Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 10 October 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
She was narrowly beaten here last start after a tough wide trip, and second-up over a slightly longer trip should suit. The draw is a concern in a slowly-run race, but she has enough tactical speed to be handy.
Satin Serenade is a consistent type who has been placed in all three starts and gets a good tactical position from barrier 5. The Waller stable is a positive, but her recent run was only moderate, and she carries top weight.
Blinkers are a question mark, and leaders have struggled here.
Seminal ran an encouraging third on debut in a higher grade than this and settled in the right part of the field. The stable is flying and the jockey is a strong booking.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Waiheke Rose | 6 | Winona Costin | Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott | 57.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 1 | Satin Serenade | 5 | Lee Magorrian | Chris Waller | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Vision In A Dream | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | Peter Snowden | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 8 | Moon Flash | 2 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | David Payne | 55.5kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Forsaken | 7 | Mitchell Bell | John O'Shea and Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 7 | Claire Michelle | 8 | Deanne Panya | Marc and Mitchell Conners | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Seminal | 9 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea and Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 3 | Chinta | 1 | Rory Hutchings | Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Andelise | 3 | Jess Taylor | Marc and Mitchell Conners | 55kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Farcolo | 4 | Gary Portelli | 55kg |
The clear form standout. Two trial wins in the past month show he is ready. A slow-run, midfield-friendly race suits his running style.
Glenorchy has been competing in stakes company and ran a very good second at Eagle Farm, so he drops sharply in grade here. He trialled well last week and the Waller stable is formidable at Kembla Grange. The only worries are barrier 10 and an unproven Good-track record.
A lightly-raced colt who was beaten under half a length on debut over this trip and then won his trial on Good last week. He has room to improve from a small base and the weight is light.
She has not won and is not a certainty to place, but at 46 her chances are underestimated, and a midfield trip in a slow race could see her run into a place.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Graffiti Tycoon | 4 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea and Tom Charlton | 59kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Glenorchy | 10 | Lee Magorrian | Chris Waller | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | The Roaring Sun | 7 | Rory Hutchings | Chris Waller | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Badawi | 5 | Adam Farragher | Ciaron Maher | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Keinbah's Promise | 1 | Chad Lever | Damien Smith | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Cosmic River | 6 | Jay Ford | Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Adaptation | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Only Trust | 8 | Diane Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Llantarnam | 2 | David Pfieffer | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Michonne's Katana | 9 | Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou | 57kg |
The most likely winner on form. Last Affair won last start on the speed, sitting second, and that is the right way to run in a race where nobody wants to lead. Tight weights help a lightly raced improver. The class rise is the main question, but his recent run was a winning standard and the stable is in form.
A genuine chance. A better-than-usual barrier lets her ride closer.
Cap D'ail has been consistent at Kembla Grange, winning a maiden and running fourth against Class 1 company last start while pulling hard. Top weight and the step up to the mile are fair concerns, but a steadier run in a slow race could see him finish strongly.
Don's Party is the best value in the race. His last start fourth came after a poor start, a bump and being held up for clear running, and he has been close to winning standard in this grade.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Cap D'ail | 7 | Jon Grisedale | Diane Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Mayleigh | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | John Sargent | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Creator Of World | 1 | Winona Costin | Ross McConville | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Last Affair | 5 | Rory Hutchings | Michael Freedman | 56kg | $2.30 |
| 5th | 8 | Piedi Veloci | 6 | Keagan Latham | Donna Grisedale | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Don's Party | 4 | Andrew Calder | Paul and Martha Cave | 58kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Blue Eyed Brigid | 3 | Brad Widdup | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Zippy Lion | 8 | Joseph Ible | 55kg |
He ran a strong second over this course and distance last start after being forced wide, and the run before was just as good. He gets the nod as the most likely winner.
A young horse on the improve who was not seen at his best last start. He began slowly, was crowded and was held up, yet still finished a close third. He carries a light weight, has a classy jockey booked, and ran well earlier in the campaign.
A filly who showed early speed on debut, racing handy before weakening. She has won barrier trials and should find improvement second time out. The weight is light and her jockey is in good form.
A genuine on-speed type who draws the inside gate and can dictate in a race where leaders are favoured. She has been running solidly without winning, but with the right run she can last the trip.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Bold Bucks | 6 | Keagan Latham | Richard and Will Freedman | 56.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Brutal Advance | 4 | Chad Lever | Kerry Parker | 59kg | $1.95 |
| 3rd | 12 | Rocks Or Diamonds | 11 | Jean Van Overmeire | John Sargent | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Husslaa | 13 | Deanne Panya | Graham M Brown | 56.5kg | $151.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Reign Supreme | 9 | Jon Grisedale | Ross McConville | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Only Trust | 3 | Winona Costin | Diane Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Spalpeen | 8 | Louise Day | John Sargent | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Tendi | 5 | Lee Magorrian | John Steinmetz | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Clinger Power | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Edward O'Rourke | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Reine De Cristal | 2 | Andrew Calder | Gary Portelli | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Exhilaration | 10 | William A Stanley | John Thompson | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Bascilica Babe | 1 | Rory Hutchings | Sara Ryan | 56kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Koo Koo Achoo | 12 | Joseph Ible | 57kg |
Shuda Known won his maiden at Scone in a performance that stacked up with the best in this field. He carries only 53.5kg and should settle handy in a moderately-run race.
