Ellerslie tips and results

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.10 · Warren Kennedy

Consistent gelding resuming from a spell, having placed first up before and finished close up at Ellerslie last campaign. He draws well in gate three and should be handy without being forced to lead, sitting just off what shapes as a hot speed. The query is the drop to 1200m and a 124-day break, but he maps kindly and looks a solid place prospect.

Our price $14.00 · SP $30.30 · Jack Taplin

Consistent maiden who has placed twice from four starts, both on soft ground, and finished a close third over 1200m at Ruakaka last time out. He settles back and the predicted very fast tempo should suit his closing style. The obvious negative is a wide draw and the fact he is still a non-winner.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Jasmine Fawcett

Guipago ran a bold second at Ellerslie over 2200m on soft ground last start, leading until collared late. Both career wins have come on heavy ground, so the wet surface plays to his strengths, and the slow tempo expected should let him settle handy. He meets a similar field to the one he beat most of last time.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.60 · Matthew Cartwright

He handles soft ground and is clearly improving, so he deserves respect, yet he has never raced at 2400m or at Ellerslie and owns just one win from six starts.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Novak drops in class from stronger company and led over 2400m last start before being run down after interference. The slow tempo expected here suits an on-pace stayer, and he has multiple soft-track placings to his name. The negatives are a modest win record for a veteran, a quick back-up after a hard staying run, and a habit of being caught late.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Sam McNab

A consistent place-getter at Ellerslie over this trip, finishing 2nd here last start and 2nd two starts back at the same distance. His on-pace style should suit a slowly-run contest and he handles soft ground well. The winning strike rate is modest, but he maps ideally and looks a solid placing play.

Our price $13.00 · SP $16.00 · Warren Kennedy

Recorded the sharpest closing speed of this field over today's track and distance, has a win on rain-affected ground and is drawn inside to lead or box-seat. Worth an each-way play.

Our price $4.60 · SP $3.80 · Matthew Cartwright

Genuine 1600m horse with two wins and a second from three at the trip. He handles wet tracks well. The query is conceding weight from back in the field, but his class and form make him a leading hope.

Our price $16.00 · SP $51.00 · Jack Taplin

He is proven on wet ground with five heavy-track wins.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.30 · Michael McNab

The class runner of the field, unbeaten in the placings with a win and two minor cheques from just three starts. Drawn kindly and can stalk rather than lead.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Hayley Hassman

Scolera is the ideal Ellerslie sprint profile: a genuine leader drawn the inside gate on a track that heavily favours on-pace runners in sprints. She won last start on soft ground and placed at both prior runs, all on rain-affected going. Her closing section was the sharpest in the field. The stable's record is a query, but the race shape is tailor-made.

Our price $7.00 · SP $14.00 · Opie Bosson

A classy type resuming with a superb first-up record, including two wins when fresh. He drops in class and has a strong record at the distance. Opie Bosson takes the ride for a stable with a fine combined record. Top weight and a midfield settle are the concerns on a track that rewards leaders, but his class and freshness keep him in the finish.

Our price $10.00 · SP $16.00 · Sam McNab

A consistent on-pace mare with a solid soft-track record, resuming after a spell and dropping in class. She races handily from a good barrier, which suits Ellerslie's strong on-pace sprint bias, and she has placed when fresh.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.10 · Abinith Simon

Has the best winning profile in the race, with an excellent strike rate and a superb record at Ellerslie including four wins from five here. She has won both her soft-track starts and three of four fresh-up, so the long break is not a worry.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.30 · George Rooke

A progressive young mare who thrives on wet ground and finished second at this track and trip on a soft track earlier in the year. She has been placed at her last two runs and has more upside than most in this line-up.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.60 · Sam McNab

A genuine course-and-distance specialist who has a win and two placings from four starts over this trip at Ellerslie, including an open handicap win on soft ground. The wide draw and backmarker style are negatives, but he is a solid value each-way play.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.90 · Michael McNab

The mare to beat. She owns the strongest soft-ground form here, winning her latest start over a mile on a wet track and placing at Ellerslie before that. She settles back and will relish what should be a solid tempo, giving her every chance to run over the top of them. The stable and jockey are firing; the break between runs and the rise in grade are the only unknowns.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

A consistent wet-tracker who has been right in the finish in his last two starts in this grade, both on rain-affected ground. He settles off the speed and has a smart finishing kick that should be well suited by a genuinely run race. The top weight and the step up to 1500m for the first time are slight query marks.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Courtney Barnes

A progressive mare with a strong finishing burst, shown by her fast-closing fourth over this course last time out. She tends to improve second-up and a fast tempo should bring her closing speed right into play. The concern is she is yet to run a placing on soft ground and is rising in grade.

Our price $16.00 · SP $71.00 · Tegan Newman

The veteran backs up quickly after a strong second on soft ground last start and loves to finish off his races, which suits the likely fast pace. His win record is modest but he places often, so he looks overpriced for a place in a race that should set up for the closers.