Strathalbyn tips and results

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.50 · Campbell Rawiller

Chilly Bro is the likely leader in a race with no strong pace, and front-end runners do well at this track. Its best run was a near-win over 2000m on soft. The lame vet note last start is a concern, but 16 days is enough time to recover.

Our price $6.20 · SP $16.00 · Jessica Booth

Don't Say Do is the on-pace mare in a race with no proven leader and a moderate tempo. She has two seconds from four starts around this trip and was beaten a nose in a Jamestown maiden last start. Booth is riding well and claims 2kg. She has also placed on rain-affected ground. The query is specific: at this course and distance on soft she tired after pressing, with the rider saying she did not handle the track, and barrier 11 repeats that test.

Our price $4.80 · SP $7.00 · Andrew Stead

Just Comet has the best wet-track record in the field, with a second and two thirds from five soft starts, and she has already run third at this course and distance. Last start she was beaten under a length at Gawler after being slow and making ground. Blinkers come off and barrier two gives Stead a chance to tuck in. She still has to be much closer than her usual spot near the tail, because horses buried at the 400m seldom win at Strathalbyn.

Our price $8.50 · SP $11.00 · Campbell Rawiller

Ashen Glow is the upset if the race is run to suit a leader. Rawiller's record at Strathalbyn is a genuine plus.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Taylor Johnstone

Blinkers and barrier 2 should help him travel closer to the speed today with Johnstone aboard.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · Harry Grace

Bolshoi Bella's Mt Gambier fourth on soft ground at today's trip was a stronger effort than the margin, weaving through late after being ridden along from worse than midfield. She has the early speed to be closer from barrier 6, carries 54kg, and her trainer's record here is a real plus. If she again gives the leaders a big start she can be run off her feet, which is why she is third.

Our price $12.00 · SP $11.00 · Jordyn Weatherley

She is the only likely leader, draws barrier 4, and this circuit rewards horses that turn in the first three in a race with no strong pressure. She has already sat on the speed at 1200m on soft and hit the frame.

Our price $12.00 · SP $11.00 · Tala Hutchinson

He was a clear second at Gawler sixteen days ago, his second run from a spell, and he places regularly second-up. If the leader tires late he is the one from the back with the recent form to arrive.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.00 · Rose Hammond

Aitch D'amico has the course record and the class edge. He has won at Strathalbyn, places at the trip, and his latest run in a stronger handicap was in a race full of depth even though he finished ninth from the back. Barrier 1 and a 2kg claim help on a soft track.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.00 · Andrew Stead

Galloping Guru is the soft-track specialist in the field, with a win, two seconds and three thirds from six starts on rain-affected ground. He gets blinkers back on, only 56kg, and an improving profile, and he already finished ahead of several of these at Halidon ten days ago.

Our price $7.00 · SP $21.00 · Ben Price

Star Casino brings the best class and a topweight. He led and fought on for a close third over 1600m last start and should be handy again from barrier four. The concern is the 61.5kg on a soft track, and his mile record is not flattering.

Our price $18.00 · SP $31.00 · Stacey Metcalfe

Hamner Springs is the value play. He is a dual course-and-distance winner at Strathalbyn and has won on soft ground here. He is likely to lead, and this track rewards horses on the speed.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.90 · Stephanie Wright

Frontpoint is the form pick because he has already won this assignment. On 27 September he took over before the turn at Strathalbyn in a Bench 56 on soft ground and kept going to score clearly. He is lightly weighted again with Stephanie Wright's claim, and this course rewards horses that are in the first few turning in. The risk is a hot speed if Frontpoint cannot cross from barrier 9.

Our price $5.20 · SP $6.00 · Andrew Stead

His Balaklava win was a last-to-first effort in a stronger race, he handles soft ground, and today's Bench 56 is a drop in class.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.00 · Noel Callow

Flying Ace is the pace horse. He is the quickest to begin, he has a long record of running the trip, and horses that control or sit just off the lead are the right profile at Strathalbyn, including on the recent soft meetings.

Our price $8.50 · SP $18.00 · Jessica Booth

He has never missed the placings in four of five soft starts, he broke his maiden over 1400m by taking over late, and the drop back from a flat 1600m effort should help.