Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Wednesday 21 October 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Eagle Farm. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Swift Sovereign is the most likely winner on how this heavy 1830m maiden should be run. He has the early speed to hold a forward spot from barrier 3, and a slow tempo plays to a horse that can travel handy and quicken.
Kalamia King owns the course record that matters: two seconds from two Eagle Farm runs, the latest a lip defeat in an 1800m maiden. From barrier 2 he is the projected leader, which fits a heavy track and a race with no established leader.
She is still only third here because she maps as a backmarker, the tempo is slow, and she has never raced on heavy, while her three soft runs brought no placings.
Barrier 5 is acceptable and the stable also has the on-pace chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Swift Sovereign | 3 | Robbie Dolan | Christos Zintilis | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Kindred | 4 | Ben E Thompson | Billy Healey | 56.5kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 2 | Pungwe River | 1 | Jade Hampson | Marcus Wilson | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Kalamia King | 2 | Emily Pozman | John Zielke | 56.5kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 3 | Slightly Squeeze | 6 | Georgina Cartwright | Tiffany Hardgrave | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Silvertail | 5 | Jaden Lloyd | Christos Zintilis | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
Angel Ladder is the only genuine leader and should get an uncontested lead in a moderately run sprint, which suits on a wet track where backmarkers struggle. She has won over this course and distance and ran well in Listed company on Heavy 8 here. The claim helps, though she can fade when pressed late and the rider is out of form. Still the best-mapped runner with the strongest class credentials.
Cabaletto has been consistent at 1000m and is the most dependable placegetter in the field. She should settle handy behind Angel Ladder and has a stable and jockey combination in good form. A rider comment after a previous Eagle Farm run said she would suit more rain-affected ground, which is a positive. Heavy form is unproven, but she looms as the main threat on form.
Her best wins have come when she was forward or on a short trip.
Moroccan Wind comes out of a good trial and has won and run second over 1000m at Sunshine Coast. Barrier 1 gives him a good chance to get handy, although he tends to settle back.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Cabaletto | 7 | Ryan Maloney | Chris and Corey Munce | 56.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 3 | Le Chocolat | 2 | Ben E Thompson | Matthew Dunn | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Miss Wildcat | 3 | Emily Pozman | Marcus Wilson | 52kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Angel Ladder | 5 | Chelsea Baker | Ciaron Maher | 56kg | $2.15 |
| 5th | 2 | Sea Admiral | 4 | Anna Roper | Jackson Morris | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Moroccan Wind | 1 | Jake Bayliss | Stuart and Bayley Kendrick | 55kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Miss Mclaren | 6 | Adam Campton | 55.5kg |
A genuine wet-track form horse who finished a close second on a Heavy track against open-class company. Now he faces maidens, with a fresh trial behind him, and can sit handy from a reasonable barrier. Looks a good place chance and sits right in the finish.
A debutant with encouraging trials, one of them a head-bobbing second over this trip, and the lightest weight with an inside barrier. The stable and rider combine well.
The most likely winner on form. She has the best recent runs in the field, the speed to be near the lead from the wide gate and a strong jockey in the saddle. The Heavy track is untested and barrier 14 is a burden, but the moderate tempo and a short run to the first bend should let her get forward.
Strong stable and a combination that wins at a high rate, with an improving trial form line: sixth first, then a near second over the same distance. A claiming rider and a good gate help.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Moonlit Aura | 5 | Ryan Maloney | Adam Campton | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Holy Terror | 8 | Jake Bayliss | Stuart and Bayley Kendrick | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 5 | Overabundant | 3 | Jett Newman | Matthew Dunn | 55kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Saluki | 4 | Jaden Lloyd | Ravyn Warzecha | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Montagnola | 7 | Cejay Graham | Kelly Schweida | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Too Darn Right | 1 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Matthew Hoysted | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Dashing Harry | 6 | Bella Youngberry | Tony Gollan | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 15 | Pixie Lane | 10 | Mark Du Plessis | Olivia Cairns | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 13 | The Devil's Girl | 9 | Emily Lang | Craig Cousins | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Outrageous Lass | 11 | Adam Sewell | John L Johnston | 56kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Bar Star | 15 | Adam Campton | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Catfish | 2 | Ryan Tyrell | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Tramca | 13 | Chris and Corey Munce | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Poetic Belle | 14 | Stuart and Bayley Kendrick | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Field Of Clans | 12 | Matthew Dunn | 56kg |
Warrego River is the one I want on form. She is a proven heavy-track winner who led throughout at Ipswich, drops from Listed company to Class 1 and has a strong first-up record. Her recent trial win suggests she is ready to fire, and she maps to be on pace in a race where forward runners are suited.
