Toowoomba tips and results

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.30 · Ms K Lenton

Royal Bombadier is the most credible form horse. Lenton's 17% track strike adds confidence.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · G Geran

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Rob Thorburn

Her Dalby run can be lined through given she was severely hampered leaving the gates. The concerns are structural rather than form-based: she settles too far back for a tight 1015m at Clifford Park where on-pace runners hold sway, she wins rarely, and the jockey booking is out of form. Solid each-way claims.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Tiffani Brooker

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Ms S Bogenhuber

The specialist for these precise conditions. He won over 1640m at Toowoomba in July humping 60.5kg and is 2:1-0-1 at track and distance, with a broader 17:3-4-4 course record. Barrier 4 and his handy racing pattern fit the venue's on-pace bias perfectly in a moderate tempo.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.70 · Ms K Lenton

He beat Power Of Success by a length at Kilcoy last start over 1900m and, while 2kg worse off today, he is the horse trending upward with a 24% career win strike rate against 11%. Slow tempo, handy position, proven Good-track record.

Our price $11.00 · SP $18.00 · Ms S Bogenhuber

Two runs back she won a Class 1 over 2220m, and before that ran 3rd at Toowoomba over 1890m from 10th at the 400m. Each-way value.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.00 · S Sheargold

Akku is the most exposed and most reliable form line in a shallow maiden. Seven starts around this trip have produced a second and a third. Barrier 4 lets her sit fourth in a race with a strong on-pace bias, and at 1125m over a fitter, more suitable trip she is the one they must beat.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Montanna Savva

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Chloe Lowe

The clear second string on ability. The worry is the map - settling last into a moderate tempo on a track that favours forward runners makes her reliant on luck, so place cover is the sensible play.

Our price $9.50 · SP $9.00 · Tiffani Brooker

The overlay of the race. He owns the best collective record around 1000m in the field and has the speed to sit forward on a track that suits it.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · G Geran

The clear speed of the race on paper and the type Toowoomba maidens favour, with leaders and on-pace runners dominating (17-18% win rates). Trialled well at the track late July and comes to a Geran stable in-form patch.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Ms G Cartwright

A well-bred, lightly raced mare whose two runs both carried legitimate interference excuses. The reservations are real: still a non-winner, top weight, unproven at 1300m, and a jockey without a strike for this stable.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.40 · Ms K Lenton

The catch is the map: she settles last and Toowoomba punishes backmarkers. If the two leaders press each other over 1300m, her turn of foot is decisive. Each-way value.