Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Saturday 5 September 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
She led throughout to win this grade at Belmont on Soft 5 last start, beating today's key rivals Properata and Rogue Ruler. Pike stays on, she maps on-speed on a track strongly favouring forward positions, and her soft-track credentials are proven. The 1400m first attempt and untested second-up profile are the only queries, but a winning trial between runs suggests fitness is no issue. Clear win play.
The concern is barrier 9 in Belmont's weakest draw band and a 1-from-8 win record that reads more placegetter than winner, plus a first try at 1400m.
Rogue Ruler is the map horse of the race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Rocktex | 2 | C Johnston-Porter | T M Andrews | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Rogue Ruler | 1 | S Parnham | S V Vahala | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Sarabi | 6 | Lucy Fiore | Aaron Mitchell | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Properata | 9 | Natasha Faithfull | D & B Pearce | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Chix Obsession | 3 | P Harvey | D R Harrison | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Gaintree | 4 | W Pike | Simon Miller | 57kg | $2.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Marcos | 7 | Chris Parnham | Luke Fernie | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 9 | Royal Reckoning | 8 | Victoria Corver | Ryan Hill | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Slaters Legacy | 5 | P Carbery | Sue Olive | 55kg | $31.00 |
The in-form runner of the race. Today's restricted metro grade is winnable off that form, he maps handy in a race where on-pace runners dominate at Belmont on soft ground, and the winning jockey retains the ride with a perfect record on him. Soft track unproven on race day, but a heavy-track placing and wet trials ease that concern.
The knock is entirely tactical: she gets back, and Belmont soft-track sprints are heavily on-pace biased with backmarkers winning under 5% of the time. Safest as a place play.
Before that she strung together four consecutive placings including this grade and soft ground. She owns the best early speed in the race, draws barrier 4, and should park top-three in a moderate tempo on a track strongly favouring on-pace runners. The 58.5kg and modest win strike cap confidence, but she is a leading place hope.
Each-way value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Fantaxtic | 3 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | So Si God | 1 | Chris Parnham | S & J Casey | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 2 | Go Go Grommet | 6 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Espresso Time | 7 | Chanel Cooper | J P Taylor | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 8 | En Plein Air | 2 | Lucy Fiore | Brandon Fiore | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Gold Flakes | 4 | S Parnham | N D Parnham | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Blue Can Talk | 5 | Cassey Martinan | N D Dellar | 53kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Frappuccino | 8 | J Whiting | L P Luciani | 57kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Our Rocky Bay | 8 | Natika Riordan | E A Martinovich | 56kg |
God's Gate maps to control this race outright as the only genuine leader on a Belmont soft track where on-pace runners are winning at elevated rates. Barrier 5, proven track/distance record and a slight class drop complete the strongest form-plus-map profile in the race.
He steps sharply from Maiden to Metro Win company, has never raced on rain-affected ground, and maps midfield-to-back on a circuit where runners outside the first six at the 400m win under 6% of the time.
Mind Field is the field's genuine wet-tracker, winning on Heavy 8 at Belmont under 60kg and placing on Soft 6, and he resumes off a Soft 5 trial win from the plum inside gate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Truly Loyal | 4 | W Pike | Michael Grantham | 55.5kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 4 | Hard Solo | 8 | S O'Donnell | A W Maley | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Mind Field | 1 | P Harvey | Ryan Hill | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 8 | Farnova | 7 | P Carbery | Mitchell Pateman | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Cannykev | 6 | Natika Riordan | S & J Casey | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 2 | God's Gate | 5 | S Parnham | N D Parnham | 58kg | $3.40 |
| 7th | 3 | Mardusa | 2 | Holly Nottle | Simon Miller | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Jelly Can Run | 3 | J Whiting | G C Ballantyne | 57kg | $41.00 |
Niccimota was beaten a length with interference carrying 58kg on Soft 5 here last start and now drops to 52.5kg. The class rise is real but the weight swing and map advantage more than cover it.
He won this grade at this track and distance in July from a similar on-pace position. The knock is conversion - one win from twelve at Belmont 1000m says he places more than he wins, which is why he is second pick rather than first.
His soft-track form is genuine and his on-pace style fits the bias.
Avoidance is the classic Belmont bias play at overs: a habitual front-runner drawn where he can cross, on a surface currently rewarding leaders at 33%, ridden by a jockey who has won on him three times from six rides. He wins fresh (2 from 6 first up) and trialled here five days ago.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Pond Master | 7 | W Pike | Takahide Ikenushi | 54.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Pin Deep | 3 | C Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 4 | Swingman | 6 | S Parnham | J P Taylor | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 8 | Pingers | 4 | Holly Nottle | Misty Bazeley | 52.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Niccimota | 2 | Chanel Cooper | J P Taylor | 52.5kg | $2.60 |
| 6th | 7 | Cash Away | 5 | P Carbery | Q R Jackson | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Avoidance | 8 | S Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Devine Belief | 1 | P Harvey | D R Harrison | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
The 60.5kg and get-back pattern are real risks at an on-pace track, but the class drop and consistency make him the most likely winner.
The Rocket has won both career soft-track starts, both at Belmont within the last month, and maps to control this race with only two genuine leaders and a moderate tempo forecast. Belmont's soft-track profile strongly rewards on-pace runners, and his last-start all-the-way Class 3 win on Soft 5 fits perfectly. The mile is the query (one start, unplaced) and barrier 10 means he must cross, but the map advantage keeps him the clear danger.
Streak Of God beat a Class 3 field over 1650m on a Soft 6 Belmont surface nine days ago, running down leaders from ninth, and now eases slightly in grade with William Pike (7 wins from his last 20 rides) staying on.