Frostnip has the pace to lead and her first-up record is a clear positive. The query is the heavy track, as she has not raced on it and her soft-track form is modest. If she gets an easy lead she can take catching, but pressure from Warrego River could expose her late.
Conformity is a consistent wet-track mare who was unlucky last start after being held up. She has a soft-track win and multiple placings, and the inside draw should help her settle closer than usual. The concern is that she is a get-back runner over 1000m, where forward positions are usually favoured.
Promising gelding who led all the way to win his only start on a Soft track and has since won two trials. He has the early speed to cross and lead on a Heavy surface that favours forward runners, which is exactly the profile that wins these sprints. The knocks are top weight of 60kg, a sharp rise from maiden grade and a first-up query, but the upside and the map both point his way.
Consistent type who has won over this track and trip, including a first-up victory, and rarely misses a place. The 3kg claim means he carries a competitive weight and from a good gate he should be in the first handful. Handles soft ground; the unknown is a heavy surface first-up, but his record fresh is solid and this is a very winnable grade.
He has an inside draw, good early speed and drops in class with a light weight. He was placed at this track and distance on soft ground, so the wet surface may not bother him.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Wootten Hyde | 6 | Ben E Thompson | Jack Bruce | 60kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 12 | Warrego River | 7 | Daniel Moor | Tony Gollan | 55.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | On The Clock | 2 | Anna Roper | Liam Birchley | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Conformity | 1 | Angela Jones | Tony Gollan | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Jada Rose | 13 | Boris Thornton | Declan Maher | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Terrax | 5 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Stuart and Bayley Kendrick | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Frostnip | 9 | Andrew Mallyon | Matthew Dunn | 58kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Galavino | 8 | Adam Campton | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Rewrite | 3 | Michael Freedman | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Urban Lad | 12 | Chris and Corey Munce | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Savage Sequel | 4 | Pat W Webster | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Scartoon | 10 | Alyssa and Troy Sweeney | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Life After Love | 11 | Tony Gollan | 58kg |
Giapponese brings the best recent form into a heavy 1830m. He won this course and trip on 3 October, working through traffic to score, and his Eagle Farm record is six starts for two wins and a second. Barrier 3 is a big asset at this start. The risks are 61kg and a pattern of settling back in a race likely to be run slowly, plus only a third from his one heavy start.
Ready For The Trip was only a narrow second to Giapponese in the same Eagle Farm race, and he did it three wide the trip. Ten starts here have produced three wins and three seconds, and he maps on the pace, which suits a slow tempo and heavy going. Bella Youngberry's claim puts him on 56kg for a stable that has won seven of its last 20. Barrier 15 is the catch at this turning start, and his only heavy run ended unplaced.
Think Like Paddy is a soft-track horse first: six starts on soft for three wins, a second and a third, and he drops from a harder handicap with Jett Newman's claim to 54.5kg. He has the early speed to sit handy, which fits a race with only one natural leader. He was fifth behind Giapponese here last start after being hampered near the 300m and still ran to a competitive level. Barrier 10 and a blank heavy record (one unplaced start) keep him third.
Saveur was third in the Eagle Farm race that frames this field, finishing strongly from near the rear under 53kg, and she now draws barrier 2 at 54.5kg. She has shown enough early speed to sit midfield rather than last, which matters if the pace is only steady. There is no heavy-track form to lean on and no jockey is named, so the ride is unknown.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 16 | Peccavi | 1 | Angela Jones | Chris Waller | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Giapponese | 3 | Jace McMurray | Stephen and Jordan Lee | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 14 | Saveur | 2 | Taylor Marshall | Chris Waller | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Great Times Ahead | 11 | Ben E Thompson | Chris Waller | 54.5kg | $2.40 |
| 5th | 3 | Kick On Command | 12 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Desleigh Forster | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Roguery | 8 | Emily Pozman | Tony Gollan | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Techna | 7 | Robbie Dolan | Chris and Corey Munce | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Vermilion Kirin | 4 | Georgina Cartwright | Lindsay Gough | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 17 | Poutchek | 5 | Cejay Graham | Robert Heathcote | 52.5kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Ready For The Trip | 15 | Bella Youngberry | Tony Gollan | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Ancestral | 13 | Andrew Mallyon | Chris Waller | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 13 | Dream Thinker | 14 | Daniel Moor | Tony Gollan | 57kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Think Like Paddy | 10 | Matthew Dunn | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Cantarito | 16 | Chris Waller | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | King Emperor | 6 | Liam Birchley | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Data Leak | 9 | Kevin Kemp | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | All About Artie | 17 | John Smerdon | 56kg |
Vin Santo has the most complete profile for a Heavy 9 at Eagle Farm: proven on heavy ground, racing in winning form and will be on the speed where winners come from here. His last start win at the Sunshine Coast and his Ipswich second were both to a winning standard for this class.
