Griffith tips and results

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.05 · B Mc Dougall

Bravo Six is the progressive second-up runner.

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Samantha Noble

Numbersneverseen is the each-way overlay. While his form line is unattractive and the trainer/jockey combination has a poor strike rate, his pace profile is a genuine fit: early-speed rank 2 in a moderate-tempo race on a Griffith circuit that rewards forward runners.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · B Vale

Her barrier 3 and natural on-pace style fit Griffith's speed-favouring layout. The knock is that she is winless in 19 and has never placed on good ground, so she is best treated as a place/quinella horse rather than a primary win option.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Samantha Noble

She is consistent without winning and can park midfield from gate 7. The wide-ish draw and a poor good-track record are genuine negatives, so she rates as a minor place/trifecta contender rather than a serious win threat.

Our price $8.50 · SP $11.00 · B Mc Dougall

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Emma Ly

Best credentialled runner in an ordinary BM50. She owns the field's strongest strike rates (19% win / 34% place), a superb Good-track record (9 wins from 32) and drops from BM56. Crucially she lands barrier 1, the ideal gate at tight Griffith where inside draws dominate 1200m sprints, and carries just 54kg. The second-up record is the knock, but she rates clearly on top.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Zoe Waller

His 1200m record of 6:1-2-0 is the best engaged. However, 59.5kg from barrier 8 on a tight speed-favouring track is a genuine task, and he has never placed from five Good-track starts.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · C J Parish

Barrier 3 and a proven 1400m win add appeal, and he placed 2nd in a recent trial. The negatives are a first-up profile (4:0-1-1), 58.5kg and a midfield/back settling pattern.

Our price $15.00 · SP $12.00 · Glenn Cahill

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · J Duffy

Rates as the best each-way option among the top three.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Cassidy Hill

Maps to settle around third and Griffith's speed bias suits, while Cassidy Hill has won on him before. The reservations are top weight of 60kg and a poor fresh record (no wins from six first-up attempts). Place claims strongest.

Our price $17.00 · SP $7.00 · B Mc Dougall

Crucially, all six career wins have come on Good ground and every recent failure was on soft/heavy, so the Good 4 is a significant positive.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · B Mc Dougall

She won her maiden on Good ground leading all the way and has trialled recently. The clear risk is fitness, resuming after a long break with a poor first-up profile.

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · M Heagney

Barrier 4 and a strong Good-track record (45:8-6-5) add appeal.