Manangatang tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.30 · Jack Martin

She has not won, her trainer is cold, and the Coleraine run produced no recorded finish after she was still last at the 400m.

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.50 · Chelsea Taylor

Poorlittlerichkid is a long way short of the main form horses, with five starts and no placing, and he has stopped when he has led. In this maiden he is still the only horse drawn to lead, from barrier five, in a race the map rates as moderate. He is the value each-way, with the win chance tied to him getting an uncontested lead.

Our price $10.00 · SP $7.00 · Valentin Le Boeuf

Whata Stretch is a nine-year-old maiden, so the profile is risky, but he is the horse who can control a moderate 1175m. A jump-out win nine days ago puts him on the fresh side, and Le Boeuf is the best booking in the field. He has previously shown he can run to a winning standard in this grade, mostly when on the pace.

Our price $13.00 · SP $18.00 · Hannah Edgley

Atomic Blitz is unraced, so this is a trainer, barrier and trial case rather than a form case. Craig Weeding's recent strike rate is the best in the field, she jumps from barrier 2, and a soft-ground jump-out third is a usable trial.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Jackie Beriman

Yaki Ishi brings the strongest long record in the race and is dropping from handicap company into a BM52. His Fannie Bay third in a 58 handicap was a genuine effort at this trip, and a fast Manangatang tempo gives a backmarker a chance. The Donald ninth was a backward run from barrier 11, and he draws wide again.

Our price $5.80 · SP $7.00 · Chelsea Taylor

Minesite is the only runner with a win at Manangatang, and it came at this distance. He drops from BM56 after a tidy fifth from the back on the synthetic in July, and a fast 1175m should let him wind up from around seventh. Fresh is the query: five first-up runs have produced a second and two thirds without a win, and 60kg is a burden.

Our price $10.00 · SP $4.80 · Nathan Punch

Steely Hustler is the value. Barrier 5 lets her hold a handy spot in a race the data mildly favours low draws, and she drops slightly in class.

Our price $4.60 · SP $4.60 · Chelsea Taylor

Chosen Venture is the form horse in a moderate BM56. He won a similar 1200m handicap at Warracknabeal two back, then closed from near last into fourth in a stronger BM62 at Swan Hill. Seven wins from 47 good-track starts show he handles today's surface, and a fast early gallop with two leaders helps a horse who gets back. The wide gate is the risk.

Our price $12.50 · SP $21.00 · Toby Atkinson

He drops from a BM66 into this weaker race with blinkers on for the first time, and his only win came storming from last on good ground. A Penola fourth in a Class 1 was a better effort than the margin, and today's fast speed map gives a closer a fair chance.

Our price $6.50 · SP $11.00 · Polly Brewster

She won over 1550m on good ground at Pooncarie three weeks ago, with Shal Exceed, Danzagrunt and Ovabent behind her, and now drops in grade on 53kg. Polly Brewster has been among the busier riders in this field. She is drawn wide and is predicted to settle back, so she needs a clear run if the lone leader keeps the pace moderate.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Chelsea Jokic

Barrier 4 gives Chelsea Jokic a chance to be closer than his recent back-half pattern. His last two starts were plain, including a fifth behind Shasam at Pooncarie, and both rider and trainer are cold.

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.50 · Jade Smith

He is the only horse to have already placed at Manangatang, finishing third over this 1550m, and barrier 2 lets him sit closer than the deep closers in a race with a lone leader. No rider is engaged yet, so that remains a gap in the form.

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.90 · Olivia East

Her recent third in a BM80 over 2000m, her narrow second and her win are stronger pieces of form than anything else is bringing into this country Open. She gets in light, handles good ground and should be handy in a moderate tempo. The gap is that she has yet to win at the trip and can be vulnerable late.

Our price $18.00 · SP $31.00 · Jade Smith

All three of her wins have come on good ground and she drops to 52kg after a string of trials.

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Jade Smith

He drops out of a 62 race after a fighting third at Swan Hill over 2400m, beaten under a length on good ground, and a 3kg claim leaves him well weighted. That is stronger recent form than most of this field and he is trending the right way at a staying trip. The good-ground sample is thin, he usually prefers rain, and the map has him back from barrier 8, so he is a place chance more than a banker.

Our price $16.00 · SP $21.00 · Jack Martin

At Coleraine he finished fifth, beaten under two lengths, in a 56 handicap, and he now drops into this grade from barrier 3. He has six career wins and four of them have come on good ground. He has to carry 60kg, his only run at the trip was unplaced, and both rider and trainer are cold, so he is hard to trust.