Doomben tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.50 · Jai Williams

Slipsain is the form horse on pure metro evidence: two close seconds in stronger BM70 races at Doomben over this trip, then a fair third at Eagle Farm when held up. Drops in grade to Restricted 65 with a light weight after the claim and maps handy from barrier 6, which suits the on-pace bias here.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · D L Turner

The Doomben bias strongly favours that position and his wins have come on Good ground.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Jai Williams

Cavalry Man is the on-pace runner with the best recent form. The slow tempo and a likely trail behind The Right Way suit. The gear change and 58.5kg temper confidence, but he is a solid place chance with winning upside.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · M R Du Plessis

The extra 3kg and change to a jockey with a poor strike rate on him are legitimate concerns, but a slow tempo with the horse sitting third on the fence gives him every chance to repeat.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.40 · Jake Bayliss

Barbray is the form horse. Back to BM78 with 56.5kg and a mid-barrier, his rise in weight is offset by the class drop. The get-back pattern is the risk at Doomben, but Aratiri and a blinkered Perfect Play should keep the tempo honest in a small field.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.80 · Ryan Houston

Against him, he has won just 4 of 43 starts, his jockey is out of form and 58.5kg is a real ask.

Our price $10.00 · SP $26.00 · Jake Bayliss

Yet He Moves is the value runner. Recommended as a small each-way play with the place component the main appeal.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Cejay Graham

Abender is the value runner. His first-up failure can be forgiven as he lost ground at the start and overraced, and his record improves second up. From barrier 1 with 55.5kg he can save ground on the turn, and the recent tilt toward backmarkers at this track helps his profile.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.90 · Emily Lang

Dominant Darcy is the most likely winner on pure form. She has the field's best strike rate, three wins from five at Doomben, and her only run at this grade was a luckless fourth after being hampered and losing a plate. The 59.5kg is the main query but she is a class above most rivals and maps ideally behind the leader.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · M R Du Plessis

Bonfire Spark is the value runner. If the track does slide toward Soft 5 as forecast, her wet record makes her the most improved runner in the field, and she offers each-way appeal.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.40 · M Rodd

Meldubious has finished 1-2 at his last two starts in comparable metropolitan grade, including a BM70 win at Eagle Farm and a narrow 2nd at this track and distance with 60kg. He maps to settle just behind the two leaders, ideal for a moderate tempo on a track where deep leaders have struggled recently.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Bella Youngberry

Listen Jani is the progressive horse of the field with three straight wins, but every win came on Soft ground and her only Good track run was a plain 4th. The map is favourable with barrier 3 and 53.5kg, and if the track softens for this race her chance improves.

Our price $14.00 · SP $26.00 · Chelsea Baker

Her last-start BM75 win at Toowoomba with 52.5kg was her fourth win from 16 starts, and she carries the same weight here from an inside draw.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.00 · Cejay Graham

Tornado Express has already run second in this grade at this track and distance carrying the same 52kg, beaten a whisker after interference. She maps well from barrier 4 in the midfield sweet spot and is the biggest weight-relieved runner in the field. The rider booking is the main negative.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Ryan Houston

Sir Artie is the overlay. The 60kg top weight and a cold rider are real negatives, but he suits the recent closer bias from an inside gate and has seven Good track wins.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.90 · Angela Jones

The Grafton trial win confirms readiness. The Group 3 run is forgivable given he was on speed off a hot pace. With a mild recent tilt toward closers at Doomben and barrier 4, he should get the run of the race and looks the most likely winner.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Tahlia Fenlon

Being the sole leader from barrier 3 with 54kg is a real edge in a 1110m sprint around this tight track.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Jai Williams

His first-up debut was plain but he was raw then and has since trialled twice.

Our price $4.20 · SP $6.00 · A Mallyon

However he must lead under 60kg on a track where leaders have won under 5% of recent races, with Cherry Rose likely to take him on early and a fast tempo predicted.

Our price $8.50 · SP $6.50 · D L Turner

Cherry Rose has won three of four first-up runs, has already won at Doomben over 1110m and won her lead-up trial at Rockhampton. Her recent form at Listed level was poor but today is a class drop, she carries only 55.5kg and if the track eases to Soft 5 for the last race her 15:7-4-0 soft record becomes a major asset.