Ellerslie tips and results

Our price $4.60 · SP $3.50 · Joe Doyle

He ran on well to finish third on debut after being bumped in the closing stages, and gets a good draw in barrier two. The extra distance should suit and he has a run under his belt.

Our price $4.80 · SP $5.50 · Opie Bosson

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.60 · Matthew Cartwright

His recent runs have been better than the results suggest, and he drops in class here.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Matthew Cameron

Her late sprint in a wet-track race was stronger than anything else in the field, and she is much better off against Open company than Group 1. A slow tempo is against her, but the long Ellerslie straight leaves her room to finish.

Our price $5.80 · SP $6.00 · Opie Bosson

He has plenty of early speed and gets a top jockey, but barrier 11 could cost ground. He has been beaten while on the speed before and has yet to win.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.60 · Joe Doyle

Debutants cannot be marked down for having no form, and this one comes from a well-performed stable with a jockey who has won with their runners before. Not a confident pick, but she is the best value of the debutants.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · George Rooke

Cosmic Dream is the most reliable runner in the race, having finished third five times at this grade, and the inside draw gives her an easy trip. She is likely to be involved again, but she often gets beaten late and the first-up record is moderate. A strong place chance rather than the most likely winner.

Our price $7.50 · SP $27.00 · Masahiro Hashizume

She has been running to a good standard at a higher grade and drops in class here.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Craig Grylls

Rumours has been running to a good standard for the grade, with an impressive maiden win on Good ground and a finishing run at Ellerslie last time over this trip.

Our price $6.00 · SP $13.00 · George Rooke

Vegas Queen is a quality mare when she is at her best, as shown by her fast winning run at Te Rapa. Second up and in good order, she will be handy in a moderately-run race.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Masahiro Hashizume

A progressive horse who won last start carrying 60.5kg and now gets a big weight relief. His pace-handy style looks well suited to a slowly-run mile. The step up to Open class is the question, and his Ellerslie record is patchy, but his upward trend and lighter weight make him a genuine place and win chance.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Abinith Simon

His recent form is poor but that came against Group 1 opposition, and he is dropping to Open company with a clear run in front on a track that is drying out. If the tempo is as slow as expected he can get an easy lead and be hard to peg back.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Michael McNab

A talented four-year-old who has competed in Group company, he sits at his best level in Bm75 and is second up with an in-form jockey. The barrier is good and he likes to be midfield and finish strongly. The main doubt is that all his wins are on soft, and the stable has been quiet.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Joe Doyle

His best form is clearly above this level, with a big third in Open company and trainer in strong form. A drop to Bm75 and a lighter field class suit, and he can find a spot midfield from a middle draw.

Our price $4.60 · SP $5.00 · Michael McNab

She is second up with a hot jockey and trainer combination and carries a light weight. She likes to settle well back, and on Good ground at Ellerslie, backmarkers do get home in a sustained run. Her last start was a promising fourth at Ellerslie, when she made up plenty of ground from the back. Her risk is a modest tempo and traffic trouble. She is a solid place chance.

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Opie Bosson

His narrow second over 2000m was a strong run, and he has a powerful finish that the long Ellerslie straight should suit. Opie Bosson is excellent at this track. He has won only once in 16 starts and has been mostly on wet ground, but the form lines say he is competitive here. He looks a fair each-way chance.

Our price $16.00 · SP $71.00 · Corentin Berge

He steps into a tougher grade with an untested jockey, so there is risk. His strong finish and the inside draw give him a chance of saving ground.