Ashburton tips and results

Our price $4.60 · SP $11.00 · Bridget Grylls

She brings the best recent form of any runner, is a proven soft-track winner and handled this sort of trip with a solid effort last start. The concern is the riding change to a jockey going through a quiet patch, plus an inside draw that has historically been the worst part of the Ashburton track. On form alone she is right in the finish.

Our price $5.60 · SP $6.50 · Ashlee Strawbridge

A consistent type who has placed at this course and is well suited by 2200m. He is the likely leader in a race predicted to be run at a slow tempo, which should let him control the gallop and give a good sight. The knock is that he has never won on soft going and is still chasing a first win at Ashburton, so he looks more a place than a win proposition.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Triston Moodley

Kirchmeyer is the emerging type. Lightly raced, he produced the field's best recent display when closing hard into fifth last week and has the stable and jockey combination to keep progressing. The queries are the step up to 1400m and a four-day turnaround. On an upward curve, he is a genuine threat.

Our price $9.00 · SP $31.00 · Jim Chung

Go Pro comes off the best single run in the field, a surging second on wet ground over further. His staying profile and wet-track form make him interesting, though he drops to 1400m where he is yet to place and may need the race run to suit.

Our price $16.00 · SP $17.00 · Kendra Bakker

Queen Courtney is a value hope.

Our price $4.60 · SP $3.70 · Terry Moseley

The class runner of the field, having mixed it in black-type company as a three-year-old before a solid first-up fourth at 1400m. Her recent form is the strongest in this race and she drops to a maiden she should be competitive in, and she should be fitter second-up. The obvious knock is a long run of defeats without a placing, and a slowly-run race may not flatter a one-paced type.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.70 · Lisa Allpress

She is lightly raced, gets in well on the three-year-old allowance, and looks likely to settle handy in a race with almost no early speed, which should suit. The concerns are that she steps up to 1400m for the first time from a sprinting family and is yet to win, with her rider in a lean patch.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.40 · Triston Moodley

A consistent mare who saves her best for rain-affected ground, with placings on both soft and heavy tracks.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Jim Chung

Consistent open-company campaigner who closes hard and looks well served by the likely strong early tempo, which should set it up for the backmarkers. He was placed in this grade at his last two and ran second at this course in the autumn. From a top stable and drawn nicely. Hard to leave out.

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Yogesh Atchamah

Value play. He has won at this course and distance and is a far better horse second-up, with two wins and a placing from four fresh runs. He handles soft ground, gets in light and rarely runs a bad race.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Krishi Ramdhun

The class runner of the field, dropping back from open grades where he won two starts ago and finished second last time. Proven at 2200m and handles rain-affected going. A genuine win and each-way proposition.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Ashlee Strawbridge

The most consistent mare in the field and arguably the best suited to track and trip. Placed in all five Ashburton starts and in nine of her last ten, with two wins in her last five. Sits handy and stays well. The query is she has never won on turf, so she is more a place than a win proposition, but she should be in the finish.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Lisa Allpress

Course-placed and ran a good third on a soft track two starts back before a forgive run in a heavy slog last time. Fitter now and a genuine place chance, though he has yet to win on grass.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Brett Murray

A soft-track specialist with three wins on rain-affected ground, and she drops back into this grade after a string of tougher assignments. Placed at this course and distance before and turned in a competitive effort last start.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.70 · Kendra Bakker

Lightly raced five-year-old who has made Ashburton's 1600m his own with two wins, one of them on soft ground, and he has won or placed in his last four. He drops to the lightest weight in the field, a real edge in a competitive Open race, and his handy racing style suits the moderate tempo expected. The only query is the class rise, but a second at Open level last start says he belongs.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.80 · Hayley Hassman

Consistent Open handicapper and arguably the best-credentialled horse in the field over this trip. He won a 1600m Open Handicap at Riccarton and has repeatedly run to a high standard in stronger company, finishing strongly from off the pace. The knocks are the hefty 60.5kg, a 7yo frame, and a second-up record without a win. Good each-way value if the race is run to suit his closing style.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.90 · Ashlee Strawbridge

Genuine front-runner with a smart record at Ashburton, where he has won twice. He led throughout to take a strong 1600m race at Riccarton, and the trainer-jockey combination is going well. From a wide draw that carries no penalty here, he could control a moderate tempo and prove hard to run down.

Our price $2.60 · SP $1.65 · Hayley Hassman

The clear class runner. She won the Listed Canterbury Belle last start on testing ground and was second in a Group 1 over this trip on soft, form the rest of the field simply lacks. Freshened and still improving, she should be too strong. The wide draw is not a concern here and she is the one to beat.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Jim Chung

A stakes-winning colt who was a close second last start and is rarely far from the action. The step up to 1400m for the first time and a modest rider booking are the queries, but he is a genuine winning hope.

Our price $8.50 · SP $12.00 · Kendra Bakker

Broke through with a competitive stakes win on debut on soft going, beating more seasoned types. Lightly raced and open to improvement, she is exactly the progressive, unexposed type the Ashburton winner profile rewards.

Our price $9.00 · SP $9.50 · Hayley Hassman

Pequot is a reliable type at this grade who was close up in fourth at Riccarton last start, running to a competitive standard. He has placed at this course and distance, draws nicely in ten and gets Hayley Hassman, who is riding Ashburton particularly well. He is more a place than a win proposition given his strike rate, and the soft track is a query, but a top-three finish is well within reach.

Our price $16.00 · SP $31.00 · Kendra Bakker

Sacred Dior is the value play. She is a genuine Ashburton specialist with two wins and two placings from ten starts here, including a win over this exact course and distance in April, and she handles soft ground. She draws nicely in eight with Kendra Bakker, who rides this track well, aboard.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.10 · Hayley Hassman

Genuine course-and-distance specialist who is two from two at Ashburton and has twice won on rain-affected going. He was solid first up at Riccarton and now steps back to his best trip, which is a clear plus. Top weight is the main query, but he ticks the profile of the in-form, lightly raced, course-proven type that wins here often.

Our price $9.50 · SP $8.50 · Jack Taplin

She handles soft ground and comes off a solid fourth at this grade, so she is fit and in form. The wide gate is manageable given the track plays fair, and she looks overpriced relative to her genuine place claims.