As the only proven front-runner he should dictate a moderate tempo, and his recent runs rate the best here. Barrier 12, top weight and a Soft 5 surface are the risks, since he has only placed on soft.
Queensland · Saturday 17 October 2026
Toowoomba tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Toowoomba. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Toowoomba Grammar School Hcp (C2)
The rider's comment that she may appreciate more give is encouraging for Soft 5, even though she has never raced on it. Her last start was poor, but she is much better placed now.
A consistent mare who maps well just behind the speed, with a light weight and a good draw. She is rarely out of the placings at this level but struggles to finish off a win. A moderate tempo and Soft 5 track suit her pattern, so she is a solid place chance who could grab the quinella.
A soft-track winner at this venue who can be quick enough to land a handy spot if he jumps cleanly. His last two efforts held up against this standard, and a moderate tempo suits any horse who gets forward.
- 1st1Sort Cha MessAshley Butler$1.90
- 2nd7Cause She CanStacey Callow$8.50
- 3rd2Ruthven RushMontanna Savva$17.00
- 4th4Deep TiaraJaden Lloyd$7.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Sort Cha Mess | 12 | Ashley Butler | Pat W Webster | 60kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 7 | Cause She Can | 3 | Stacey Callow | Kevin Kemp | 53.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Ruthven Rush | 9 | Montanna Savva | Kevin Kemp | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Deep Tiara | 2 | Jaden Lloyd | Troy Pascoe | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Brave Horatius | 8 | Gary Geran | Philip Minter | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Shahar | 5 | Kelsey Lenton | Nick Keal | 53.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Better Sweet | 1 | Aidan Keeley | Michael G Nolan | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Worldy Spirit | 11 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Jim Hanna | 52kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Koga Ninja | 4 | Tiffani Brooker | Steven Thomas | 54kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Hell Of A Lad | 6 | Phillip Burns | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Decorative | 10 | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Kemal | 7 | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 54kg |
Netlogix (Bm65)
Miss De Medici has a strong record at Toowoomba, including a win over this trip, and she meets easier opposition. The main concerns are a wide draw, a rearward map on a track favouring front runners, and a weight rise. She has shown she can sit closer than her map suggests.
Toscanella is the most likely leader in a race where Toowoomba's on-pace bias is strong. She has won at this track and distance, and carries only 54kg. The wet and her tendency to fade when challenged are question marks, but the map is hard to ignore.
Paciera is the best combination of wet-track ability, current improvement and a favourable draw. She won on Soft 5 here over 1300m earlier in the year and followed up with a good win last start. She is likely to settle midfield and finish strongly.
Einstag is well-drawn and should be handy, which is where winners come from at Toowoomba. He ran an excellent race second last start and has a soft-ground win. His form earlier in the preparation was poor, so consistency is the concern.
- 1st1Fire And LightAshley Butler$2.90
- 2nd2Wanted HillbillyMaddie Mankelow$9.00
- 3rd11RedcloudGary Geran$6.00
- 4th4NightstickJaden Lloyd$21.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Fire And Light | 4 | Ashley Butler | Pat W Webster | 59.5kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 2 | Wanted Hillbilly | 11 | Maddie Mankelow | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Redcloud | 12 | Gary Geran | Corey and Kylie Geran | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Nightstick | 8 | Jaden Lloyd | Sidney J Curtin | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Toscanella | 7 | Aidan Keeley | Michael G Nolan | 54kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Einstag | 3 | Tiffani Brooker | Michael G Nolan | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Miss De Medici | 9 | Kelsey Lenton | Rex Lipp | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Mister Selfie | 2 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Philip Minter | 53.5kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Godtfred Kirk | 10 | Corey and Kylie Geran | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | I Stole It | 13 | Renita Beaton | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Scruffy | 1 | Colleen Krahnen | William Kropp | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Lyrical Gangster | 6 | Corey and Kylie Geran | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Paciera | 5 | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 55.5kg |
Rentco (Bm60)
The most likely winner on form. Sir Goldalot won over this course and distance last start and has an excellent record here. He should settle handy behind the lone leader in a race expected to be run slowly, and he has won on soft ground.
He should lead unchallenged in a slow-run race, which is a big advantage at a track where front-runners do well. He also has a good soft-ground record and gets class relief.
He is in great form and has soft-ground wins, and he finishes strongly. The risk is the 5kg weight rise to top weight and a likely slow pace, which means he must make up ground from midfield at a track that favours on-pace runners.
This is the value pick. He won well last start and is improving, and he is lightly weighted at 57.5kg. He should be close enough to the pace in a slow-run race.
- 1st7AramintaGary Geran$16.00
- 2nd6Turf GazetteAidan Keeley$8.50
- 3rd3Sir GoldalotJake Molloy$2.70
- 4th2Fiorsum FredJaden Lloyd$3.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Araminta | 5 | Gary Geran | Corey and Kylie Geran | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Turf Gazette | 9 | Aidan Keeley | Michael G Nolan | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Sir Goldalot | 7 | Jake Molloy | Nick Keal | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 2 | Fiorsum Fred | 3 | Jaden Lloyd | Emma Fouchard | 61kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Little Vain | 4 | Kenji Yoshida | Leo Roche | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Don't Diss Around | 10 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Jim Hanna | 61.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Percolate | 8 | Colleen Krahnen | Lynda Powell | 51kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Miss Linny | 6 | Stacey Callow | Mick Morgan | 52.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Madame Cody | 1 | Kelsey Lenton | Cameron Richardson | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Out Of Luck | 2 | Indiana Turner | 62.5kg |
J W Marriott Gold Coast Resort & Spa Mdn Plate
Best form in the field on class grounds, having run in a Listed event and been placed here over the trip. The inside draw and on-pace style suit the Toowoomba sprint map, and a slow tempo helps. The trainer's strike rate is strong. A first-up run after a spell is the main query, but a trial run indicates it is fit enough.
