Ewan tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Adam Sewell

The value runner. She drops out of stronger restricted-class races into a maiden, and only went down narrowly after leading at Atherton last start. From gate four her on-pace style should have her in the box seat on a track that rewards front-runners, and her trainer has a strong record here.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.20 · Ben Kennedy

Mr Damage maps perfectly for Ewan: the inside gate plus early speed should see him settle just behind the leaders, and if the two front-runners go hard he is the one best placed to capitalise. The query is his poor win strike rate - he finds one or two better far too often.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Aidan Holt

To Love Somebody drops sharply in class into this BM50, the level he won at in June, and his regular rider has a win on him. He can produce a strong finish when the leaders go too hard and the fast tempo expected here should play into his hands.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Ivo Fry

A tough on-pace gelding who led and was only narrowly run down in a strong Open sprint at Townsville last start. He has won his only previous start here and the leader-friendly Ewan circuit suits him perfectly. The query is a fast tempo with a rival likely to press forward early, but if he gets control he will be hard to catch.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Samantha Pointon

The punters' elect and an improving on-pacer who won with authority on soft ground earlier in the campaign. He will slot in just behind the speed from gate six, an ideal spot on a circuit that rewards forward runners, and his regular rider knows this track well. The risk is the sharp step up from restricted company to Open grade.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Samantha Pointon

Comes out of Open Handicap company into a 70-grade, a big drop in class. He has an excellent record at this trip, winning four of six, and scored over 1800m two starts ago before a solid third in stronger grade last time. Gate one is a real plus at Ewan and his jockey rides this track well. The concern is a poor wet-track record and he is now an eight-year-old, but on class he is a leading contender.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Mitch Goring

He is the only genuine speed in the race, so in a slowly-run staying contest he should get an uncontested lead, which is exactly the profile Ewan rewards. He won his last start and has twice finished second over this course and distance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Ben Kennedy

Vouchers gets the draw that matters at Ewan and maps to settle right behind the speed, which is exactly the profile that wins here. He drops in grade and showed two runs back he can produce a competitive effort.

Our price $10.00 · SP $20.00 · Isabella Teh

Sweetpea Moochi arrives in the best touch of her career, a last-start winner with four top-three finishes in her last five and the same rider who has already won on her. She drops in class and should be running on strongly. The worry is her get-back style at a track where on-pacers dominate, plus a first look at 1750m.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.50 · Wanderson D'Avila

The problem is the map: he settles well back and has drawn wide-ish in eight at a track where on-pacers and leaders win nearly everything.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Lacey Morrison

Consistent veteran with three wins and four seconds at 1200m who gets the services of a stable that wins 27% of its runners at Ewan.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.50 · Lauren Guernier

Progressive gelding who won well last start and now steps to a trip he has won at, drawn to sit handy from gate four. His trainer knows this track well and the jockey-trainer pairing is a strong one. He drops in class and handles give in the ground. The only query is a quick six-day turnaround after a sprint win, but he shapes as the one to beat.

Our price $5.00 · SP $11.00 · Wanderson D'Avila

The value of the race. He has been racing in stronger company, handles the wet better than most of these, and his recent form reads as well as anything in the field.