Longreach tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.90 · Nikki Olzard

Should get the lead to herself with no other natural front-runner engaged, and that is a significant edge in a Longreach sprint where on-pace runners dominate. The booking of Nikki Olzard, riding at a strong strike rate and with a fine record at this track, is a plus, as is the yard's record with her. The knock is the form — she has been safely held and weakened after travelling well last time.

Our price $4.60 · SP $4.80 · Robert Faehr

Maps as the lone leader from the inside gate, exactly the profile that wins these Longreach sprints, and drops a long way in grade with the bottom weight. The knock is that she has never won over this trip in 14 attempts and is more of a place-getter than a winner, so she is best played to fill a hole rather than win.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · Gabrielle Semmens

Resumes from an 83-day break with the strongest recent performance in the field, a big win at this grade two starts back. The top jockey is riding in great form and he has a sound first-up record. The query is his get-back style at a track where backmarkers rarely win, so he needs the pace to be solid and the leaders to come back to him.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Caine Stuart

Honest mare who won here over this trip earlier in her career and was a close fourth at this grade last start, running on strongly. She is consistent at the distance with four wins. The negatives are clear though: top weight and a wide draw, both significant handicaps in a race the inside runners dominate.

Our price $13.00 · SP $26.00 · Steven Galvin

The likely lone leader in a race the Longreach track profile says will be decided up front. She has won here before and has the early speed to control the tempo without pressure.

Our price $2.50 · SP $3.30 · Robert Faehr

The horse to beat. He won the Open Plate over this exact course and trip in July, holding off I'm Zac, and has three wins from four starts at Longreach. He maps to stalk the leader, the position that wins most races here, and his rider has never been beaten on him. The two-month break is the query, but he has won and placed first-up before.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Gabrielle Semmens

He finished a close second over this exact course and distance last start and will be up on the speed from the inside gate, which is exactly where you want to be at Longreach. The rider is going very well. The negatives are a stable that has not had a winner in a long time and a step up in grade.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Chris Bryen

Drops sharply in grade after mixing it in much stronger company, and his last effort at this trip was the best run of anyone in this field. He settles handy and handles the distance well. The negatives are a wide draw and top weight, plus a quick back-up, so he needs luck early to find a spot.

Our price $14.00 · SP $19.00 · Raul Silvera Olivera

The value play. He is a reliable on-pace type with an excellent record at this track and he maps to settle right up with the speed, which suits this circuit. He rarely runs a bad race and is always around the placings.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.20 · Nikki Olzard

The one they have to catch. He leads them up and Longreach is a track where the on-pace runners control races, so his early speed from a good gate is a real weapon. He gets in on the minimum weight, a full 10kg under the topweight, and Nikki Olzard is riding in outstanding form. The knock is a modest winning record and no win in three tries at the mile. The most likely winner, but not one to mortgage the house on.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.00 · Robert Faehr

The course specialist - three wins and four placings from nine starts at Longreach. He draws inside in two and races on the speed, exactly the profile this track rewards, and Robert Faehr gets a good tune out of him. The worry is that his form is heading the wrong way and he is yet to win at the mile.

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.50 · Paul Hamblin

He has won six times from nineteen over the mile and has won here over the trip, plus he draws the inside gate, which is a big help at Longreach. He has been a consistent placegetter in Open company. The risk is that he rarely wins these days and one recent staying run was plain.