Alice Springs tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.10 · S Tsaikos

A genuine track/distance specialist carrying topweight, Throw At Da Stumps has been running home in fast time recently despite modest placings, hinting at sharpening fitness. His course record is excellent, but 60.5kg is a real impost in this company and today's jockey change to a rider with only a 10% track strike rate tempers full confidence in a top-two finish.

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Jessica Booth

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.40 · Ianish Luximon

The concern is she has been racing over longer 1400-1600m trips of late without saluting, and her rider is out of form. Solid third string on class alone.

Our price $2.30 · SP $3.00 · Jessie Philpot

Brat comes into this off a clear-cut Pioneer Park 1200m win, dropping meaningfully in weight today while racing at his preferred track and distance where his record is outstanding (30% win rate). Barrier 4 suits the track's low-draw bias. The step up to BM76 and unfamiliar rider are the only query marks, but the form, fitness and conditions all point to this being the most likely winner.

Our price $3.50 · SP $6.50 · P Denton

Luskin Hero has been racing competitively in Open class and drops sharply in grade today, a meaningful positive. The P Denton combination is excellent on this horse (40% strike rate), and the inside gate suits Pioneer Park's barrier bias. A strong each-way claim just behind the top selection.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · S Tsaikos

It has been competitive in this exact grade at Pioneer Park before, but a 0-from-10 course record and topweight of 60kg cap confidence in it going all the way. Rates as a leading each-way/placing threat rather than the most likely winner.

Our price $3.80 · SP $5.00 · D A Hirini

Brazen Sailor maps as the only natural leader in a slow-tempo race, a major tactical edge at a track that rewards on-pace types. He has placed in six straight starts, three of them in Class 2 races here, and draws well in barrier 3. Form favours Brazen Sailor as the most likely winner.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Jessica Booth

Highstrung won twice in his last four starts before flopping under a heavy 59.5kg impost; today's weight drops to a manageable 56.5kg, which should restore his recent winning form. Best used as an each-way value play.