Caulfield tips and results

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Damien Thornton

Politely Dun beat two of today's rivals when he came from last to win this exact race here three weeks ago on a soft track. The counters are a big weight rise to 61kg and a modest record on good ground.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.80 · Lachlan Neindorf

His Geelong maiden win and the prior Bairnsdale third were both run to a standard that would win most races at this level, and he can race handy from barrier 4, which is where Caulfield 1800m races are won.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Jackie Beriman

Tiger Fox is the forgotten runner at 27-1. He fades when the tempo is hot, but the map suggests a moderate pace with two leaders in front of him to follow. Stable and rider combine well.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Luke Currie

He is unbeaten in three starts over this course and distance and his Sir John Monash Stakes win here ranks as the strongest recent performance in the field, achieved above today's grade. He led and was run down in the Bletchingly, but drops back to his best trip with a jump-out win under his belt. A handy position from barrier 6 in a genuinely run race suits Caulfield perfectly.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Jabez Johnstone

Spywire has the class to win this and his Ballarat win over this distance on a good track was a genuine winning-standard performance. He has mixed it in Group 1 company since and a fourth at weight-for-age in Perth reads well against this field. The concerns are the wide gate under 60kg and a long gap since his last race start, though his Cranbourne jump-out second suggests he is close to ready. The fast tempo should bring him into it from midfield and Johnstone rides well for the stable. Solid each-way proposition.

Our price $15.00 · SP $16.00 · Damian Lane

Stokke is the overlay in this race. Her last two efforts can be forgiven, one on a heavy track after beginning awkwardly and the other held up in the straight on soft ground. On good tracks she has won five of eight and her Century Stakes success at Flemington was a genuine winning-standard performance. Damian Lane returns to ride and she gets in with 55kg. Worth an each-way saver.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Blake Shinn

She is not the top pick because she has yet to win in five starts, her only good-track run was a heavy defeat, and barrier 13 at Caulfield over 1400m is a proven handicap.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Thomas Stockdale

Mystical Realm is a lightly raced Maurice filly whose Sale maiden win was a strong performance for the grade, and her last-start fourth over an unsuitably short 1000m saw her hit the line hard. The rise to 1400m from barrier 1 is a clear positive and she should settle midfield in the sweet spot for Caulfield.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.80 · Ethan Brown

Wolf Gap was eye-catching running on for second behind Blind Raise at Sandown and he owns a Group 2 placing in the Todman from his juvenile campaign. The worry is his racing pattern. He was slow away and settled near last, and Caulfield at 1400m is unforgiving on horses that give away a start, especially when the tempo is only moderate.

Our price $12.00 · SP $16.00 · Declan Bates

Seraphox has been placed in his last two stakes starts, including a third to Blind Raise over 1400m on good ground at Flemington and a Group 3 third at Caulfield last time. He keeps finding the frame without winning, but the inside draw and a second-up record of one from one give him a real chance to improve here.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Ethan Brown

Custom is the form horse of the recent Caulfield sprints, having won the Courtza in strong fashion and beaten two of today's rivals. She is racing well and the map suits her. The clear question mark is the Good track, where she has never won. That may be a mare who was still developing rather than a genuine limitation, but it caps confidence.

Our price $26.00 · SP $41.00 · Carleen Hefel

Proved is the roughie with a real record. Six wins from nine starts, all on Good tracks, and a Group 3 victory over this exact course and distance last spring show she belongs at this level when conditions suit. Her first-up run was messy from the jump and on a Soft track she has never won on. The wide gate and jockey form keep this to a small each-way play.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.00 · Blake Shinn

Lindermann earns his place in the top three almost entirely on the map: he is the only natural leader, he draws the fence, and Caulfield 1800m races are dominated by horses on the speed. If he gets an uncontested lead and dictates, he is hard to run down.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · John Allen

The overlay in the race. He has Group 1 credentials from New Zealand, races in the right part of the field for Caulfield, and reunites with a jockey who knows him well.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · William Pike

Zakouma is the quiet achiever of the race. His Andrew Ramsden win was a genuinely strong effort and his Heatherlie sixth was full of merit after being tightened at the start and held up in the straight. He carries just 54kg from a good gate, gets his preferred good surface and has William Pike in outstanding form.

Our price $26.00 · SP $61.00 · Declan Bates

Berkeley Square has a strong Caulfield 2000m history and his last-start sixth here was better than it reads, closing from last after a bad start under 62kg. He sheds 4kg and gets the fast tempo he needs. The wide gate matters less for a horse that will go back regardless.

Our price $6.00 · SP $15.00 · Declan Bates

Warnie produced the standout performance in this field last start, winning the Chautauqua Stakes in a strongly run race and beating two of today's rivals. He drops in weight, draws ideally in barrier 3 and maps to sit midfield with cover while three genuine leaders cut each other's throats.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.80 · Craig Williams

She should get every chance from barrier 1. Include, but as a place play.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Michael Dee

In the autumn he ran to a winning standard twice at Caulfield on good ground, including a narrow second in the Autumn Stakes over this exact course and distance. His Memsie effort on soft ground first-up with a heavy weight can be excused. He now drops to 53.5kg on a firm track in a race set to be run very fast, which suits his finishing style.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.60 · Ethan Brown

His Caulfield 1400m win in July was the strongest performance any runner in this race has produced, and his second last start came with 60kg in a race where he was ridden away from his usual pattern. A very fast tempo from three genuine leaders sets this up for a midfield horse with cover from barrier 5, and he drops to 55kg. The unknown is the Good track, but the class edge is real.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.00 · Logan Bates

Porter is the proven BM84 performer in the race, having run second at this course and distance last start and improving second-up. His 1400m and Good-track records are the best in the field. The problem is the map: he is one of three horses who want to lead, drawn wide in 14, and Caulfield has been unkind to leaders who get taken on.

Our price $14.00 · SP $19.00 · Luke Nolen

He is drawn in barrier 3 to sit just behind three leaders who will burn each other out, which historically is the most successful position at Caulfield over 1400m. With 55.5kg on a Good surface, he only has to reproduce his winter Sydney form to be in the finish.