Narrandera tips and results

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.00 · Blaike Mc Dougall

Adasiti has the strongest specific profile for this race: a Narrandera 1600m Soft 6 win, followed by a fourth then a close second in his current preparation. He maps well from barrier 4 in a race lacking genuine pace, drops weight from his latest Narrandera run, and first-time blinkers can sharpen his finish. The class rise is a concern, but proven track/distance ability and current fitness give him the edge.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Jordan Quince

Heart Balm is the most progressive runner, winning twice on heavy tracks before a fair fifth over 1600m. Jordan Quince has a strong record on the horse, and barrier 1 should allow him to control a slow tempo from the front. The query is whether he can win at 1600m — 0 from 4 — and under a Class 3 rise, making him a place chance rather than the top win pick.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.60 · Cassidy Hill

She is second-up, has blinkers applied, and showed enough when third over 1400m on Heavy9. That form is genuine, but she is untested at Narrandera, has no soft-track form, and her jockey has not ridden a winner here. She remains a strong threat and rates clearly second.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Richard Bensley

He has a 50% placing rate on Soft and should be suited by the rise to 1400m. The wide barrier is the main concern, but if he can cross or find cover early he maps close enough. He is a live winning chance behind the top two.

Our price $7.50 · SP $18.00 · Zoe Waller

I've Forgotten has improved sharply from a debut fifth at Narrandera to a close fourth at Albury. The step to 1400m and low 54kg give him scope, while Zoe Waller has already won at this course.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Zoe Waller

Relax The Spirit is the third pick on upside and race fitness. Her only start over 1000m on a Heavy 9 was acceptable without being flashy, and she should strip fitter second-up. The light weight, inside barrier and stable pattern give her a clear chance in a thin maiden. She is more speculative than the top two but still ranks ahead of the exposed wider runners.

Our price $4.20 · SP $9.00 · Zoe Waller

See You Then is a lightly raced mare with a strong soft-track profile, having been placed in all four starts on Soft, including a maiden win at Tamworth. She resumes second-up after a moderate first-up performance on Heavy 9 at Albury, and the drop from BM58 to BM50 is a significant positive. Her best 1000m form reads well against this field and she should settle closer with the tempo.

Our price $4.00 · SP $7.00 · Brendan Ward

Sundrop is the most reliable winning chance. She has placed in her last three starts in BM58 company, including a close second over this track and distance on Soft 7 and a third at Gundagai in similar conditions. That form reads well for a BM50 and she has genuine wet-track credentials. Barrier 10 and 61kg are concerns, but her proven Narrandera performance and fitness make her the clear form anchor.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.00 · Brodie Loy

However, he has never placed on soft ground and returns after a 156-day spell with 61.5kg.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Quayde Krogh

She finished third in this same BM50 over 1400m on Soft 7 at Narrandera in June and followed that with a third at Gundagai on Heavy 9. The wide draw and modest overall win rate are negatives, but course suitability and current form make her the value runner.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Zoe Waller

Densetsu is the main danger. His soft-track stats are strong and he gets a 2kg claim. The knock is a winless 0-from-10 record at 1200m and an inside draw that may leave him searching for room.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Teaghan Martin

Simone's Choice is the value runner. She is the projection to lead this race, and on a Soft7 Narrandera surface where position at the 400m is crucial, a lone leader can control the tempo. Her last start BM50 effort on synthetic was sound, and she has placed at 1200m before.