Rosehill tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.50 · Tyler Schiller

The strongest form line in the race at today's exact trip and going. He gets 3.5kg relief today, keeps Schiller and draws barrier 3.

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · Rachel King

Today she draws barrier 1 with just 52.0kg, the ideal setup at Rosehill over 1800m where inside gates and light weights hold sway. She has won her only soft-track start and stays 1800m comfortably on Canterbury 1900m evidence.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Tim Clark

Genuinely progressive four-year-old with the right credentials for the conditions. Zou Force has already won on a Soft 7 and ran a big second in Class 2 over this exact 1400m at Wagga when caught wide, so both the trip and the grade are proven. The barrier 15 draw is the clear negative at a track where wide gates struggle, and metropolitan class is a genuine step, which is why he sits second rather than first.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Ashley Morgan

The most reliable form line at the grade. Lovecats was third in Class 2 at Randwick on Soft 6 only six days ago after settling near last and being asked to make up enormous ground, which reads far better than the bare result. She drops nothing in weight at 54.5kg, and the fast tempo projected here suits her closing pattern.

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Ms M Weir

She has won over 1400m and has a soft-track win on her record, carries a light 54.0kg from a workable barrier 8, and maps to settle fourth — close enough to be in the finish without being exposed to the leader collapse. Weir has won twice from four rides on her.

Our price $11.00 · SP $18.00 · Braith Nock

A genuine overlay. He can settle anywhere, which matters in a moderate tempo.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.70 · Braith Nock

She carries just 56.5kg with the claim and has drawn well in six. The class rise and a back-half settling position against Rosehill's on-pace soft bias are the risks, but she has repeatedly overcome midfield-to-back positions to win.

Our price $8.50 · SP $9.00 · Rachel King

The value play. She is the only runner in the field with a win at Rosehill over today's 1500m, and her soft-track record of three wins and two placings from twelve starts is the strongest wet profile here. She arrives off a Soft 5 win over 1600m at Newcastle with just 53.5kg and barrier three.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Tim Clark

The best proven course-grade-and-condition form in the race. The map is the appeal: early-speed rank 2 and a predicted settle around second is the single most productive position at this track on rain-affected ground.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · A Hyeronimus

The most predictable runner in the race and the one who dictates the shape. With just one other genuine leader engaged, he should get a soft, uncontested tempo from barrier 5, which is exactly the profile Rosehill rewards on soft going. Two poor Rosehill runs this campaign are the concern, but both came from back in the field rather than in front.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.40 · Zac Lloyd

Our price $5.50 · SP $17.00 · Dylan Gibbons

The only horse here with proven Group 3 winning form, and it was produced at Rosehill over 1400m on a Soft 6 - precisely today's conditions. His record on soft is 1 start for 1 win, at this track 1 start for 1 win, and he then handled Group 1 company at Randwick. He won a Rosehill trial on Soft 5 last week and his first-up record is 1 start for 1 win.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.30 · Tim Clark

A one-start colt with a genuine profile: he won at Canterbury over 1200m on Soft 5 despite interference at the start, and he did it by improving to the front at the 400m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · C Schofield

He has already run second in a Group 3 at this track over 1200m and won at Rosehill on Soft 7, so both the class and the going are proven rather than assumed. His record on soft is 4 starts for 1 win, and his second-up record is 1 start for 1 win, which is today's assignment. The Caulfield first-up sixth came with an awkward start and interference near the 100m.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Rachel King

A Group 3 winner at Rosehill who returns off a winning Randwick trial in which he narrowly accounted for Guest House.

Our price $3.60 · SP $5.50 · Tim Clark

The forgotten winner of this same race. Rosehill soft-track data is emphatic that leaders and inside gates dominate, and from barrier 3 with a moderate tempo forecast he maps to control proceedings again.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Regan Bayliss

Ran an excellent first up third behind Althoff over 1400m here on Soft 5, and he met that rival on much worse weight terms than today's relative shift. Second up he is 2 starts for 1 win, he handles Rosehill with 2 wins from 8 there and has 2 wins from 8 on soft ground. The 59kg and a habit of placing rather than winning keep him third.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Mollie Fitzgerald

The forgotten runner who maps best. She is the sole genuine leader on a track where front-runners win at nearly four times the backmarker rate, and she gets in on 49.5kg after carrying 60.5kg at Wyong — an enormous swing. Her Kembla Grange second in this exact grade, beaten a nose on a Soft 7 while leading, proves she belongs.