Eagle Farm tips and results

Our price $3.20 · SP $5.50 · D Moor

She beat a stronger Class 6 field at this exact track and distance three weeks ago on a Good 4, settling fifth before sprinting past them, and now drops to Class 3 with 3 wins from 5 starts at 1000m. The fast tempo from Angel Ladder and Cabaletto sets up perfectly for her handy-but-not-leading pattern, and Daniel Moor is riding in career-best form. Barrier 10 and 58kg are the only queries.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Tahlia Fenlon

Angel Ladder maps to control this from barrier 1 on a track where leaders and inside draws dominate sprints, and her Eagle Farm 1000m record of 2 wins and a third from 4 starts includes wins in this grade and better. The sharp class drop from Open company is compelling.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Bella Youngberry

Dr Farthing is the value play. Two dominant trial wins signal readiness, he drops from Listed/Open grade into a Class 3 with just 56.5kg, and his on-pace style suits.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · D Moor

Genuine winning chance, but the map risk means place is the play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Bella Youngberry

Termagant is the classic Eagle Farm pattern value play: a 36% career win-rate mare who peaks second up (4 starts, 2 wins, 1 second in that state) at her best trip, where she has won 3 of 7.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.60 · Emily Lang

The negatives are real: he settles near last in a race with little predicted tempo at a track that punishes staying backmarkers, and he has never raced beyond 2200m. Upside makes him a top-three chance, but the map risk means place is the play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Ryan Maloney

The 59kg and quick back-up temper win confidence, but he profiles strongly for the finish with the tempo set to collapse in front of him.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · Chelsea Baker

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Montana Philpot

Capital Asset is the form-map standout. He owns the best early speed in the race from barrier 2 with only one other genuine leader, at a track where leaders and on-pace runners dominate over staying trips.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · M Rodd

His Eagle Farm 1800m second from last shows he can overcome race shape. The concern is real: he settles near last at a leader-biased track under 59kg in a moderate-tempo race, which caps him below the on-pace pair on winning probability despite superior closing speed.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Bella Youngberry

She is the field's most reliable winner (7 from 25) and a proven Good-track mare (15:5-3-0) just as the surface firms from Soft 5 to Good 4 - her only Eagle Farm staying failure came on going stewards noted she failed to handle. From barrier 4 she settles in the first five, exactly where this track's staying races are won, and she sheds weight to 55kg.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · A Mallyon

Ticks the race-shape boxes: draws gate 2, settles midfield behind a genuine speed duel, and his last two BM70 runs were full of merit with legitimate excuses (held up and lost a plate at Doomben). The Good-track record of no wins from six is the main knock, though he has placed on it and his best form is fresh enough.

Our price $15.00 · SP $26.00 · Montana Philpot

Small each-way only.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · D Moor

He settles second behind the lone leader in a slow-run seven-horse race, exactly the position that wins at Eagle Farm, and no runner in the field has a better 1400m record. Daniel Moor's 35% recent strike rate is a significant intent signal for the travelling Lees stable.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.80 · Taylor Marshall

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.20 · Bella Youngberry

Gate 1 with tactical speed at a track where leaders and inside draws hold a clear statistical edge is the ideal setup. The pressured tempo is the only query, but he sustained strong tempo when narrowly beaten at this track in August.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.90 · Taylor Marshall

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Anna Roper

She's Exotic has the best win strike rate of the main chances (7 from 16) and her last-start failure carried 60kg with severe interference in the straight. She was runner-up in this identical restricted grade in July and today sheds 7.5kg while getting a race shape that suits her closing pattern.

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · M R Du Plessis

Three genuine leaders over 1200m projects a collapsing speed, and he was the strongest late-race closer at this track and distance just six days ago under 59kg - today he carries 54.5kg against weaker opposition.