Ascot tips and results

Our price $2.40 · SP $1.65 · Chris Parnham

Official Business has run to a winning standard at each of his last three starts, including an Ascot win in this grade where he raced wide the whole way, and his last-start third at Belmont was better than the margin suggests under 60kg. From barrier 1 he should control a moderately run race.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Natika Riordan

Our price $4.50 · SP $12.00 · Lucy Fiore

On raw ability this filly measures up as well as anything here. Her second and third in two-year-old Plates at Belmont were run to a standard that would win this, and she has a good first-up record. The problem is the map: barrier ten and a get-back pattern in a race that should be moderately run leaves her needing the race to unfold.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Jefferson Tsang

A mare with ability who finished strongly to win at Northam and ran well in both her other starts despite trouble. The year away and the deep-closing pattern against a moderate tempo are real concerns, so she is a place chance more than a winning one. She has been trialling and the stable is in form, which keeps her in the top three ahead of a group of exposed horses.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Holly Nottle

An honest Ascot sprinter whose best run here last autumn was good enough to win this. He has a sound first-up record, trialled well, drops in class and draws to get a good run on the fence.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.80 · Lisa Staples

Improved sharply last start when narrowly beaten after leading over 1300m, producing the strongest recent run in this field. He drops from Listed company to a maiden and has the ideal barrier to take a handy position. The concern is whether he can repeat that effort at 1200m at Ascot, where his record is poor, and a fast tempo could pressure him if he leads. Strong second pick.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Chris Parnham

High-class two-year-old form, including a strong placed effort over 1400m at Belmont, and he trialled well enough recently. He resumes after a long break, which is the main risk, and his stable has been quiet, but his best form is well above maiden grade. Barrier eight should allow a midfield sit.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Brad Parnham

He has put together a string of honest runs that are better than his finishing positions suggest, and he held several of these rivals safe at Belmont last start. The step to 1800m suits a horse who stays on rather than sprints, and the stable performs well at this track. The wide gate and a slow tempo are the negatives, since he will need the race to be run at a genuine clip to show his best.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Shaun O'Donnell

His Ascot run last start, when he pressed forward and only faded late, was his best for some time, and he maps nicely behind Mistress Of War. The concerns are real though: he has never run 1800m, he raced keenly in his last two starts which is a worry over further in a slow race, and he carries considerably more weight than last time.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Two starts earlier at Moora he ran to a quality a good deal higher than this race requires, going down by a nose over today's distance, and he has won at 1800m before. From barrier 2 he should get a lovely run close to the leader, saving ground on the turns, and if he reproduces his Moora form he is a leading chance.

Our price $2.60 · SP $1.80 · Brad Parnham

The class runner of the field on what we have seen. Two seconds from three starts, the latest a nose defeat over 1200m here after coming from last, and she was the best closing effort in the race. Morton's stable and Parnham are both going well.

Our price $14.00 · SP $31.00 · Chloe Azzopardi

She is a two-time winner over this trip, led and won with the blinkers last start and stays in the same gear, and from gate two she can take up a handy spot in a race that may be run at a steady tempo. The class rise off a narrow Class 1 win is the obvious query, but at 26 dollars she is worth a small each-way ticket.

Our price $9.00 · SP $5.00 · Lucy Fiore

Honest mare who keeps running placings and drops back to Class 1 after an eye-catching effort at Belmont over this trip when caught wide the whole way. Lucy Fiore's Ascot record is a plus and she maps nicely from barrier 5.

Our price $11.00 · SP $15.00 · Holly Watson

The rise to 1600m and the move to city racing are question marks, and 59kg is no gift, but the stable performs well at Ascot and he maps to get a soft run in midfield.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.00 · Steven Parnham

A very fast tempo helps a closer, and this horse has been finishing strongly. It drops from Listed class and had excuses last start. The negatives are that it has been well back in the field and has not won at Ascot.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Natika Riordan

Wiluna Lass has been consistent and in form, and she gets a good draw and a light weight with a claim. The concern is the pace. With several runners wanting to go forward, she may be working hard early and could weaken late over 1200m.

Our price $10.50 · SP $13.00 · Shaun McGruddy

A very fast tempo should set up a closing run, and he has won over this trip. He has not performed first-up before, and he is slow away at times, but his trial was good and his stable is flying.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Steven Parnham

Jedi Dream is the proven black-type filly of the race, having run fourth in both the Karrakatta Plate and the Sires' Produce, the latter over today's course and distance. She returned with a good second over an unsuitable 1000m first up and will relish the step up to 1400m from barrier 1 in a race that should not be run at a breakneck pace. She lacks a little winning strike rate but has the class edge over most of these and is a solid each-way play.

Our price $20.00 · SP $41.00 · Chloe Azzopardi

Perfume Princess has quietly put together two strong wins, including a sweeping 1400m victory at Belmont and a class three win at Ascot last time out where she finished off powerfully.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.10 · Lucy Fiore

He has won his last three leading throughout, and each win was run at a level that would be good enough here despite the lower grade. He maps as the sole leader in a race with no other genuine speed, so Lucy Fiore should dictate a moderate tempo and kick clear on the turn.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.00 · Chris Parnham

That effort was up to the standard needed to win here. Dropping slightly in trip with 54kg and Chris Parnham aboard, the improving three-year-old should settle close enough to the leader to pounce if Please Mizter weakens.

Our price $7.50 · SP $3.40 · Brad Parnham

His last-start second at Ascot came against better horses than these and he has already won over this course and distance. The big worry is 60.5kg on top after carrying 54.5kg last time, and a stable in a quiet patch.

Our price $8.00 · SP $15.00 · Jefferson Tsang

Divine Inanna is the overlay in the race. Her last two Geraldton runs, a win over 1200m and a close third over 1400m, were both strong enough to win a race like this, and she gets in with only 51kg once the claim is applied.