Geelong tips and results

Our price $12.00 · SP $16.00 · Lucinda Boyd

An 8-year-old who is a course and distance winner and should sit handy in a slow race. He ran well in Bm78 company at Morphettville, finishing second, and drops in grade today. The stable's lack of recent winners and his tendency to over-race keep him as a value play only.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Carleen Hefel

Easily the best placed of the class droppers. She has been racing in much stronger mares' company and her fast-finishing third two runs ago says she is well up to this. Last start is a write-off after she knuckled badly at the start, with the rider unhappy with her action. Drawn to sit just off a genuine tempo and she is a proven 1100m winner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Luke Currie

Geelong 1100m specialist who has won all three of his starts here, including both over this trip, and he does it by leading. He was only fair at Bendigo last start but has had a freshen and returns to his happy hunting ground. In a race where the speed map hands him the lead, he is the one they have to chase down.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Blake Shinn

Lario is the best roughie with the right map. He has won three of four at Geelong, his last campaign included a BM78 win and a narrow BM76 second, and he can settle on the pace from barrier 3. First-up he has won once and placed in three of five.

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00 · Thomas Stockdale

He walked in a BM70 at Ballarat and won the start before that, and he has a win and a placing from three first-up runs. Barrier 1 gives Stockdale a chance to be closer than his usual back-of-the-field pattern.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.50 · Lachlan Neindorf

Drops out of much stronger fillies races into this grade with the right profile for Geelong: brilliant early speed and a soft draw in five, so she should lead or sit outside the leader in a race lacking pressure. Her autumn effort when leading over 1440m at Caulfield was full of merit, and she has the class on paper to be in the finish. The queries are a four-month break and a breathing issue the last time she led over this trip.

Our price $12.00 · SP $6.00 · Jamie Mott

Raced without luck first up here when held up before finishing hard for third over 1250m, and he strips fitter second up. He is unbeaten on good ground, has a win and a placing from two starts at this track, and drops out of a much stronger three-year-old race. Drawn nicely in six for a stable that has a strong record here and only has this one runner at the meeting.

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.00 · Jett Stanley

Cold Shower is the pick on form and map. He won at Geelong over 2270m two weeks ago, finishing strongly, and has the right profile for a slow-run 2200m. He should sit just off the lone leader from barrier 3, the best position at this track.

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Michael Dee

He has the only genuine leading record in the field, a perfect barrier, and a slow tempo is likely to suit. He's been second on four of five starts and runs on well, but has struggled to hold off challengers. The class rise is significant, but if he gets an easy lead at a track that rewards front-runners, he's a real each-way chance.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.00 · Ethan Brown

The drop from the Australasian Oaks is real. She is still only third because Geelong punishes horses that settle back, the pace looks only moderate, and she is drawn to be near last from barrier 1.

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.00 · Blake Shinn

The Euphrates is the only true leader and should dictate a moderate 2400m on a track that heavily rewards on-pace runners. He won a Group 2 last month and was brave in the Metropolitan, so a Group 3 drop looks ideal. The 58.5kg is manageable and the combination of stable and jockey is potent. Best form in the field.

Our price $7.00 · SP $19.00 · Jordan Childs

Vauban is a Group 1 performer of the highest quality in a Group 3, and his best runs would be too good for most of these. Jockey can find a position from the draw with a moderate tempo.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Jamie Melham

Litzdeel gets the perfect barrier and a light weight to sit handy behind the leader on a track that favours on-pace runners. She ran a gallant second in the Bart Cummings over a similar trip and has been consistent at this level. Winning has been hard to come by, but the map and weight are in her favour.

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.50 · Damian Lane

Soulcombe was caught wide and had no luck in the Herbert Power Stakes but ran on well for seventh. Drawing barrier 2 and a drop in grade should help him, and he has won over 2400m.

Our price $4.90 · SP $3.60 · Jamie Mott

He was winning before the spell, has a strong first-up record and gets a good draw and light weight. His midfield style is a mild negative in a race that may favour the speed, and the class rise is a question. He has the ability to win but I rate him just behind the leader on the map.

Our price $5.80 · SP $7.50 · Harry Coffey

His last run came first-up on Heavy ground, which he did not handle. On Good ground he has run to a winning standard in this type of race.

Our price $4.80 · SP $5.50 · Damian Lane

Has been running to a winning standard in Bm84 company without getting the job done, and drops back to Bm78 here. The very fast tempo should give him a good run from midfield or just behind.

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · John Allen

On pure class this horse is well above the rest of the field, having contested Group 1 and Listed races. First-up from a long spell with top weight and a cold stable is a significant risk, and he settles back. Worth an each-way play.