Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Saturday 29 August 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Dawn Dancer is the clear form horse with three consecutive victories, including an Open class win over this track and trip. He maps to lead from barrier 3 on a Belmont 1000m where on-pace runners are strongly favoured. His two soft-track starts have both been wins, suggesting the drying Soft 6 surface suits. The main concern is the inexperienced apprentice rider replacing Victoria Corver, but the horse's pace and fitness should give him a soft lead.
Farnova is a consistent Belmont 1000m specialist who has placed in four of her last six Open starts at the track. She won over this course and distance on Heavy 8, giving confidence on the rain-affected surface. Barrier 2 and an on-pace style align with the track's sprint pattern.
Boy Crush is the class runner here, having raced in Group 2 and Listed company, and he drops back to Open level. He has won first-up before and has trialled well at Belmont behind recent winners. However, he is yet to race at 1000m or at Belmont, and his only start on soft ground was well beaten.
Day Out is an untried debutant but brings an eye-catching trial win at Lark Hill on Soft 6, scoring by five lengths. D & B Pearce have a strong record with their young horses, and barrier 1 gives him every chance to use early speed around the tight Belmont circuit. Blinkers first time suggests he will be positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Boy Crush | 5 | Holly Nottle | Luke Fernie | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Dawn Dancer | 3 | Natika Riordan | Ryan Hill | 56.5kg | $1.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Farnova | 2 | P Carbery | Mitchell Pateman | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Ruthless Angel | 7 | Lucy Fiore | D L Morton | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Run Rupert Run | 4 | Chris Parnham | Luke Fernie | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Paris Treaty | 6 | P Harvey | D T McAuliffe | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Day Out | 1 | Natasha Faithfull | D & B Pearce | 56kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 8 | Extreme Dixie | 8 | D M Luciani | 54kg |
Ginnivan returns to the same track and distance where he beat several of these rivals, including Pin Deep, in a BM72+ on August 15. He is the strongest soft-track runner in the race with 5 wins from 13 starts, and barrier 1 suits his on-pace pattern. Although he rises to BM84+, his only prior run at this grade was a fifth, and he is clearly fitter.
Haida Gwaii has the strongest pure 1000m profile, with seven wins from thirteen attempts and four wins from her last six starts before the spell. She maps to lead or sit outside the leader from barrier 2, keeps Chris Parnham, and her first-up record is two wins from three. She also drops 3.5kg on her latest run. The risks are a lack of Belmont experience and a limited soft-track sample, but she is the main danger.
However, he bled at his most recent start, returns after a long layoff, and has won only twice in eight starts. B Parnham’s recent form is quiet. If the bleeding episode is behind him he can fill a place, but the risk makes him third pick rather than top.
Rissoles brings the best class lines, including a Listed win and a G3 fifth, and Lucy Fiore has a strong 31% strike rate with the stable. She is two from five fresh and has won at this track and distance. The negatives are genuine: she is unplaced from four soft-track starts and is likely to settle back in a slowly run 1000m.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Haida Gwaii | 2 | Chris Parnham | M L Lane | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Ginnivan | 1 | S Parnham | J P Taylor | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Rissoles | 6 | Lucy Fiore | Luke Fernie | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Pin Deep | 5 | C Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 55kg | $3.30 |
| 5th | 3 | Multinational | 4 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | September Born | 3 | B Parnham | N D Parnham | 55kg | $2.90 |
| Scr | 1 | Man Crush | 2 | Luke Fernie | 60kg |
Kings Honour maps to settle just off the speed from barrier 5, a favourable position on Belmont's 1000m course where on-pace runners are advantaged. He won well on Soft5 over this course and distance last week with blinkers first time and has a 40% soft-track strike rate.
Eternal Wine is the clear form horse, with a string of seconds and thirds at this course/distance and strong soft-track credentials. She is the horse to beat on exposed form, but her pattern of settling deep and winning only once in seven starts at Belmont 1000m leaves her vulnerable in a track environment that rewards forward runners. She is a reliable place option but not the top win selection.
Too Darn Stormy has been competitive in better-class races over 1200m and should improve on his first-up fourth at this track. He is better suited over a furlong further, however, and barrier 10 makes the 1000m assignment harder at Belmont, where wide runners are historically disadvantaged.
Gold Flakes has been knocking on the door with three consecutive thirds in this class range, including a solid third over 1000m at Belmont two starts ago. The wide gate is a query, but early speed should help offset it.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Kings Honour | 5 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 59kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 7 | Diamond Dancer | 3 | B Parnham | Simon Miller | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Eternal Wine | 7 | Chris Parnham | M L Lane | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 5 | King's Drama | 8 | S Parnham | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Who's Bent | 4 | Chanel Cooper | Mitchell Pateman | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Ripper Rupert | 2 | Natasha Faithfull | Luke Fernie | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Too Darn Stormy | 10 | Lucy Fiore | D L Morton | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Snip Of Romance | 1 | Laqdar Ramoly | C G Willis | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Gold Flakes | 9 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 53.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Storm Lord | 6 | J Whiting | Tina Glasson | 54kg | $151.00 |
Hurricane Harley is the one to beat. He has won two of his last three starts, both over 1200m at Belmont, including a soft-track victory last time out. He maps on-pace from barrier six in a moderate tempo, is race fit, and has a strong association with Austin Galati. The main knocks are a tendency to race keenly and the step up in quality, but his recent pattern and fitness edge make him the most likely winner.
