Cranbourne tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $15.00 · Jackson Radley

Quynh is still a maiden, but both her race runs were close to winning standard, and she was beaten less than two lengths each time after settling near the tail. She drops to 53kg and draws barrier 1, and a firmer track than she has raced on so far could help. The concern is her racing pattern, because a backmarker in a slowly run race at Cranbourne is up against it. She is a solid place prospect rather than a likely winner.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.60 · Luke Nolen

The clear danger. Pinazaki has run consistently well every time and gets blinkers on for the first time. At Seymour he raced on the speed and held his ground for third. With the gear change he could hold a handier position from barrier 4. The 1400m is new, but he has been finishing his races well.

Our price $14.00 · SP $26.00 · Dylan Dunn

The early speed in a race likely run at a moderate tempo on a track that suits on-pace runners. His Geelong run where he led and was beaten narrowly was good enough to win many maidens. If he rolls forward from barrier 9 and gets an easy lead, he's the one most likely to cause an upset.

Our price $2.60 · SP $3.50 · Billy Egan

The clear form horse. He drops sharply in grade after a close third in the McKenzie Stakes and has run to a winning standard at every start, including two runs where he was held up. From barrier 6 he should sit just off Pursuit and Faster Link at a genuine but not hot tempo. He is the most likely winner.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.20 · Mark Zahra

He should lead from barrier 5 in a race with only one other genuine leader.

Our price $7.50 · SP $12.00 · Michael Dee

He has the most early speed in the field and should lead or sit on Pursuit's back from barrier 4, which is the best spot at Cranbourne. His fade at Seymour came on heavy ground, and a Good track suits better.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Billy Egan

The Devil In Her has run faster times than most of this field, including a strong effort over 2100m at Sandown when the tempo was against her. However, she keeps settling near the back, and a slow, one-leader race at Cranbourne works against her style. Her strike rate around this trip is also poor. She should run on for a place, but winning is harder.

Our price $3.30 · SP $4.40 · Jye McNeil

With no other genuine leader in the field, he should be able to control a slow tempo from barrier 4, which is the pattern that won him his last two races at this level at Geelong. Last start he was up in grade and went too hard early, so this drop back suits him. The firmer track is a question, but it should soften during the day, and the map strongly favours him on a Friday at a track where leaders hold on.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Jake Noonan

The map suits her. From barrier 1 she should sit right behind the leader in a slowly-run race, which is the best spot at Cranbourne. Her Ballarat run last start rates better than finishing 11th suggests, and she has already won above this grade.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Damian Lane

The map suits her better than anyone. She is the lone leader in a 955m sprint at Cranbourne, where horses leading early have been hard to run down. Her last race win came over this exact course and distance on a good track, leading all the way in a stronger grade than today's. She has had two recent jump-outs and has Damian Lane back on. The main doubt is her trainer's cold run, but her form and the likely run of the race make her the most likely winner.

Our price $9.00 · SP $17.00 · Ben Allen

His recent times make him the value runner.

Our price $7.50 · SP $20.00 · Holly Durnan

She now drops in class and gets the lightest weight. She is proven at 1400m, and she and her jockey are 2 from 2 together. From barrier 8 she needs a bit of luck to hold a forward spot, and her good-track record is only fair.

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Logan Bates

Two runs ago she won at Flemington in fast time, a run good enough to win this race. That was on a good track, which suits her better than the soft ground at her last start. Barrier 14 and a likely spot near the back are real negatives here.

Our price $2.10 · SP $1.55 · Blake Shinn

Gold Chariot has the best recent form in this field: a Bm66 mile win from a wide gate, then a narrow second in stronger Bm74 company. He has placed in five of six starts and holds the most upside of anyone here. Top weight and an awkward map are the risks. From barrier 3, though, Shinn should hold him closer than the speed map predicts, as he did last start. He is short, but he is the most likely winner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Thomas Stockdale

Although he finished only sixth at Sale, King's Coronation ran faster than most in this field. That race also involved Finance Shogun. From barrier 4 he should sit just behind the pace, which suits Cranbourne. He drops 2kg from last start and has won his only previous mile race.