The mile is clearly her trip (2 wins, 6 starts) and she handles soft going.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Yes I Know | 4 | C Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 60.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 5 | Double The Fun | 3 | Natasha Faithfull | Ms S L Miller | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Streak Of God | 7 | W Pike | G & A Williams | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Belle Journee | 2 | Joey Azzopardi | Ms C Stelmach | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Dirty Habits | 5 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 53.5kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 3 | The Rocket | 9 | Chris Parnham | S & J Casey | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Statewide | 1 | S Parnham | N D Parnham | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Romming Danger | 6 | Chanel Cooper | G C Ballantyne | 52kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Cosmic Gem | 8 | S Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Uncle Gerard | 10 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | J N Pateman | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Javelin Strike | 8 | T Turner | L P Luciani | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Vexatious Rose | 11 | S O'Donnell | Jeremy Easthope | 54.5kg |
Progressive mare with a dominant win-rate profile hitting her third-up peak, exactly the pattern that produced her Rest 1 Metro Win victory last prep. Her two soft-track failures both carried excuses (wide throughout, then held up).
Forgiving the last-start flop as a checked run on an unsuitable day, this is a talented, lightly raced gelding whose whole profile fits today: proven at Belmont over 1400m, effective on soft and heavy ground, drawn to roll forward into the first three on a track strongly favouring on-pace runners, and carrying just 54kg at a slight class drop. Needs to bounce back, which caps confidence, but his ceiling is a winning one and he is safely held for a placing.
Classic bias-driven overlay. Back on Soft 6, where his record is 3 starts for 2 wins, he is the lone dominant speed in a moderate-tempo race on a track where leaders are striking at 16 to 17%.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Searchin' Times | 1 | Holly Nottle | Summer Dickson | 54kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 5 | Silent Diva | 2 | C Johnston-Porter | G & A Williams | 56kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Refemme No Angel | 5 | Chris Parnham | S & J Casey | 54kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 6 | Deel Her In | 4 | S Parnham | T M Andrews | 55.5kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 3 | Fifth Essence | 9 | P Harvey | Brett Pope | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Speed Dream | 10 | J Whiting | R J Piercey | 61kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Brave Spirit | 7 | P Carbery | T J Stone | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Currimundi | 3 | Natika Riordan | S J Wolfe | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Ruler Rocket | 8 | Chloe Azzopardi | P R Bamford | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 10 | One Punch | 6 | Chanel Cooper | P R Bamford | 52kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Highland Flair | 5 | H S McLaren | 54kg |
Charino is the clear form horse: won two of his last three including last start carrying 60kg, and now drops to 54.5kg stepping into Listed grade. Barrier 9 and the class rise are the risks, but the trajectory and weight swing outweigh them.
Too Dardy brings the strongest recent results in the race, winning his last two including a Soft 5 Belmont 1400m — today's exact conditions. He is a genuine Belmont specialist with 13 of 18 starts here resulting in top-three finishes, and his wet form is proven. The clear negative is his get-back style on a track heavily favouring on-pace runners under a moderate tempo, which caps him at place confidence rather than win. From barrier 5 with cover he is the main closing threat.
His two poor closing runs last campaign came under 61.5kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Too Dardy | 4 | S O'Donnell | Ms J Erkelens | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Royal Toronado | 6 | W Pike | G & A Williams | 54kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 5 | Cool Memory | 7 | Joey Azzopardi | D T McAuliffe | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Without Reg | 3 | T Turner | Rhys Radford | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Charino | 8 | Holly Nottle | Brett Pope | 54.5kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 6 | Correct Choice | 1 | Chris Parnham | Michael Grantham | 54kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 2 | Sensessional | 5 | C Johnston-Porter | D & B Pearce | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Multinational | 2 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Royal Law | 9 | Natasha Faithfull | A W Maley | 54kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Ginger Baker | 2 | Lucy Fiore | D & B Pearce | 59kg |
Starwalker brings the ideal profile for this track: he won over this exact 2100m trip here last start from a forward midfield position, owns two soft-track wins, and draws barrier 2 at a circuit where inside gates and on-pace runners dominate. His earlier BM66+ placings at Ascot show he is competitive at this level.
With 54.5kg, barrier 5 and a track profile that strongly rewards forward runners, she gets her conditions again. The concern is a contested speed with three genuine leaders and her all-or-nothing record, but she is a legitimate winning chance if she controls the race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Miss Veuve | 3 | W Pike | David Catarino | 54.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Sisu Spirit | 4 | Lucy Fiore | Brandon Fiore | 55.5kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Decision Maker | 10 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Global Trip | 1 | Chloe Azzopardi | Coreen Maynard | 54.5kg | $71.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Dark Looks | 9 | Natika Riordan | A D Mathews | 52.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Starwalker | 2 | S O'Donnell | Ms J Clements | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Chollima | 8 | Holly Nottle | D T McAuliffe | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Olden | 11 | Ms J Valas | Nadia Bishop | 54.5kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 15 | Warralea Lass | 5 | S Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 54.5kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 2 | Rommeo | 14 | P Carbery | C R Green | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Hanafubuki | 15 | C Johnston-Porter | Aaron Mitchell | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Snazzler | 12 | Cassey Martinan | J N Pateman | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 13th | 6 | Admired | 6 | J Whiting | G A Crispin | 54.5kg | $151.00 |
| 14th | 9 | Flash Paddy | 7 | T Turner | Darren Taylor | 54.5kg | $91.00 |
| 15th | 12 | Let Sparks Fly | 13 | Natasha Faithfull | Sky Ballinger | 54.5kg | $201.00 |
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