Doomben tips and results

Our price $3.60 · SP $7.00 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

Best combination of speed, map and grade.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Ben E Thompson

Barrier 2 gives her the map on a track where position at the 400m is the core signal, and she has the best good-track record in the race with 2 wins and 4 placings from 13 starts. The 1350m is a step into unknown territory and 60kg is a burden, which caps her at third rather than higher.

Our price $8.50 · SP $12.00 · Ryan Maloney

Our price $3.80 · SP $5.00 · Jace McMurray

Our price $8.00 · SP $19.00 · Tiffani Brooker

Sound each-way value with a live winning chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Ryan Maloney

Barrier 4 is ideal and Maloney's 22% record with the stable is a plus. The concerns are the 60kg top weight and a Good-track record of 11 starts without a win — he places far more often than he wins, which caps him at third on the list.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Emily Lang

The Right Way owns the best distance record in the race at 6 starts for 2 wins and 2 thirds, the highest career win rate at 23%, and a Good-track line of 24:7-3-2. Barrier 8 and a bare run of outs are why he is friendless, but with only one genuine leader engaged he can find the front and prove very hard to run down.

Our price $4.40 · SP $2.60 · Ryan Maloney

Barrier 2 and Maloney give him the map to settle in the first six. The offset is 60kg, a 4kg rise on his last-start weight, and a 26-day gap. Clear place claims but the weight makes him vulnerable to the lighter-weighted improvers.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · James Orman

He is now second up, where he has placed twice from six, and he brings the strongest overall class reference in the race with Bench. 88 Randwick form and a Class 3 win at Eagle Farm.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.00 · Ben E Thompson

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Mark Du Plessis

An exposed mare, but the class relief is real: she has been competing in Listed and Bench. 80 grade and now drops to Class 6 with just 54kg.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.00 · Olivia Kendal

Pipistrelle brings the strongest combination of current form and course credentials. She won over 1630m at Doomben on a Good 4 last start and her good-track record of 16 starts for 8 wins is the best surface profile in the race. The barrier one draw is a genuine advantage at a track where the winning zone is the first six at the 400m. The extra weight and an inexperienced rider are the risks, but the form case is clear and she rates the most likely winner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Jace McMurray

Barrier three maps him into the ideal winning zone here and he drops weight. The obvious flaw is his record: two wins from seventeen and no wins from six good-track starts, marking him as a horse that finds one or two. Placing rather than winning is the likelier outcome, but he is right in the finish.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Jasper Franklin

Today is a genuine class drop with a workable barrier six.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Ben E Thompson

Pure class and distance credentials say he belongs. Rateable as a strong placing chance with upside.

Our price $8.50 · SP $8.00 · Benjamin Osmond

The most proven winner in the race on raw strike rate, with 7 wins from 15 starts and 3 wins from 5 on Good ground. She was gallant when second at Doomben over this trip last start, beaten under a length.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Jasper Franklin

A last-start winner of this exact race type at this exact track, Epic Proportions is the form reference for the 1 August Doomben Open where he beat both Taltarni Fields and Hatchet. His track-and-distance record reads 3 starts for 2 wins and he has taken out both an Open and a Listed race here over 1200m.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.90 · Emily Lang

Hell has an excellent 33% career win rate, a fine 12:5-2-3 distance record and drops 4.5kg, and he ran creditably fresh at Eagle Farm.

Our price $15.00 · SP $101.00 · Jake Bayliss

The 1200m is a slight query given his best recent work has been at 1000m, and barrier 9 is awkward, but the fast predicted tempo suits his finishing profile perfectly.