Morphettville tips and results

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · J Holder

She is an improving type whose margins tightened through her last prep. First up without a public trial and the class rise from Maiden are real question marks, but the mare has placed first up before and Holder is riding in form. The predicted fast tempo from two leaders and a middle draw help her finishing pattern.

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.20 · Todd Pannell

Concerns are the cold jockey-trainer combination and an unproven second-up pattern, but the form gap to her rivals is clear.

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · Logan McNeil

Cha Ching King brings a two-start wet-track record of a win and a second, both at Wangaratta, and the stable's decision to travel interstate for this race signals confidence. He maps to settle third from barrier 3, an ideal spot on a track where sprint winners sit in the front three.

Our price $13.00 · SP $17.00 · Ms T Johnstone

He is fresh with a sound first-up record and draws barrier 7, squarely in the middle band that recent soft-track bias at this venue has favoured, with closers also finding the line.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.50 · Alysha Warren

However there is a stack of unknowns: he has never gone beyond 2100m, carries top weight of 58.5kg, jumps from the widest gate and backs up seven days after a front-running win with a jockey badly out of form.

Our price $7.50 · SP $17.00 · J Holder

Her last start second here was outstanding given she was 14th at the 800m, and her soft track record is deep with four seconds and a win from nine runs.

Our price $11.00 · SP $11.00 · Campbell Rawiller

He gets back and runs on, which is the right style for a race with three genuine leaders on a wet surface. The first up record is encouraging, but the top weight, wide draw and lack of a soft track win temper enthusiasm.

Our price $15.00 · SP $41.00 · Margaret Collett

The Halidon trial win indicates readiness and barrier 1 allows her to sit behind the speed rather than lead, which is important given the fast tempo. Historically Morphettville soft sprints favour runners in the front three at the 400m, and she maps to be there.

Our price $10.00 · SP $31.00 · Brooke King

She has placed in 4 of 6 starts and finally broke through last start on Soft 5, overcoming interference at the 400m to win from 10th. The predicted fast tempo with three genuine leaders is exactly what a light-weight closer needs, and Brooke King is riding in strong form for the Blanch stable.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Ms S Metcalfe

In-form soft-track specialist who maps to control a moderate tempo from gate 5. Won last start leading throughout at 1400m on Soft 6 and holds a strong 4-4-1 soft record. Suits the Morphettville on-pace profile. Main query is the class rise from Restricted 62 to BM70, but his fitness, wet form and race shape give him the strongest winning case.

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · Jordyn Weatherley

Class dropper from BM78 with an elite wet-track record (four heavy wins, three soft wins). Consistent and well-drawn in gate 4, he maps to settle in touch. The knock is age (9yo) and 59kg top weight, plus a last-start fade to 7th after leading at BM78. Still the obvious place/each-way threat if he reproduces his two prior close seconds.

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.60 · J Holder

A Morphettville and 1100m specialist who consistently lifts at this track, with 3 wins and 2 seconds from 6 attempts at the course and distance and two Group 3 placings here this year. The last two Caulfield runs were disappointing, but a 48-day freshen-up and a class drop bring him back into play.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Jake Toeroek

Tottori comes off a tough win at 1800m on a Soft 5 nine days ago where he overcame a slow start and a held-up run, suggesting he is peaking. The tempo shape with three leaders plays to his strengths and he drops 2kg with a top rider retained. Concerns are his poor Morphettville record and reliance on luck from the rear, but the profile fits the race well.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.80 · Connor Murtagh

Won last start at Morphettville on Soft 7 leading throughout and drawing clear, and has placed at BM84 level on heavy tracks this prep. Wet-proven with a leader profile on a track where front-three runners at the 400m hold a clear edge. Weight rise is the main query, but early-speed superiority should give him control from a favoured middle gate.