Belmont Park tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Twilight Star is the value runner outside the main form trio. She has no raceday form, so the case rests on two Lark Hill trials, the latest a clear win in faster time than the stable's other debutant on the same morning, plus barrier 5 and an Earthlight pedigree that fits a 1000m sprint. The rider is cold and the stable is only moderate, so she is a risk on debut.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Diamond Choux gets third on winning chance because she has already shown she can run into the minors at this trip. The two Bunbury thirds on good ground were honest on-pace-to-midfield efforts and she has a second at this track.

Our price $11.00 · SP $16.00 · Holly Watson

Dropping out of a Class 1 into this maiden is a helpful class shift, and barrier 8 lets her find a midfield spot without the extreme outside.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Taj Dyson

Winless in 21 starts but rarely far away, and his last two efforts at this trip were genuinely good. A genuine place chance with an each-way upside.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Brad Parnham

Had good form as a two-year-old, finishing a close third over 1200m at Ascot and contesting a Group 3. He drops to maiden grade and has trialled nicely for this. The big negative is a wide barrier, which makes life hard in a 1200m sprint at Belmont, so he will need luck to slot in with cover. If he gets the right run he has the class to be in the finish.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Chris Parnham

On debut she was beaten under four lengths after racing wide and green throughout, doing well to stick on. Now she draws the inside gate with early speed to settle handy, and in-form Chris Parnham takes over.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.60 · Chris Parnham

His two-year-old form is the strongest in this field: both Ascot placings were run to a winning standard and he then won at this track and trip. He is proven fresh, has trialled twice, and Chris Parnham is riding in top form for a stable that gets them ready.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

At this track, horses that lead or sit handy win more than their share, and this is the only runner with a consistent leading pattern in a race where the lead is up for grabs. His second-up record is a win from one try, he places most times on Good ground, and his Albany efforts behind decent sprinters would be competitive against this field.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.80 · Holly Nottle

He has the talent to be in the finish and gets the setup he wants: second-up, with a genuine excuse for his fresh failure from the widest gate at Kalgoorlie. Two starts back over this trip at Ascot he was closing after being held up, which reads as a much better run than his finishing position suggests. Fit stable, good rider pairing, and the mile here does not penalise his wide-ish gate.

Our price $6.00 · SP $21.00 · Joey Azzopardi

His Belmont 1650m win last month was the best run in this field at this level, and last week's Ascot sixth was a sound effort against better-run opposition. The moderate tempo with one clear leader lets him sit second and pounce, the running pattern that wins Belmont miles. The Moora failure was explained by kickback.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Brad Parnham

A consistent galloper whose last four runs have all been within a few lengths of a winning standard, the steadiest profile in the race. He gets the right map, settling midfield and close enough to strike, and has already won over this track and distance.

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Laqdar Ramoly

Pure map value. She is the only confirmed leader in the field and should control a moderate tempo on a track where front-runners and stalkers dominate. Her autumn Ascot form, with two narrow seconds in better races, was the best in this field, and the 12-length first-up loss came over a sprint trip while racing wide. If she settles into a comfortable rhythm in front she can give the leaders a target they cannot catch.

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.50 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Safari Boy produced the best run in this field last start when a nose from winning at Moora in Bm64 grade, and he backs that up with a sound Bunbury effort in a class 3. He now drops to 54+ with the inside gate and a jockey who wins at Belmont. The map has a lone leader so he should settle in the first six, which is where Belmont winners come from.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Steven Parnham

Olden gets the race run to suit. He is the only horse with a leading record, draws barrier 2 and should dictate a slow tempo in a race where on-pace runners hold a clear edge at Belmont. He won twice over 2200m at Northam last month before being outclassed in Bm66 grade, and now returns to the level he was winning at. The step up to 59kg is the main query at his age, but he can be very hard to run down if allowed to dawdle.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Sharni Webster

Barney Rommel beat several of these at Bunbury last start in the same grade and goes around with the lightest weight in the race after the claim. His class 1 form at Bunbury was genuinely competitive and he is still improving. The negatives are the wide draw, a likely midfield-to-back settle under a slow tempo, and connections with poor Belmont numbers.