Country God is the clear winning threat. His 3-from-5 record on soft tracks is the best wet-track profile in the field, and he is 2 from 2 at the Belmont 1200m. Chris Parnham stays aboard with a strong association on the horse. First-up fitness is the query and his last campaign was only fair, but the class drop to BM66+ and an inside gate give him every chance to resume in style.
Swansee brings the strongest recent form, winning three of her last five starts on rain-affected ground and controlling races from the front. She should find the lead from barrier four and has only 54kg on her back. The concerns are the step up to metropolitan BM66+ company and her ordinary Belmont record, but her soft-track consistency and race pattern make her a solid place chance.
He drops back to BM66+, is second-up after an ordinary fresh run, and has strong course-distance credentials with 3 wins from 6 at 1200m. His soft-track record shows 2 wins from 6, so the improving Soft 6 surface suits. The query is his likely midfield/back position from barrier eight on a track that favours forward runners, but his class and second-up profile offer genuine value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Six Shooter | 3 | B Parnham | M L Lane | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Swansee | 4 | C Johnston-Porter | N D Dellar | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Hurricane Harley | 6 | Austin Galati | Summer Dickson | 56.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 6 | Country God | 2 | Chris Parnham | N D Parnham | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 2 | Platinum Shot | 7 | Natasha Faithfull | D & B Pearce | 60kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Hubble's Dragon | 5 | Holly Nottle | D L Morton | 53.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 3 | Prospector's Pick | 8 | Natika Riordan | Simon Miller | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Sunny Honey | 1 | Chanel Cooper | D R Harrison | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Split The Gee | 6 | Luke Fernie | 56kg |
God's Gate is the clear form anchor. He raced in this exact grade over 1300m at Belmont two weeks ago and ran second, and prior to that placed on Soft 5 over 1200m. His two wins from four attempts at 1300m and barrier one give him the tactical right to sit closer to the lead on a track favouring on-pace runners. Top weight is a query, but he has been ultra-consistent and should be the one they all have to get past.
Progressive gelding who resumed from a spell with a strong win on Soft 5 at Bunbury, coming from midfield. He is second-up today, a scenario in which he already has a win from one attempt. He is untried at the trip and this track, but the class drop from Class 1 to this restricted grade and the low weight scale give him scope.
Dirty Habits has done nothing wrong in four starts, culminating in a maiden win on Soft 5 over 1700m. All form on rain-affected ground is excellent, with a win and a placing from two soft-track starts. Holly Nottle is a strong Belmont rider and Pateman has the horse ready to step up through the grades. The rise from maiden company is the main concern, but the race shape and low weight put him in the finish.
My Jimmy returned from a spell with a strong second in midweek Class 3 company on Soft 6, finishing hard from the rear. He is second-up, a record that reads two wins from four attempts. He drops back to restricted metropolitan grade and gets a handy 54kg with Joey Azzopardi retaining the ride.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Main Act | 6 | B Parnham | R C McPherson | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Kelvinater | 11 | Taj Dyson | F R Kersley | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | God's Gate | 1 | S Parnham | N D Parnham | 59kg | $2.10 |
| 4th | 12 | Village Girl | 5 | S O'Donnell | Takahide Ikenushi | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Dirty Habits | 7 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Get Out Mick | 10 | Jade Mc Naught | B S Seinor | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 2 | God's Cross | 4 | J Whiting | B V Watkins | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 10 | Mavis Myrtle | 9 | Chanel Cooper | C G Willis | 52kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Diamond Warrior | 3 | Natika Riordan | N D Parnham | 53.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Later Alligator | 8 | Victoria Corver | Ryan Hill | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Beau's A Lad | 2 | Laqdar Ramoly | Greg Cave | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 11 | My Jimmy | 8 | Joey Azzopardi | T M Wolfe | 54kg |
Chantel drops from Class 5 company into this restricted 0 Metro Win-LY after two strong runs: a close second over 1600m when leading and a third on soft. She has the best recent class form, proven distance and soft-track credentials, plus low weight and a suitable inside barrier. Belmont's on-pace lean and moderate tempo suit her front-running style.
He is tactically versatile and has wet-track form, while the Carbery/Pateman combination is a strong pointer. However, this is a significant class rise from maiden/Class 1 grade, and he has never run over 1600m.
Olaf The Snowman has improved with racing and produced a promising third in Class 3 company at Belmont last start. His soft-track record is excellent and the stable/jockey combination is in form. The negatives are his only poor run at 1600m and a backmarker style that can be disadvantaged on soft Belmont ground.
