Doomben tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.40 · Ben E Thompson

Notes Of Autumn is the improver of the field. She gave away three lengths at the start at Gatton and still ran on strongly for fifth, a run that measured up close to a winning standard on soft ground. The booking of Ben Thompson, the leading rider at Doomben, and a stable combination that has won three of seven starts together are strong signals. The problem is the map, as a backmarker in a slowly run race on heavy ground needs luck and tempo she is unlikely to get.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Ashley Butler

Alto Luna is a genuine roughie with the one attribute most of this field lacks, a placing on heavy ground. He is the quickest beginner here and should be sitting outside the leader in a slowly run race, which is where you want to be at Doomben in the wet.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.00 · Olivia Kendal

Paciera brings the best combination of current form, wet-track winning and racing pattern for a heavy Doomben mile. She won on Soft 7 at the Gold Coast last start after an earlier Sunshine Coast win, and from barrier 3 she should sit second or third behind a lone leader in a slowly-run race.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.80 · Jett Newman

Sorrenti is the most reliable runner in the field and has the physical profile a heavy track rewards: light weight, inside-half barrier and previous wet-track experience. His Gold Coast third under a big weight was a solid effort, and his form pattern suggests the mile will suit. The main doubts are his low win rate and a likely slow tempo that favours those in front of him. He is a strong place chance and a live winning hope if the leaders tire in the ground.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · Aidan Keeley

Webinar is the horse the map favours most. He is the only genuine leader, draws barrier 1 and a slow tempo on a heavy track makes leaders hard to catch. His Warwick win on soft ground was emphatic, and connections have travelled for just this ride.

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Jett Newman

Vital Impact was beaten a whisker at the Gold Coast on Soft 5 over this distance and finishes races strongly. She gets a big weight advantage at 54kg and handles the wet.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Andrew Mallyon

Overabundant ran a sound third first-up on a very wet track and should improve with the run. A fit horse second-up, he is likely to settle midfield and can run on late.

Our price $10.00 · SP $7.00 · Martin Harley

Cavalluna's first run at Doomben over this trip was better than the eighth placing reads: he was slow out, settled last and ran home strongly to be beaten under two lengths. The 1400m trip did not suit when he pulled hard, so the return to 1200m is a plus. Still, he has shown a level of ability that most of the rest of the field have not, so he is the third pick for a place.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

Too Darn Right met Holy Terror on debut at Eagle Farm on a Soft 7 and, after a slow start and a bump, kept working to the line to be beaten under four lengths. The extra 200m, barrier 4 and a jockey who has a 26% record with this stable all suggest he can take a big step second-up.

Our price $8.00 · SP $31.00 · Ashley Butler

Races handy and has placed four times from six starts. Barrier 16 is the obvious knock at Doomben over 1350m, where wide gates underperform, and the stable's strike rate is low.

Our price $3.40 · SP $2.60 · Ben E Thompson

She draws barrier 2 to sit on the speed behind Olivoni, who looks vulnerable at the trip under top weight. Heavy ground is the unknown, but her Soft 5 effort gives comfort.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.50 · Jag Guthmann-Chester

His two Doomben runs this preparation were in stronger Bm65 company, and last start he ran to a winning standard for this grade when third behind a good pace. He draws inside, races handy, has already won on soft ground and trialled well on heavy going, all key boxes on a Heavy 8 track. Fitness is peaking third-up and he is a lightly raced entire with scope.

Our price $8.50 · SP $15.00 · Ben E Thompson

Buckeye is the value runner on a heavy track. He has run well every time he has met rain-affected ground, including a placing on his only heavy-track start and a bold last-start second on a Soft 7 in Class 1 company. He has placed in more than half his starts, and the booking of the track's leading rider is a plus.