Rosehill tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $1.80 · James McDonald

He led and ran to a winning standard when a close second at this track and grade last start, and his Beaumont win before that was also up to today's class. From barrier 8 he should control the race or sit outside the leader, the ideal spot at Rosehill over this trip.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Alysha Collett

He was beaten a lip in this grade at Rosehill in July, then won at Hawkesbury and ran a close fourth at Wyong under 60.5kg. He drops to 57.5kg today and should settle in the first five from barrier 6, the right spot on this track. The obvious knock is that all four of his wins came on wet ground and he is winless on Good tracks, but he has placed three times on it and his recent runs are as good as most in this field.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.80 · Jason Collett

The map is the key: three genuine leaders should ensure a strong tempo, which plays into the hands of a strong finisher drawn in barrier 2.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.60 · Tim Clark

Zou Force had every excuse for his fourth in the Highway at Rosehill last time when caught wide without cover from the outside gate. Drawn in barrier 5 today he can get cover in midfield behind a very fast tempo and be finishing when the leaders fold.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · Aaron Bullock

Condone is the each-way overlay in the race. His last-start sixth at Rosehill in a stronger grade was better than the result, as he came from last and made ground into a race that did not suit him. Today he drops in class, gets a jockey who wins nearly half the time for this stable, and will have a very fast tempo to run into.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Alysha Collett

Fernao is the value in the race. He was beaten under two lengths by So You Are at Randwick over this trip three weeks ago and his effort that day was as good as anything in the field. He is drawn to save ground from barrier 2, drops to 53kg on his favoured good ground and has placed in 13 of 30 starts.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Zac Lloyd

He draws well, races handy and is lightly raced with clear improvement in him, so he rates a genuine each-way chance.

Our price $18.00 · SP $26.00 · Nash Rawiller

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Kerrin McEvoy

He draws the inside, maps to sit just off a moderate pace and gets Kerrin McEvoy back on.

Our price $10.00 · SP $26.00 · Alysha Collett

Silvanito is the overlay in the race. His last three runs, all at Rosehill, have each measured up to a winning standard and his August third over this distance was among the best runs in this field. He won here last start, drops to 55.5kg for the class rise and maps to sit midfield behind a moderate tempo on a track that favours handy runners.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.20 · James McDonald

He is unbeaten, has already won at Rosehill over this trip, and his last-start win here was a strong performance for the grade despite a slow beginning. The concerns are real: both wins were on rain-affected ground, he gets back in his races on a track that has been unkind to backmarkers, and his trials have been quiet. James McDonald riding for Waller says the stable expects him to measure up.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Tim Clark

Our Emperor is the wildcard. His only start was a runaway maiden win on heavy ground, and everything since has been trials. The Waterhouse and Bott stable rarely throws a lightly raced colt into Group company without reason. The class rise is steep and the barrier is wide, but a soft lead would make him very hard to run down.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Tom Sherry

Half Pipe is the value in the race.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Dylan Gibbons

She is a prolific placegetter on good ground and will roll forward from a mid draw on a track that suits her style.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Tim Clark

Surfin' Bird is the map horse. She is the quickest to begin, draws barrier 3 and gets 54kg on a track where leaders win most races on good ground. Her Eagle Farm win over a mile in June was strong and she has won five of nine. The concerns are a class rise into a Group 2 without a stakes win to her name and the fact she resumes off two modest trials after a break since June, so she is a place selection rather than a win play.

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.45 · Zac Lloyd

Guest House is the class of the field as a Golden Slipper winner and his first-up San Domenico win was the strongest run any of these has produced. He maps beautifully from barrier 5 to sit handy in a moderately-run race at a track where on-pace runners dominate. The step to 1400m is the query, but he came from well back to win the Slipper, which suggests he will relax and see out the trip.

Our price $12.00 · SP $10.00 · Damian Lane

His Run To The Rose seventh was a genuine forgive run over a distance short of his best, from a wide gate that forced him to the rear. The rise to 1400m and the extra fitness of a second-up run should see sharp improvement.

Our price $11.00 · SP $14.00 · Dylan Gibbons

The each-way interest. Sovereign Hill is the only horse in this field that wants to lead, carries just 53kg and comes to a track where front-runners on soft ground have won at close to double the rate of any other position. If he gets an uncontested lead at his own tempo he can give this a real shake.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.20 · Coriah Keatings

Kimberley Secrets is the most reliable runner in the race and arguably the most consistent form. She has run to winning standard at her last two, both beaten under a length at this class and trip, and last start was with no cover from barrier 10. Today she draws the fence and will get every favour behind the speed. The knock is that she keeps finding one to beat her, so she is best played for the place.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Adam Hyeronimus

Farnicle has the most upside in the race but the most questions. His Rosehill second in the Tapp-Craig was a run of genuine class and the trials suggest he retains ability, while barrier 2 is a plus. However he has not raced since last October, carries 61kg over a sharp 1100m and is likely to settle a little further back than the ideal spot here.

Our price $11.00 · SP $9.50 · Nash Rawiller

Royal Commodore is a horse with a real winning habit who has been overlooked because his best form is on wet tracks and he draws wide. He won two Class 4 races in a row last autumn at winning standard, has trialled nicely and gets the in-form Nash Rawiller for a stable striking at 30 percent.