Morphettville tips and results

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00 · Brooke King

Light Brigade is the value runner. He ran well on debut when leading at Strathalbyn, has won a jump-out since, and the speed map suggests he could find the front without pressure if Street Legal and Scooped are content to sit behind him. Each-way only.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.00 · Todd Pannell

Her trial form is tidy without being dominant, the Hickmott stable is in quiet form with one win from its last 20, and she draws in the barrier band that has done poorly here over sprint trips. Arizona Dreamer and Artison have both shown winning-standard form in real races, which she has not.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.50 · Brooke King

Madam Moneybags is the one runner who can dictate the race. She is the only confirmed leader, draws barrier 3 and the tempo looks moderate, which plays into a front-runner's hands over 1050m. Her Gawler second with blinkers on was a big step up and only a nose from winning.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Teagan Voorham

Pretty Morsel is the reliable placegetter of the race, having filled a minor placing in half her starts and run well both times she has tried 1600m. She draws to sit on speed from barrier 4, carries 2kg less than most and likes a Good track. The problem is she has had 18 chances to win a maiden and keeps finding one better, and her trainer's record at this track is poor. She is a logical place chance rather than a winning one.

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.60 · Noel Callow

In a race without a second genuine leader he could dictate terms. But he carries top weight with only one win to his name and he has folded after doing the early work at his last two starts.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Kayla Crowther

He races on the speed, which suits here, and the wider mile draws have been performing well. The knock is the jump from maiden grade to a Class 2 and the first try at 1600m, plus a rider in a quiet patch. He is the value rather than the safest.

Our price $3.80 · SP $9.00 · S H Sit

His Balaklava second a fortnight ago in a stronger handicap was the best run anyone in this field has produced on a Good track, and he has already won at this grade over the trip. The last-start failure came on a rain-affected surface with a gear switch and should be forgiven.

Our price $10.00 · SP $20.00 · Jade Doyle

Sahha Sweetie is the overlay. Her Balaklava eighth first-up read poorly on paper but she ran a time close to the winner's standard behind a rapid-finishing field, and she has a strong record of improving at her second run back. She should be positioned behind Koratora in a race with little pressure, which is exactly the setup she won from at Balaklava last winter.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.80 · Jordyn Weatherley

The reason she is not the top pick is reliability. Three wins from 34 starts, a stable change with no form to go on, an inexperienced rider and a wide draw as a backmarker in a slowly-run race all add risk, and her recent efforts have been honest without quite reaching a winning standard.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Harry Grace

Octahedron is the value runner because the race shape favours him. With no proven leader among his rivals and a slow tempo likely, he can dictate from the front over a trip he has already shown he handles. His record at this grade reads 1-3-2 before two runs over 3100m against better horses, and the class drop is significant.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.50 · Brooke King

He placed in both Listed cups this spring, the Murray Bridge run coming after racing wide without cover, and then won the Gawler Cup with a perfect stalking ride. Tonight's map is a replica: Sir Kingsford leads alone, Bamyan Buddha sits third with cover from barrier 3 and pounces in a slowly-run race.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Teagan Voorham

Sir Kingsford is the race's tactical wildcard. He is the only true leader, draws the rail and the map points to a slow tempo, which is the exact setup in which he ran Bamyan Buddha and the rest ragged for a nose second in the Murray Bridge Cup. His failure at Gawler came after being hunted along too fast, and the stewards' report backs that excuse. Each-way suits his boom-or-bust profile.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.20 · Caitlin Jones

He won this very race fresh last year from near last, ran to a genuine winning standard for the grade, and nothing else here has matched that at Morphettville. His recent form reads poorly but every one of those runs was on heavy ground he has never handled.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Rochelle Milnes

Musical Sunset was as good as any horse in this field when running placings and winning as a maiden earlier in the year, and her two efforts since have both come with excuses. The Balaklava third was behind Mercury Eight after settling further back than ideal, and the last-start flop came after being trapped wide from a horrible gate.

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Anna Jordsjo

Justadexter is a genuine each-way roughie. She has a poor win rate, but her last-start effort when leading at Strathalbyn was better than the result suggests, and her only career win came fresh. The real appeal is the combination of the trainer's remarkable Morphettville record, a light weight, and a map that will have her sitting in the box seat behind a top-weighted leader.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Rochelle Milnes

Kushan Khanivale is the reliable each-way type of the field. He finished a close second at Strathalbyn two weeks ago running on from well back, and his record shows he is placed in close to forty percent of his starts. The question is whether he can win rather than place, as he has only three victories from a long career and a moderately-run race will leave him with ground to make up from midfield.

Our price $11.00 · SP $17.00 · Margaret Collett

Sazerac is the overlay in the race. She did not finish off at Gawler but her time that day was still respectable and she carries a feather weight from an inside draw. The concerns are real: she prefers rain-affected ground and settles back in a race that may not be run quickly.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Todd Pannell

Before that he was honest over 2000m at Morphettville and won over 2000m at Bordertown. From barrier 4 he should land in the first half-dozen, and with Easy Beast and Capulet likely to set a solid pace he can pounce on them in the straight.

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.50 · Brooke King

Big Rita June produced the best run in this field last start, charging home widest to finish a close second at Strathalbyn and beating Yorokobi and Silvaloa. Her previous third at Morphettville was sound and she has always shaped as a horse wanting 1800m. The fast pace will help her, but she has won only once and the rider and stable are both out of form, which tempers confidence.