Ascot tips and results

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · Chris Parnham

The most talented horse in the race on his best effort, a dominant Ascot mile win on soft ground that was a class above anything else in this field. But he was beaten fairly last week over 1800m when the pace was steady, and now goes to 2200m for the first time with top weight and a history of racing keenly.

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.50 · Lucy Fiore

An honest mare who has found a new lease of life since the gear change and won easily last start over a similar trip.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.90 · Lucy Fiore

Bondi's Future returned from two years away to lead and go down narrowly in a better race than this. Fitter now, but the wide draw, 60kg and unproven soft-track form make him vulnerable, and that first-up race was not run at a strong tempo.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Lisa Staples

Soldier Of God is the overlay. He gets the inside gate and the lightest weight today, and he handles soft going. The query is whether he can see out 1400m, having not placed at the trip.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Taj Dyson

Late Arrival is the most reliable form horse in the race. He thrives on rain-affected ground, settles handy, and gets the inside gate in a race likely to be run at a muddling tempo behind a lone leader. His Ascot second last week was a strong effort under 58.5kg, and his second-up run on a Soft 5 was at a higher grade than today.

Our price $16.00 · SP $21.00 · Natika Riordan

With barrier 1, a slow tempo and the lightest impost in the race, he will get every chance to be in the finish again. His wet-track form is mixed, but a heavy-track win shows he can handle it.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.60 · Chris Parnham

The concerns are real: a wide gate, a slowly run race and a short straight all work against a horse coming from behind. Still, she has shown she can sit closer when ridden to do so, and she is two from two at Ascot over 1200m.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Chloe Azzopardi

The map is his biggest friend. Horcrux has the gate and the early speed to control a slowly run race, and he was a clear second in this grade on soft ground at Ascot in April. His last run should be forgiven after working hard from the widest gate. He is honest rather than brilliant and the booking of an inexperienced Ascot rider is a concern, but if he gets his own way in front he will be very hard to run down in the short straight.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.60 · Shaun McGruddy

Anaconda Jones has run to a winning standard in every start, handles the wet, and won at Ascot on soft ground as a two-year-old. He drops to 55kg against hardened older sprinters and should be forward enough from the inside to stay out of the mid-pack zone that struggles at Ascot.

Our price $14.00 · SP $15.00 · Lucy Fiore

Just Famous is a clear overlay at twenty dollars. He is a genuine wet-track performer with a winning record on soft and heavy ground, is racing well with a last-start win, and his get-back style is exactly what this race shape favours if the six on-pace runners cut each other down.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Chris Parnham

Consistent colt who has run to a similar solid level at every start, including a Heavy 8 second and a strong Ascot win. He resumes with a trial under his belt and a fresh record of 2:1-1-0. The query is whether he can match the two class horses here, as his runs have been a touch below the top two, and the midfield settling position is historically the hardest place to win from at Ascot.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · Joey Azzopardi

A quality young stayer who won three on end last preparation, including over this trip at this track. He is unbeaten second-up and that is exactly where he sits today after a plain resumption. The knock is his get-back style: in what shapes as a steadily run race he will need luck and a clear passage from a tricky gate, and his regular rider has been replaced. Class alone keeps him in the finish.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Shaun McGruddy

A consistent on-pacer who was a close third in this grade at this track a fortnight ago after leading or stalking the speed, and who won over the mile at Kalgoorlie before that. He has a strong record with this rider and trainer and should be prominent again.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Chris Parnham

Twisted Steel is an improving four-year-old with a smart 1000m Listed placing to his name. He trialled well for this and should map nicely from barrier six. The lack of soft-track experience is a slight worry, but he has won on heavy and looks a solid each-way proposition.

Our price $12.00 · SP $15.00 · Victoria Corver

Dawn Dancer is the value play. He is the likely leader and gets a handy weight pull as a three-year-old. His soft-track form is strong and he has won several times over 1000m.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · Brandon Louis

Back to 1400m where he has three wins and two placings, he now has the option of leading in a race with no other confirmed pacesetter, and his front-running Belmont wins show he is dangerous in control. The light weight helps.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Lucy Fiore

Playin'it Sweet is the consistency play, placed in all 13 starts with seven wins and a Listed victory over further than today. She was fair rather than brilliant behind Hot And High last start, but she has the strongest wet-track credentials of the main chances with a heavy track win and soft placings, and the step to 1400m on a soft surface may turn the tables slightly. Lucy Fiore's record on her is outstanding. Hard to see her out of the first three.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · Lucy Fiore

Western Lady is a classy, consistent mare who has won two of three first-up runs and signalled her readiness with a dominant 1400m trial. She has won over this trip at Belmont and her record at Ascot is sound. She is drawn to get a soft run midfield and the Grantham stable goes well at this track. The query is the soft ground, which she has never encountered, and whether she is sharp enough after racing over staying trips last time in.