Alice Springs tips and results

Our price $5.20 · SP $10.00 · Billy Cray

Draws the inside gate and maps to settle right on the speed, which is exactly where you want to be here. He won over this trip at Alice Springs in June and rarely runs a poor race, though he doesn't win often. With the inside bias and his on-pace style he shapes as a solid place player and a live threat if the leader falters.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Lek Maloney

Bahama Bay is a proven Alice Springs campaigner with a strong record here and at this trip, and he won this grade and distance two starts back before finding Open company too rich. Race-fit off a 20-day break and dropping back to his level, he should settle handy and be in the finish. Middle draw and a habit of getting run down late are the knocks, but his winning form at this track makes him a leading chance.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Paul Denton

Luskin Hero is the likely leader from an inside gate, and Alice Springs has favoured on-pace runners drawn low. He has a solid record at this track and trip and is racing consistently, including a close fourth last start after leading. The concern is his stable's lean run and the fact he was run down last time.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Paul Denton

A consistent maiden who has placed in more than half his starts and owns the best track numbers here with two seconds and two thirds. He drops out of a stronger grade and is a strong late finisher, but he resumes today and may get too far back in a race expected to be run slowly.

Our price $8.00 · SP $20.00 · Billy Cray

The value angle. He is the only genuine leader in a race the map says will be run slowly, so he could get an easy time in front and prove hard to run down. He drops sharply in class and the stable/jockey pairing is winning.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Ianish Luximon

The value runner. She is an on-pace mare who should settle in the first few, exactly where you want to be over 1000m here, and she comes off a sharpening jump-out. Both her trainer and rider have strong records at this course and she is trending the right way.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.00 · Deborah Barton

His on-pace style suits the likely slow tempo and he draws an inside gate.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · Jessica Booth

A consistent mare who has been placing against stronger company, including thirds at 1100m and 1000m this past month, and now drops in class. Light weight and a handy position should suit a slow tempo, and she finishes her races off well. The query is the step up to 1400m, a trip she has yet to taste success at, so she rates a solid place chance rather than a winning one.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Ianish Luximon

His regular jockey knows him well with a fine strike rate together.

Our price $2.90 · SP $3.70 · Lek Maloney

The most likely winner on form. She maps as the lone leader and the race shape is ideal — a slow tempo she can control at her best trip. Two of her last three starts were 1400m wins, and she is unbeaten in four runs over this course and distance. The knock is that Grinzinger Lass ran her down over the mile last start, but back to 1400m off an easy lead she will be hard to peg back.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Ianish Luximon

He drops weight from his latest placing and his connections know him well. The negatives are obvious: a veteran backmarker in a race that may be slowly run, so he needs the tempo to be honest to threaten.