Abender is the class horse of the field dropping in grade off two solid efforts in stronger company. He has drawn the gate every runner wants on this start and has been racing handy of late, which fits the Eagle Farm heavy-track pattern.
Shortcut brings the strongest wet-track evidence in the race, having run on well in a Listed race on heavy ground at this track last autumn. She wins fresh, drops sharply in class and carries a light weight. The concern is her get-back racing style and a pair of unremarkable trials, so she needs the race to be run to suit.
He consistently runs placings second up, he maps to sit second or third from barrier 2 on a track where forward runners win, and he has placed on heavy ground before.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Keep It Real | 5 | Michael Rodd | James Healy | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Mercatello | 10 | Emily Lang | Tony Gollan | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Abender | 3 | Cejay Graham | Tony Gollan | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 9 | Discreet Point | 8 | Daniel Moor | Matthew Dunn | 57kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 10 | Shortcut | 6 | Andrew Mallyon | Matthew Dunn | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 5 | Capital Heart | 2 | Tahlia Fenlon | Chris and Corey Munce | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Damas | 7 | Ryan Maloney | Sally Taylor | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Botanica | 4 | Jade Hampson | Ravyn Warzecha | 51.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Vin Santo | 11 | Tiffani Brooker | Renita Beaton | 59kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Stormland | 9 | Ciaron Maher | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Savaii | 12 | Annabel and Rob Archibald | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Cool Panels | 1 | Lindsay Gough | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Egmont | 13 | Chris Waller | 54kg |
Duke Of Camden is the form horse for a Heavy 9. He maps to sit handy behind the only natural leader, and that is the spot that wins most often here. He already wins on wet ground, the claim takes the weight right down, and Gollan has the stable flying on a midweek card.
Italian Dancer brings the best recent winning form into a race he can control.
He has placed in both recent runs at this class, handles soft ground, and already ran on honestly in open company on heavy at Eagle Farm. Maloney from barrier 5 is the right pair.
Exceed Perfection is the wet-track value. Three seconds from four heavy starts and a stack of placings at this trip show he handles the ground and the distance, and the map has him settling much closer than the closers.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | The Dramatist | 19 | Jett Newman | Liam Birchley | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Duke Of Camden | 2 | Bella Youngberry | Tony Gollan | 57.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 15 | Don't Doubt Missy | 9 | Taylor Marshall | Robert Heathcote | 55.5kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Italian Dancer | 6 | Emily Pozman | Stuart and Bayley Kendrick | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 8 | He'sgotthesay | 8 | Boris Thornton | Glenn Thornton | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Hard Evidence | 7 | Andrew Mallyon | Chris Waller | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Kapakiri | 13 | Ben E Thompson | Chris Waller | 61kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Exceed Perfection | 12 | Tahlia Fenlon | Chris and Corey Munce | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 10 | War Drama | 3 | Jaden Lloyd | Peter Rickards | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Navy Nina | 10 | Dan McGillivray | Todd J Pollard | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 19 | Skorpios Isle | 15 | Cejay Graham | Lindsay Gough | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Bold Hoi Ho | 14 | Anna Roper | Sally Taylor | 58.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Kick On Command | 11 | Desleigh Forster | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Barello | 1 | Stephen and Jordan Lee | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Kokatahi | 5 | Chris Waller | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Run Lucy Run | 17 | Glenn Thornton | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Kickuphigh | 18 | Desleigh Forster | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Maquisa | 4 | Chris Waller | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Kadesky | 16 | Chris Waller | 56kg |
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