McMurray

Disgruntled is in consistent form, gets a run in the middle of the field and is a stable runner in good order. She has won over staying trips and has been finishing strongly in recent races.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Emily Pozman

The likely leader and the horse to catch. He owns genuine city-class form, has been placed on soft ground and has been readied with a couple of trials, so the long absence is less worrying than it reads on paper. The concern is that he's had plenty of chances without winning and often gets run down late — if the pace is hot he could set it up for the closers.

Our price $6.00 · SP $11.00 · Matthew Palmer

The worry is the map: he gets back and this track punishes get-back runners. He's good enough to be in the finish but will need the race to fall his way.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Taylor Marshall

A lightly raced Waller filly who should be sharper second-up after a solid placing last time. She maps to sit just off the speed from a good gate, which is exactly where you want to be at this track.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Tahlia Fenlon

Lightly raced three-year-old who won well at the Gold Coast last time, coming from midfield and hitting the line hard over 1000m. He improves second-up, gets in with only 55kg and has an inside gate. The concern is the step up from maiden company and a style that may leave him chasing around a tight track where horses off the pace struggle. He is the one most likely to break through from behind the leading group.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Emily Pozman

He is the value runner. Last start on a Soft 7 at Class 1 level he led, was headed only late and comfortably beat the rest, and he has already won over this course and distance. He maps to be in the leading pair, which is exactly where you want to be in a sprint here.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.60 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

She is a proven soft-track winner, ran a good second last start in a stronger grade, and drops to BM58 with a strong jockey and trainer combination. A midfield-to-back run is the only concern at a track that favours handy runners, but she should be racing within striking range.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.50 · Daniel Moor

A recent BM58 winner on soft ground who can settle handy, which suits Ipswich. His best runs are as good as anything here. The risk is the poor effort in his last visit to Ipswich over this trip and a cold stable.

Our price $7.50 · SP $15.00 · Tiffani Brooker

A tough mare who nearly always runs into a place and has handled wet ground. She should settle in the first half of the field from a good gate and gets a drop in class.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Ben E Thompson

A stable and jockey combination that wins at a strong rate, and she has already won on a heavy surface over this trip. She is fit from a winning trial and should be handy from barrier 8. Facing a step up in class first-up keeps her out of the top spot, but she has the profile to run well.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

The overlay of the field. His run at the Sunshine Coast last start on a heavy track was close to a winning standard, and his soft-track record is the best in the race. If the pace is as hot as expected, he can run on late from the back.

Our price $8.50 · SP $7.00 · Aidan Keeley

The most progressive horse in the field. He broke through at Toowoomba two runs back and then went within a whisker over the mile trip on soft ground, running on strongly from just off the pace. The knock is that he gets back in a race with a short home straight, but the speed on up front should help him wind up.

Our price $8.80 · SP $7.00 · Michael Rodd

An improving mare who should have finished closer last start when fourth in a Class 1 over 1600m after being chopped out at the top of the straight. Two runs back she came from well back to break her maiden nicely, and she has been kept ticking over since.