Stylax is a veteran who showed he can still win this exact class when leading throughout over 1600m on soft ground last start. His Belmont track-and-distance stats are strong, and he can control a moderate tempo. The negatives are his advancing age, patchy consistency and a 4kg weight rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Olaf The Snowman | 2 | S Parnham | C & M Gangemi | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Phat Chaps | 11 | P Carbery | Mitchell Pateman | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Chantel | 5 | Natika Riordan | Joshua Krispyn | 52.5kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 3 | Musgrave | 4 | B Parnham | S J Miller | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 11 | He's Archie | 6 | Joey Azzopardi | Ms C Stelmach | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Stylax | 3 | Brandon Louis | S P Proudfoot | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Miss Wall Street | 8 | Chanel Cooper | Mack Hall | 52kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Romantic Ruler | 10 | J Whiting | Ms K Fleming | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Kleva Conned | 9 | S O'Donnell | A W Maley | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Heavenly Rapture | 7 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 52.5kg | $6.50 |
| 11th | 4 | Changing Guard | 1 | C Johnston-Porter | D T McAuliffe | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Ginger Green | 2 | Steele Casey | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Buderim | 6 | Brandon Fiore | 55kg |
Zeezea is the clear form horse, having won her last two starts over this exact 1400m trip on Soft5 at Belmont. The wide draw is a negative, but she was wide throughout when winning last time and has the early speed to hold a forward spot.
Cosmic Waltz is the model of consistency, with ten top-three finishes from his last eleven runs, including a second placing in this grade over 1600m on Soft5 last start. Barrier 3, 56kg and a midfield sit should give him every chance from the ideal draw. The knock is his poor conversion rate: only one win from eleven.
Belaura Star has already won on a Soft5 track and saluted in a Class 3 at this course two starts ago. He owns an inside gate, manageable weight and a rider who has placed on him before. The query is the rise to 1400m for the first time and a last-start seventh. Still, his wet-track record and upward progression make him a genuine place chance in an open race.
Allentown's pattern suits this race: he races on the pace, has placed in four of his last five starts, and is proven on rain-affected ground, including a Heavy 9 win. His third in the same grade over 1300m Soft5 last start shows he is ready for this trip. The main doubts are a thin 1400m record and the recent cold streak of rider B Parnham.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Silent Diva | 4 | C Johnston-Porter | G & A Williams | 57.5kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 8 | Cosmic Waltz | 3 | S Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 56kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 9 | Lien Hyphen | 5 | Natasha Faithfull | Sue Olive | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Uncle Gerard | 8 | S O'Donnell | J N Pateman | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Zeezea | 9 | Austin Galati | Summer Dickson | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Allentown | 7 | B Parnham | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Belaura Star | 1 | Jarrad Noske | Tiarnna Noske | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 1 | Don't Trust Judas | 2 | S Parnham | S V Vahala | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Roaming America | 6 | Holly Nottle | Mack Hall | 55kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Highland Flair | 8 | H S McLaren | 56.5kg |
He has nine top-three finishes from his last ten starts, including a narrow second over 1400m here last time, and his three runs at 1600m include a Listed win and two seconds. Soft ground has produced four placings from five starts, and the Lucy Fiore and Morton combination is a proven big-race factor. An on-pace run from barrier 3 should give him every chance.
His Victorian form over 1600m includes thirds in BM74 and BM78 grade, proving this trip is within range. The wide barrier is the main query, but he has the pace to slot into midfield. With a strong soft-track record and a leading stable/jockey combination, he is the clear second string to The Crimson Pirate.
Supernatural was a strong second over this exact course and distance last start on Heavy8, working home from well back in a BM72+ race. Her soft-track record shows three placings from six attempts, while the knock is no Belmont win and a deep map from barrier 10. If the moderate tempo allows her to close, she is a genuine place threat.
Currimundi appeals as the clear overlay. He drops from BM84+ to BM72+ after a closing third over 1650m at Belmont, and his course/distance record shows two wins from four starts. The wet profile is solid with two soft-track wins, and barrier 1 suits his midfield pattern. The 60kg impost is a major query after 54.5kg last time, and he has had some plain runs this campaign.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | The Crimson Pirate | 3 | Lucy Fiore | D L Morton | 56kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 11 | Yes I Know | 10 | C Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 54kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | Supernatural | 9 | Chanel Cooper | A G Durrant | 54kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Memory Parade | 7 | Natika Riordan | S & J Casey | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Snazzler | 5 | Holly Nottle | J N Pateman | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Currimundi | 1 | S Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Decision Maker | 8 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 8 | All Grunt | 2 | Jarrad Noske | Tiarnna Noske | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Statewide | 4 | S Parnham | N D Parnham | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Boots Like Bruce | 6 | A Hearn | Dexter Aiken | 59.5kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Exceltrain | 7 | Chris Parnham | D & B Pearce | 57.5kg |
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