Our Vinny looks the main beneficiary of the map. He is the only obvious front-runner in a race expected to be run at a moderate pace, which favours whoever controls it. He ran fourth over this course and distance last start and drops in class.
Lego Master has shown he can run to a winning standard over 1200m, and he gets the ideal draw to sit handy. The stable and jockey combination is among the best in the race. His two runs against Class 1 company were disappointing and he has had a six-week break. A bounce-back at a fairer weight and distance gives him a good place chance.
He is a young horse on the way up who has won on Good ground and finishes his races well. The inside draw lets him get a better position than usual and the 56kg suits.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Shuda Known | 6 | William A Stanley | Kris Lees | 53.5kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 5 | Autumn Flyer | 10 | Chad Lever | Theresa Bateup | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Our Vinny | 9 | Lee Magorrian | Diane Poidevin-Laine | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Barbarossa | 11 | Louise Day | Mitchell Beer and George Carpenter | 60kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Frostisen | 8 | Mitchell Bell | Kim Waugh | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Lego Master | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer and George Carpenter | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Damascus Calling | 4 | Amber Riddell | Mick Attard | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Fitzclarence | 7 | Rory Hutchings | Jason Attard | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Our Noble Boy | 1 | Keagan Latham | Robert and Luke Price | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Cuban Rain | 3 | Adam Farragher | Robert and Luke Price | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Frosty Bangers | 12 | Deon Le Roux | Jacqueline Greentree | 52kg | $81.00 |
| 12th | 7 | I'm A Beaut | 5 | Winona Costin | Terry Croft | 55kg | $21.00 |
Her recent form is the strongest in the race. She won last start and was only just beaten over this course and distance at Kembla. The fast tempo should bring her into the finish, and the 55kg helps.
Artemex won over the same distance last start and finished strongly in both runs at 1000m. He should get a midfield run behind a genuine pace, and the improvement is clear.
Portico has been consistent in good company and the blinkers brought improvement. A slight class drop and a strong jockey and trainer combination add to the case.
He has been in the first two in most starts and tends to lead, which the track favours.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Smoke 'n' Darts | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Blake Ryan | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Artemex | 7 | Keagan Latham | Ciaron Maher | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Portico | 8 | Rory Hutchings | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Performance | 2 | Winona Costin | Gary Portelli | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Yamashita | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer and George Carpenter | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Seductra | 1 | William A Stanley | Richard and Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Dirty Summer | 6 | Deon Le Roux | Jim and Greg Lee | 55.5kg | $3.70 |
| 8th | 10 | Our Cielo | 3 | Chad Lever | Paul Murray | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Isn't She Autumn | 4 | Amber Riddell | Bjorn Baker | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 10th | 9 | Kunis | 9 | Madison Waters | Robert and Luke Price | 55kg | $81.00 |
He handles Good ground and the distance.
She ran a very good second at Goulburn last start after leading, and her tactical speed should suit a race with no clear leader. The unknowns are the extra distance and a limited sample.
A progressive three-year-old who won last start finishing strongly and now gets a handy weight. A moderate tempo and a handy map should suit, and the stable has been in form. A good place chance with a win possible.
A consistent type who ran a very solid third against better opposition last start and now drops in grade with the lightest weight in the race. His jockey has a good record on him and he tends to settle in a good position.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | Gridlock | 6 | Rory Hutchings | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 1 | Fiftyfivechevy | 1 | Poppie Gorton | Mitchell Beer and George Carpenter | 58.5kg | $20.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Me Me | 14 | Mitchell Bell | Robert and Luke Price | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Crathie Kirk | 2 | William A Stanley | Kris Lees | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 10 | La Morra | 16 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Master Riley | 11 | Jess Taylor | Theresa Bateup | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Sizzler | 3 | Chad Lever | Craig Carmody | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Abuse Of Power | 7 | Leeshelle Small | John Sharah | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Superata | 4 | Jean Van Overmeire | Gregory Hickman | 60.5kg | $3.40 |
| 10th | 11 | Star Minerva | 10 | Adam Farragher | Ciaron Maher | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Crown The King | 8 | Deon Le Roux | Luke Pepper | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Close Encounter | 9 | Lee Magorrian | Kerry Parker | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 13th | 16 | Okami Star | 12 | Heavelon Van Der Hoven | Clarry Conners | 55kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Force March | 5 | Andrew MacDonald | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Monkhana | 13 | Denim Wynen | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Mayleigh | 15 | John Sargent | 56.5kg |
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