Caulfield tips and results

Our price $3.60 · SP $2.80 · Blake Shinn

Veyepee beat a Bm84 field on Soft 5 at Mornington last start, a tougher assignment than this, and has won both starts on rain-affected ground. He gets back and relies on a strong finish, which is the main risk at Caulfield from a wide gate with 61.5kg, but a moderate tempo should let Shinn find cover and a midfield spot.

Our price $9.50 · SP $13.00 · Billy Egan

Classic Gem is the best-credentialed horse in the race on class, having run fourth in the Australian Oaks before a confident first-up win at Bendigo. She carries only 59kg and the longer trip suits. If Egan can keep her in touch from barrier 6 in a moderately run race, she has the engine to run over the top of them.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.00 · Mark Zahra

A lightly raced filly who has done nothing wrong on wet tracks, with a soft-track maiden win at Seymour that was a cut above the standard for that grade. The stable is in strong form and the booking of Mark Zahra after a jump-out underlines intent. The question is whether a two-start maiden winner can give the leaders a start on a track that rewards on-pace runners.

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Blake Shinn

Her Adelaide form, including a soft-track stakes win and a win over this distance, is a class above most rivals. Her two Melbourne runs since have been underwhelming, but the last had clear excuses and the one before was better than it reads.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

Astral Flame is the forgotten horse. In the autumn she ran second in a Group 2 and fourth in the Anniversary Vase over this course and distance, the latter on soft ground in a performance that rates with the best recent efforts in this field. She has not raced since, so she relies on two jump-outs and a trial for fitness, and barrier 11 complicates her preferred front-running style. An each-way saver.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Harry Coffey

Shockletz enters off a dominant Archer Stakes win over 2500m where she ran to a standard no other runner here has matched in recent weeks. Her Caulfield fourth on a Soft 7 before that was also high quality, and she has a genuine wet-track pedigree with three soft wins. The main risk is positional: she settles midfield to back on a track that rewards forward runners, but with three genuine leaders the race should be truly run.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · William Pike

Zakouma's Andrew Ramsden win over 2800m at Flemington showed he is a genuine stayer at Listed level, and both Caulfield runs this campaign were better than the results suggest after being crowded in the Naturalism and coming from last in the Heatherlie. He handles rain-affected ground and the step to 2400m in a strongly run race is exactly what he wants.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Luke Currie

She is two from two at 2400m, won a Group 3 on soft ground at Rosehill, and her Caulfield runs this campaign have been sound, including a Naturalism fourth beaten under a length and a half after leading. If she can cross and settle in the first four from barrier 14 she will be very hard to run down. Value each-way.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Luke Cartwright

Streisand is a Group 1 quality filly getting a huge weight pull from the older horses. Her Cap D'Antibes sixth was much better than the result suggests under a big weight, and she drops to 51kg here. She has won both starts at Caulfield, handled a Soft 5 when second in the Golden Slipper and will race handy, which is where the winners come from at this track.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · William Pike

Rey Magnerio is the obvious danger on class, having chased Jigsaw home in the Quokka and owning a strong Caulfield 1100m record. He is drawn well and William Pike is riding in brilliant form. The concern is his racing pattern, since he settles near the rear and this track has been unforgiving to backmarkers on soft going, and he is still looking for a first soft-track win.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Ben Melham

He won a Group 3 over 1100m and then ran third in a Group 1 on soft ground last preparation, beaten under a length, with Rey Magnerio and Flying For Fun behind him that day. He draws to settle midfield just off the speed, which this track rewards, and Ben Melham sticks with him.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

Treasurethe Moment is the one runner who can dictate the race. With no other genuine leader she should get to the front cheaply and control the tempo, and her Caulfield and soft-track records are among the best in the field.

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00 · John Allen

Kingswood is the overlay. The Underwood effort was better than the margin after he was caught wide early. He should sit second behind a lone leader and get every chance in a race that is likely to favour those on the speed.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · Craig Williams

Tron Bolt is the proven Group 1 miler in the field, having won the J.J. Atkins on a bog track. His Golden Rose run was better than the margin suggests from a wide gate. The negatives are the wide draw and his racing style, as get-back horses struggle to win at Caulfield.

Our price $15.00 · SP $51.00 · William Pike

Tornado Valley is the overlay. His Prelude second here was a genuine Group 1 standard run and he was the only horse to make Blind Raise work. He is a consistent placegetter who handles soft ground, races on the speed and draws well enough to hold a forward spot.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Mark Zahra

On raw ability shown this preparation Warnie is arguably the horse to beat: his Chautauqua win on soft ground was the strongest performance in this field, and he closed well again at Caulfield last time without luck of position. The concern is his racing pattern, as he settles midfield to back and Caulfield has been punishing that style. The expected hot tempo offsets much of that.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Lachlan Neindorf

He earns a place in the top three on form. He is not the top selection because the speed map is against him, with Evaporate and Hellsing also wanting the front, and he over-raced in front last time.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Ben Allen

Harry's Yacht is the form horse of the race.