Maps to lead or sit one off the speed from a good gate. That is a strong position in a slow race at a track where front-runners are favoured. Her last two runs were solid, though both were from wide barriers, and the better draw helps. She lacks a win and has been prone to weakening late, but she is a leading place chance and a genuine winning threat.
Debutants are an unknown on a wet track, and the gear changes suggest the stable is chasing a little more focus. The trainer's local record is outstanding and the trial was creditable, so a good run is likely.
A debut fourth where it raced keenly and greenly suggests there is improvement. It settled handy that day, and that style is favoured here. A solid each-way proposition.
- 1st4Super IntentAshley Butler$1.60
- 2nd1Coup De CashMontanna Savva$13.00
- 3rd11Zou Zou ZiporaJaden Lloyd$26.00
- 4th8Kava ExpressTiffani Brooker$6.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Super Intent | 5 | Ashley Butler | Pat W Webster | 58kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | Coup De Cash | 10 | Montanna Savva | Ashtyn Reedy | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Zou Zou Zipora | 7 | Jaden Lloyd | Kevin Kemp | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Kava Express | 4 | Tiffani Brooker | Jake Capewell | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Marbelized | 6 | Kenji Yoshida | Kevin Kemp | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Starzain | 11 | Jake Molloy | Patrick Ryan | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Steventown | 1 | Colleen Krahnen | Matt Kropp | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 2 | Diamond Impact | 2 | Kelsey Lenton | Corey and Kylie Geran | 56.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Galloping Ellie | 9 | Gary Geran | Corey and Kylie Geran | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Waxed | 8 | Paul Hamblin | Joe Gleeson | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Aspen Gold | 3 | Kevin Kemp | 56kg |
Carboline (Bm70)
The best form in the race. He has won both starts at Toowoomba this campaign and has the track and distance record to match. Soft ground is a slight query, but his recent wins suggest a class edge over this field. He should get a handy trip from barrier 2 on a track that favours runners up on the pace.
Provance gets the wet ground and a drop in class, and should settle just off the speed on a track that rewards runners up on the pace. Blinkers back on is a positive. His recent runs have been modest in tougher company, and the stable is not in form.
He has been placed often at this level. He needs luck in running to win, but he looks a solid place chance.
Speedy One is likely to be handy in a race with no proven leader, and he is a winner on soft and heavy ground.
- 1st1Thundering SoulFiona Sandkuhl$1.50
- 2nd4ProvanceAshley Butler$9.00
- 3rd6VialeStacey Callow$9.50
- 4th5Speedy OneJaden Lloyd$7.50
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Thundering Soul | 2 | Fiona Sandkuhl | Pat W Webster | 60.5kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Provance | 7 | Ashley Butler | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Viale | 6 | Stacey Callow | Kevin Kemp | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Speedy One | 5 | Jaden Lloyd | Paul John Wallace | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Jemeldi | 3 | Gary Geran | Philip Minter | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Mr Evans | 4 | Aidan Keeley | Kevin Sims | 55kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Milton Road | 1 | Steven A Hardy | 60kg |
Vale Trevor Glasby Mdn Plate
She gets a perfect map just off the speed, a light weight and soft ground she has handled.
She is the clear leader and likely to get an easy time in front in a slow-run race, which is the best way to win a maiden at Toowoomba. She has placed at almost every start, yet she keeps finding a horse that is too good late. Soft ground adds a little doubt over the trip.
She should race handy and gets the benefit of a slow-run race. Her form has been solid in Maiden Plate company, often fading late after being posted wide.
She has not shown much yet but the nose roll is a positive and the weight is light. The slow tempo does not help a backmarker, so she needs a clean run and improvement.
- 1st5Flirting With FireGary Geran$8.50
- 2nd6Highland KittyMaddie Mankelow$1.80
- 3rd3Panzer ReadyMicheal Hellyer$31.00
- 4th7Josephine Of TuffyJaden Lloyd$3.30
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Flirting With Fire | 8 | Gary Geran | Corey and Kylie Geran | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Highland Kitty | 2 | Maddie Mankelow | Jacob Leach | 53.5kg | $1.80 |
| 3rd | 3 | Panzer Ready | 4 | Micheal Hellyer | Doig Greer | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Josephine Of Tuffy | 3 | Jaden Lloyd | Corey and Kylie Geran | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 5th | 2 | O'explosive | 5 | Sariah Champkin | Phillip Burns | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Queen Victorious | 6 | Kelsey Lenton | Corey and Kylie Geran | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Belle Francais | 1 | Kenji Yoshida | Eric Ropiha | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Concador | 7 | Greg Wright | 58.5kg |
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