Laverton tips and results

Our price $2.70 · Rosie Mahony

He is the only natural leader in a five-horse Laverton maiden, and this tight circuit rewards the horse in front. He drops from a Class B handicap, and Peter Bamford has five winners from his last 20 starters. Barrier 5 asks Rosie Mahony to cross early, and fourteen starts without a win keep the stake measured.

Our price $4.20 · Amy Jo Hayes

Barrier 3 and an on-pace style fit Laverton, and at Mingenew he has already shown he can run right up to a winning standard before weakening. The record is the brake: 25 starts for a single third, and he has often been in the firing line and then stopped.

Our price $4.40 · Ava Catarino

Barrier 2 lets him hold a forward spot on a track that punishes horses caught wide. Ava Catarino has no wins from her last 20 rides.

Our price $12.00 · Simone Altieri

She has five starts without a placing and was 12 lengths away in a Leinster maiden last week, so this is a small each-way only. She does drop out of a Class 1 handicap, and from the fence Simone Altieri can keep her closer than her usual backmarker pattern.

Our price $3.20 · Simone Altieri

Buon Amici is the most likely winner because the race shape and the track both point at an on-pace horse, and he is the one with the right record. The rider's cold streak and a slightly sticky barrier are the reasons to keep the stake measured.

Our price $5.00 · Casey Hunter

Tiny Champion has the best recent body of work at this distance and this class. She has been third at all three 1400m starts, including a strong Mingenew effort and a close Leinster third last week with the same rider. A five-horse field limits how far back she can be. The risk is the map: a slow pace and a 250m straight favour horses already handy, so she is an each-way chance rather than the horse to beat.

Our price $5.50 · Ava Catarino

Gigi Gogo is the right type of horse for a slowly run Laverton 1400m: barrier two, settles handy, and she was only narrowly beaten in this class last Saturday, finishing in front of Tiny Champion. The trainer and rider have already won on this course.

Our price $8.50 · Bailey Webster

The case is the draw, the rider's record at Laverton, and two improved runs, one of them in this class at the trip.

Our price $3.40 · Ava Catarino

Addictive Dream is the form horse. She won a same-class 1400m at Leinster last week after jumping awkwardly and racing wide, and she already has a win from two starts at the trip. Barrier 3 lets her sit handy behind the likely leader in a race that should be run slowly. Top weight is the knock on the mare.

Our price $5.00 · Bailey Webster

Fries With That is the map horse. From barrier 1 he should dictate a slow pace, and Laverton's short straight rewards the horse in front. He drops out of BM64 company, which is what the stable flagged after he tired badly at Leinster, and the 2kg claim helps. His Carnarvon runs at this class, including a win and a narrow second, show he can still run to a winning level when the trip and grade suit. The Leinster fade is the risk that keeps him out of the win-only slot.

Our price $5.50 · Kyra Yuill

Blowin' Smoke is the distance and track specialist. His only Laverton run was a 1400m win, and 13 starts at the trip have produced a win, two seconds and three thirds. Kyra Yuill is the best-performed rider in the field. The problem is position: he is drawn to be back in a slowly run race.

Our price $6.20 · Amy Jo Hayes

Gingeriffic is the overlay. She has improved sharply, leading all the way to win a 1400m at Leinster last week and just missing at Leonora the start before, again in front, in a race run right up to this class. Amy Jo Hayes sticks and barrier 4 gives her a chance to use that speed on a track that favours horses on the pace. She can be one-paced if a rival gets first run, and the form before this pair was ordinary.

Our price $3.40 · Ebony Johnson

He led all the way to win a similar race at Leonora, with Casino Royale back in third, and then chased that horse home at Leinster from a wide gate. Today's claim leaves him much better off at the weights, and he maps just off the lone leader. The outside draw is the clear risk on this short straight, but his recent sprint form and rider combination still make him the most likely winner.

Our price $4.60 · Ava Catarino

Casino Royale is the map runner. He should cross from barrier 4 and control a moderate pace on a circuit that rarely lets backmarkers past. He is in a purple patch, winning last start and filling the minors twice before that at this trip. The catch is the 59kg and the fact Power To Rule already had his measure at Leonora before today's weight shift. He is a clear second chance and worth an each-way ticket rather than a straight win.

Our price $6.50 · Bailey Webster

Sanctions keeps finding the frame without often winning. She was fourth in the same Leinster sprint the two main chances contested, from a handy spot, and she drops to a light weight from barrier 2. Her 1200m record is the best place profile in the field and the class is no harder than what she has been running in. She is unlikely to lead, so a slowish tempo can leave her vulnerable, which is why she is a place chance behind the two on-pace hopes.

Our price $11.00 · Simone Altieri

Dragonflies is the overlay. He maps on the pace, which is exactly where you want to be at Laverton, and his Mingenew run two starts back was a genuine effort in company that includes today's leader. He is 12, the rider is out of form, and he was plain last Saturday, so he is not a top-three winning chance. At 16 he is still longer than he should be for an each-way play.

Our price $2.50 · Ebony Johnson

He is the quickest away, so he can be closer than a midfield map suggests, and Johnson's claim helps the 63.5kg.

Our price $5.40 · Amy Jo Hayes

Shasfa is the clear second chance. She has already won at Laverton over 1200m.

Our price $6.20 · Rosie Mahony

Repeater earns third on the map rather than his last two runs. A moderate tempo and an open lead suit a horse who can sit just off them from barrier four, and four wins from nine at the trip show he handles 1200m. He is a place option in front of the backmarkers.

Our price $6.40 · Kyra Yuill

Our Kiwi Princess is the overlay. She has won her only Laverton start, over this trip, draws the rail, and her 1200m record is 35 starts for four wins and nine other placings. She was a close third at Leonora two runs back and finished in front of Repeater at Leinster.

Our price $2.70 · Ebony Johnson

He controlled a similar 1600m race a fortnight ago, has three wins from six at the trip and has already won at Laverton. He has the gate speed to offset barrier eight in a slowly run race that favours horses on the pace.

Our price $6.20 · Ava Catarino

Western Impact is the main danger. He was only a few lengths off Boab Boy at Leonora after missing the start, then finished second in last week's mile when his rider lost a rein. Barrier three and 56kg suit Laverton, and he can hold a midfield spot just off a slow tempo.

Our price $6.50 · Kyra Yuill

Got Lucky won this class over 1600m last Saturday and is a proven miler, with five wins from 17 at the trip and a win and a second from two Laverton starts at the distance. Kyra Yuill stays on. He is not a top pick to win because the map has him back in a slowly run race on a track that rarely lets closers in, and his Leonora mile was ordinary.

Our price $8.50 · Casey Hunter

Danea Rock is the value runner. She won over the mile at Leonora last start and has been finishing her races like a horse better than the weaker fields she has been racing in. Barrier one and 55kg give her every chance to hold a spot on a track that hurts wide runners.