Pakenham Park tips and results

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Michael Dee

Second-up filly who draws kindly and should be able to hold a forward position in a race with no obvious tempo enforcer. That tactical speed is worth something on a night meeting at Pakenham. However she was well beaten at Cranbourne last time and her best effort so far falls short of the top two. One for the multiples and exotics rather than a serious win play.

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Jackie Beriman

The established leader in a race where nothing else wants the front, which is a real advantage on a slow tempo. His most recent run had merit, going down by a length and a half after doing the work over 1500m.

Our price $5.50 · SP $15.00 · Jackson Radley

Drops from open juvenile company to a maiden and her run at Caulfield Heath two starts back, beaten a length on a soft track after getting a long way back, is the strongest piece of form in this race. She won a jumpout at Pakenham only ten days ago and gets in on the minimum with a claim.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Made up good ground from last on debut over 1000m at Cranbourne and looks the type to appreciate the step to 1400m, being by a stallion whose stock get further. Drawn to get a soft run just off the speed.

Our price $25.00 · SP $51.00 · Adam McCabe

A maiden after five starts, but her two best runs have both come on soft ground, including a narrow second over this trip at Wangaratta where she fought on strongly. She had a good run at Kyneton last start and was simply no match late, but the first-time visors and a gear change may sharpen her.

Our price $4.20 · SP $9.00 · Luke Nolen

Wyandra is the most exposed and most consistent runner here: 11 starts for seven seconds, including four placings from five on soft ground and a last-start half-length defeat on a Soft 5 when he led and fought on. He lands in the box seat from gate six, should control a moderate tempo at a night meeting, and drops back to 1000m which suits his style.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Blake Shinn

Frandema is the pick of the first starters. She won both her Pakenham jump-outs, the latest on a soft surface in good time, and the booking of Blake Shinn for a debutante from a stable that has been finding the winner's stall is a strong pointer. The concerns are the three gear changes first time, which hint at a horse who has been doing things wrong, and a slightly awkward draw. On what we have seen she is the one most likely to upset the older maidens.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.50 · Ben Allen

Gelded since his first campaign and much better second-up, he was badly held up at Moe last start and still got to the line well for fourth. He trialled nicely on a soft surface at this track and from gate two should be able to hold a forward spot in a race where the lead looks up for grabs. The class is there, he just needs the gaps to come at the right time.

Our price $13.00 · SP $19.00 · Jackson Radley

Both his runs have had genuine excuses, and last time at Cranbourne he was shuffled to last, held up, then hit the line strongly for fourth. He gets weight relief, a much better draw and a track that rewards a sustained run from the back.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.60 · Jake Noonan

Won first-up at a higher grade, leading throughout on soft ground, and now drops to a winnable BM62 with conditions to suit. She is the likely leader in a moderate tempo, which is a big plus at a night meeting. The knock is her blank second-up record and a wide draw that may force early work, but her class and wet-track form make her the one to beat.

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Jabez Johnstone

Well beaten last time, but that was in a far stronger race and she now drops sharply to a winnable BM62. She won first-up this preparation on soft ground at this trip and comes from a top stable with a strong rider booking.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Caitlin Hollowood

Comes off an impressive first-up win at Ballarat where he settled off the pace, overcame interference and quickened strongly. The 2kg claim helps at this grade and a fast tempo should suit his midfield style. He has been placed in this class before. The main queries are his second-up record and wet-track form, but he is clearly one of the leading chances.

Our price $8.50 · SP $14.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Talented three-year-old who drops sharply in class after competing in stronger two-year-old company. He has a win and a placing on soft ground and has trialled well for this return.

Our price $4.60 · SP $5.50 · Nadia Daniels

Last-start winner at Kyneton on soft, settling midfield and finishing powerfully to score at a level just below this. Lightly raced with two wins from three and clearly improving for a leading stable. The wide gate is manageable at a forgiving track.

Our price $8.50 · SP $16.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Consistent mare who has finished close up over the mile at her last two, both from the front. She is fit, gets in light at 58kg, and has won twice on soft. Her on-pace style should be favoured by a moderate tempo on a Friday night, when the track can play to those up front.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Jake Noonan

She knows Pakenham well with 20 starts here, handles soft ground and is well drawn.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

The one to beat on form. Two from two at Pakenham over 1400m, including a runaway win on soft and another on heavy, so today's surface is ideal. He's building nicely third-up after running on over shorter trips on firm ground and gets the right trip now. Stackhouse, who has won on him twice from three rides, takes the mount from a handy gate. The clock says his best here is the strongest in the race.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.10 · Jye McNeil

A lightly raced Waller four-year-old whose standout run was a fast-finishing second over this course and trip. Two closing sixth placings this prep suggest he's ready to peak, though he gets back and needs an honest tempo, and he's had just one soft-track start.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Nadia Daniels

A mudlark who saves his best for wet ground and this track — two wins and a placing from five starts here including over this trip on heavy. Recent form has excuses, notably a heart complaint two starts back, and he was a solid second on soft three runs ago.