Wagga tips and results

Our price $3.20 · SP $6.50 · Michael Heagney

Not Guilty brings the strongest recent form, finishing second at Gundagai after racing wide and still running to a winning standard. He maps on-pace which is the preferred pattern at Wagga over 1200m. A prior narrow third on Good supports the surface.

Our price $5.00 · SP $1.95 · Cory Parish

Include for the race shape but she is no win overlay.

Our price $7.50 · SP $15.00 · Dale Cole

Fighting Fox ran a sound first-up fourth at Gundagai with blinkers and had previously placed at Wagga on Good when second-up. She carries only 53kg and is open to improvement at the second run of the prep.

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.40 · Blaike McDougall

Nicconi Rules was hammered into favouritism on debut and bombed on a Heavy track after missing the start. That run is easy to put a line through. Second-up on Good ground from barrier four with McDougall aboard, he is entitled to take a big step. Map is fine without being perfect, and in a maiden full of exposed types the upside of a lightly raced three-year-old keeps him in the first three on chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.50 · Dale Cole

Clear form horse. Recent seconds and a third in better company over similar trips put him ahead of this BM58. Handles Good ground, stays well and is fit. The wide gate is the only real knock, but the strength of his latest runs is enough to make him the most likely winner despite the draw.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Ella Bent

In a volatile BM58 the map matters. She should dictate from barrier one on a track that rewards on-pace runners. Last-start fade when leading is a real concern, so she is a controlled each-way rather than a confident win only.

Our price $6.50 · SP $20.00 · Brittany Button

Progressive mare who took out her latest F&M BM58 and looks to have more upside. Davison’s stable is humming and the rider combination is reliable. The unknown is the jump to 1400m and whether she handles Good ground as well as Soft, but the upward trajectory and connections make her a solid each-way threat in an open race.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Recent runs at Gundagai and Corowa were competitive, he has track form, and Boudvillain’s local record is a plus. The backmarker pattern is the worry on a course that rewards on-pace runners, so he is treated as each-way rather than a straight win.

Our price $5.80 · SP $13.00 · Ella Bent

The clear overlay. When she raced through last summer she ran to a standard few in this field have matched, including a tight second at BM62 and solid Wagga form.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Ikon Park is the improver. Three starts for a win and a placing, and the Canberra fourth from barrier 13 was better than the result reads. Draws inside today which should see him travel sweeter. Queries are the untried mile and no Good-track evidence, so confidence is capped, but the trajectory and draw keep him in the first three chances in a race full of exposed types.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Blaike McDougall

Xerxes offers map-based value. He should sit near the speed from barrier five, and his Good-track record plus a prior mile win give him a genuine each-way profile others lack.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.00 · Quayde Krogh

She won fresh at this exact grade over 1200m last start despite racing wide, and already has multiple wins around BM58. Barrier 4 gives Quayde Krogh choices if they elect to be positive early. Second-up record is blank but she is a fit, proven mare at the level and the one to beat in a volatile BM58.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Blaike McDougall

Serenading is the classy lightly raced mare with a 50% win rate. Her BM58 win and Wagga maiden success show she belongs, and Good ground suits. Stepping to 1200m first time under 61kg is the query, and she was ordinary when slowly away first-up this prep. Still a clear winning chance if she begins cleanly and sees out the trip.

Our price $8.50 · SP $10.00 · Carly Frater

Certain Eclipse is the map horse. He led throughout to break his maiden over this course and distance last start and again looks the lone leader in a race that should not be genuinely run. Wagga BM races favour on-pacers who control. Good-track form is the knock after fading when leading on firmer surfaces, but the tempo set-up gives him every chance to make them chase.

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.20 · Pierre Boudvillain

He has won his maiden and run second in Class company at this trip in his last three, showing the strongest recent pattern. He maps to sit handy rather than burn early, which helps if the leaders go hard.

Our price $5.80 · SP $4.20 · Nick Heywood

Ultra-consistent mare who knows this track and trip better than most. She places first-up as a rule and is dropping from tougher mares races, so the grade suits. Midfield draw means she may need the leaders to come back, and she is first-up from a lengthy break, so win confidence is capped. Still a high-probability place chance and a fair top-three inclusion on form and course craft.