Gascoyne Junction tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.00 · Jason Li

She does have the most tactical speed in the field and a recent 1200m win, which makes her a genuine threat if she gets her own way in front on the tight Junction circuit. Her soft-track profile is ordinary and the 1400m query remains significant, so she rates second rather than the main winning chance.

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.70 · Ebony Johnson

Blowin' Smoke produced the strongest closing effort of the key chances last start, running fourth after being last in the run. He meets several of those same rivals very well at the weights with 51.5kg. The tactical query is real though: Junction's short straight and likely slow tempo do not favour deep closers, so he needs to be ridden closer or have the leaders come back. He is a place prospect rather than the primary winning selection.

Our price $14.00 · SP $41.00 · A Hearn

Dragonflies is the value play at a big number. He has already won at Junction and owns a respectable soft-track record, with three placings from five starts. His recent form is plain, but this is an inconsistent BM56+ country field and he gets an inside draw at 55kg.

Our price $4.60 · SP $8.00 · Kate Pateman

Radio Silence is well drawn and has the early speed to hold a prominent position on Junction's turning course. The recent form reads as ordinary, but this step to 1400m may be exactly what she needs. In a weak race, she rates as a place chance with possible win upside.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Bailey Webster

She produced her best career effort last start over 1400m, and from barrier 1 with only 54kg she should get the economical run this tight country circuit demands. Her overall record is modest and the formline is not strong, but in a below-average maiden with an inside gate she is clearly overpriced and worth a small each-way ticket.

Our price $6.40 · SP $8.00 · Bailey Webster

Run Teddy Run rates as the value runner. No soft-track starts is a concern, and his back-running pattern requires luck in Junction's short straight.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.00 · Jason Li

Dashing Diva produced her best career run last start when finishing third in a BM56, and that form reads well for a BM48. From barrier 4 she can work into a favourable position on the tight Junction circuit.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Ava Catarino

Fuzzybox is the value runner because her race shape and draw are ideal for a leader-biased Junction circuit. She should cross or hold the lead from barrier 3, and her last-start second in Class 1 is strong enough to be competitive at BM48 level.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Jason Li

His 1200m record is only 1-from-13, and he is unplaced on both soft and heavy going. The class drop from BM68+ is real, and barrier 3 offers a kind run, which keeps him a serious place chance. However, on the likely soft surface and this compact track, he is not as reliable as the on-pace leader.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Tiana Murray

Smart Return won this BM56+ 1200m grade two starts back and was far from disgraced last time after rearing at the start. From barrier 4 with 53.5kg and early speed, she should camp close enough to take advantage of Junction's short straight. The main knock is a winless soft-track record, with her worst run coming on Soft 7 at Ararat. If the surface only reaches Soft 5, her low weight gives her genuine third-selection claims.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Tara Atherden

Casino Royale is the value runner. He has placed on his only visit to Junction, maps handily, and receives a significant weight advantage with 54kg. He won a 1200m Class 1 at Carnarvon two starts back, and his poor latest run can be partly excused by a lost plate after leading.

Our price $4.60 · SP $4.20 · Jason Li

Odin Omen is the clear form horse of the race, having won over 1750m and then finished a close second at his latest start. He also handles soft ground and carries just 53kg. However, he has no Junction form, limited distance experience, and a backmarker pattern that works against him in a predicted slow-run race on a tight circuit.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Amy Jo Hayes

Her 1900m record of one win, three seconds and two thirds is the best distance profile in the race outside Lutz, and she has been competitive in BM64+ over this exact trip. She also has placed on soft ground and finished a credible fourth last start over 2070m.