Belmont Park tips and results

Our price $2.10 · SP $1.60 · Holly Nottle

His Ascot Open form and Listed 4th read stronger than anything else here. He settles handy from barrier 6, which suits the slow projected tempo and the on-pace lean at Belmont. Second-up he ran a close 2nd at 1200m.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · W Pike

Bird's The Word maps perfectly for the speed-favouring Belmont pattern and has Pike aboard, and his two recent thirds here on soft ground were sound. However, he wins only one in twenty on soft tracks, places far more than he wins at Belmont, and returns from a 42-day gap with a distance rise.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Holly Watson

She has led and placed in three consecutive runs and the current Belmont pattern rewards forward runners. She is a non-winner in her last 10 starts and her Albany wet-track form was poor, which caps her as a place chance.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Joey Azzopardi

Belle Journee is the value runner. Five weeks ago she won a Belmont 1600m race on Soft 5 sitting handy with Pike, and today she drops 4kg from that win, draws barrier 4 and races on the same going.

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.00 · Chloe Azzopardi

Lightly raced 5yo who has won 5 of 13 starts, including 3 of his last 4, all at 1400m. Wins fresh (4:2-0-0), wins on soft (4:2-0-0) and has trialled well twice at Belmont. With 55kg and early speed to sit third, he maps ideally on a track currently favouring forward runners. Class rise is the query but the light weight and momentum offset it.

Our price $12.00 · SP $19.00 · Holly Nottle

An 8yo whose last preparation was poor, but almost all of it was on Good tracks at Listed and BM84 level. Today he drops to BM72+, gets a Soft 5 surface where he has won 3 of 7 starts, and returns fresh with a decent first-up record and a trial win. He can settle handy on a track favouring forward runners. Small each-way play.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · B Parnham

Main Act arrives off a confident on-pace win at Belmont over 1300m and keeps the winning rider. The obstacles are real: he steps up 2.5kg to top weight, draws barrier 10 in the poorest Belmont zone and has never won over 1400m.

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Holly Nottle

Her 1400m record of 24 starts for five wins and four seconds marks her as a genuine distance specialist, and barrier 3 with a 16% Belmont rider is an upgrade. The main risk is that she settles midfield or worse on a track favouring forward runners, but she has already overcome that pattern twice here this year. Each-way value.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.40 · W Pike

Settles fourth or fifth from a middle draw, has already run second in this grade at the track and trip on rain-affected ground, and Pike's booking over the stable rider is meaningful intent.

Our price $12.00 · SP $19.00 · B Parnham

The clear risk is his get-back style on a track favouring on-pace runners, plus 60kg.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Ms L Staples

Sister Mary has the most reliable and progressive form profile in the race. She won over this trip at Belmont last start, has already placed in this grade, and has a soft-track win at 2200m.

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.30 · W Pike

However, the form spike came with 54.5kg and she now lugs 60kg from barrier 9 as a backmarker in a race likely run at a slow tempo on a speed-favouring track. Pike is a major asset but the combined weight and map negatives mean she is not the top pick and is better used for place coverage.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Holly Watson

Phat Chaps gets the run of the race from barrier 1, sitting just off the two leaders in what should be a slow tempo, and the recent track pattern strongly favours that position. He is consistent and handles soft ground.

Our price $10.00 · SP $26.00 · Holly Nottle

Eternal Romance is the runner best positioned to exploit the current on-pace bias at Belmont. She will lead or sit outside the leader in a slow-tempo staying race and sheds 4.5kg from her last-start 4th behind Sister Mary. She has won on soft, won at Belmont over 2100m in Open company, and has the class edge over the other leader.

Our price $2.90 · SP $3.90 · B Parnham

Snowdome is the form and map standout. He has run second in three straight Belmont Listed races carrying 59kg, including on Soft 5 and Heavy 9, and now meets an Open field with 57.5kg. He races on the speed from a barrier inside the favoured 1-8 zone on a track currently rewarding forward runners.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Holly Nottle

On-pace from barrier 6 with a strong Nottle/Taylor pairing, he maps ideally for a track currently favouring forward runners.

Our price $8.00 · SP $20.00 · B Parnham

He has never been beaten at Belmont and improves second up, with two wins from three attempts. The concerns are real: 60kg on a Soft 5 with no soft-track form and a poor heavy-track run. Two placings in soft-track trials this preparation suggest he handles it adequately.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Chris Parnham

Flash Dancer has won 4 of 11 starts and two of four attempts at Belmont over 1200m. He returned to form with a Heavy 9 win at Northam under 60kg and drops to 56.5kg here with Chris Parnham, who has won three times on him. The wide draw and a winless soft-track record cap confidence, but he has the early speed to find a forward position.